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by Ken Leslie for The Saker Blog • Crossposted with The Saker
WITH SELECT COMMENTS FROM ORIGINAL THREAD

While I was absent from this esteemed blog focusing on other things, an extremely dangerous situation started to develop and I found myself reaching for the keyboard again. If some of my previous writings were a bit alarmist, the tone was motivated by a genuine angst before an unfeeling and unstoppable machine of conquest and destruction the likes of which the world had never seen. And angst it is—anybody with an ounce of common sense can see that the World is hurtling towards some kind of catastrophe. Whether this occurs in a year or five is less relevant. The point is that we are witnessing a process of rapid implosion of the current global system and are not able to see what will replace it. There is no compelling vision of the future—a universal vessel of hope that would transport us across the turbulent waters of fundamental change. This time I am not anxious but resigned. Resignation does not imply learned helplessness—unlike most people around me I am grateful for the ability to be aware of the danger and to articulate what I see as the truth without fear or self-censorship.

Oh, and if the post sounds like a rant, that’s because it is one.

Some academics (ideologues?) such as Steven Pinker have argued that things are much better than they were a 100 years ago—at least in terms of deaths caused by wars and other hard indicators of well-being. Although it pains me to say that Pinker could be correct, this essay is not about “progress” but about the approach of the ultimate regress—the unavoidable and ultimately catastrophic clash between the “West” and the “East”.

A couple of months ago I was writing about the danger of NATO hordes closing in on Moscow from the Ukraine, Poland and the Baltics only to realize that unless a miracle happens, in a few months, Russia will be completely surrounded by enemies. The only exceptions—Norway at the extreme North and Azerbaijan at the extreme South are less relevant at the moment but as we have seen recently, these countries too are being subjected to accelerated weaponization—just yesterday, a Russian diplomat was detained in Norway and Azerbaijan is involved in a tense standoff with a (supposed) ally of Russia.

The fracturing and occupation of the post-Soviet space that began in 1991 is almost complete. More or less willingly, the former Warsaw pact and buffer states of Eastern Europe joined the criminal alliance that is NATO and over the last 30 years gradually prepared for the coming war against Russia. When did it all begin? The blueprint for the current mechanism was established by Nazi Germany which narrowed the distance between itself and the Soviet Union over a few years. Moreover, the political mechanism behind the new Drang (the European Union) was designed in 1944 by Hitler’s economic experts (and put into practice by the founder of the CIA, William Donovan). It should be noted that on his way to the USSR, Hitler had to “pacify” a few countries including Poland, France, Yugoslavia and Greece. This time around, the whole West is united in its enmity towards Russia (economic links notwithstanding) and ALL European countries with the exception of Serbia and Byelorussia have placed themselves willingly in the anti-Russian camp. This is not to say that the majority of people in those countries hate Russia (in many they do) but that the governing cliques and military juntas inside various NATO satrapies are ready to contribute to the “joint effort to bring freedom and democracy” to the “benighted Rus”.

Of these two pariahs, the Serbs, despite their love of Russia are doomed by geography and by the privilege of being the only nation to have a piece of their country (Kosovo and Metohija) taken away, of being bombed by the combined forces of the West for 78 days and having a quarter of a million of their number cruelly expelled from their homeland in Srpska Krajina (currently occupied by Croatia). Exhausted and surrounded by enemies, the Serbs can do little to stop the clock ticking towards the Armageddon. This leaves Byelorussia, the only post-Soviet country that has not flirted with overt Russophobia and whose president showed many signs of real independence of mind vis-à-vis the West. Alexander Lukashenko’s personal bravery is not in question. In the midst of the NATO bombing in 1999, he visited Belgrade and declared himself openly pro-Serb. He signed the accession to the Union State between his country and Russia that same year.^[2] He was somebody who wanted to preserve the positive legacy of the Soviet Union and his unwillingness to toe the EU line (pro-German “democracy” at home and anti-Russian posture abroad) earned him the sobriquet of the “last European dictator”.

"This time around, the whole West is united in its enmity towards Russia (economic links notwithstanding) and ALL European countries with the exception of Serbia and Byelorussia have placed themselves willingly in the anti-Russian camp. This is not to say that the majority of people in those countries hate Russia (in many they do) but that the governing cliques and military juntas inside various NATO satrapies are ready to contribute to the “joint effort to bring freedom and democracy” to the “benighted Rus”...

But then, things started to go wrong, especially after the Nazi takeover of the Ukraine in 2014. Lukashenko might have started to feel isolated and between Western pressure and ossification of his quasi-socialist system (nothing wrong with it in principle), he began to turn against his only genuine ally—Russia. The reasons for this U turn are complex but at this moment also irrelevant. Whatever the cause of the cooling of the relations between Russia and Byelorussia, the consequences are dire and are fast becoming catastrophic. To understand the gravity of the situation, we should be able to see the “Gestalt”—the whole of the current geopolitical situation and its trends. That a global conflict between the West and the East is in the offing there is no doubt. Not only has Russia been targeted since the mid-1990s, but the total war on China and Iran declared by Trump and his Jesuitical agents provocateurs confirms absolutely that we are facing something unprecedented. I need to remind the reader that nothing like this was even remotely possible only 30 years ago. The brazenness and sheer bloodthirst of the new Operation Barbarossa with its global ambitions dwarfs any conquests known to history. What boggles the mind is how successful it has been.

No bromides about how strong Russia is, how well it’s coping (I repeat—coping) with the cruel sanctions by the West will suffice this time. No empty hope that somehow the miserable quisling statelets from the Balkans to the Baltics will experience a Zen-like enlightenment and disobey their Western masters. No false hope that the push towards Russia’s borders can somehow be reversed and no end in sight to the total war waged by the combined “West” (a dire temporary reconciliation of a resurgent Roman Catholicism, neutered Protestantism and newly respectable Zionism). From this point on, there is no going back. The distance between Moscow and the closest point in the Ukraine is 440 km (as crow flies). In the case of Byelorussia, it is 410 km. Although symbolic, this advance would be hugely important for the would-be conquerors as it is for Russia. Starting with Orsha in Byelorussia, the path to Moscow leads through Smolensk, Vyazma and Mozhaysk—towns that experienced so much suffering in WWII because they were on the road to Moscow. But what about the suffering of Byelorussia? It was probably the worst-suffering Soviet republic with an unknown number of people killed or sent of to Germany as slave labour and uncountable number of villages and towns destroyed.

None of this matters in the upside-down Western world view in which black is white and white is black. It is a world in which the close descendants of the worst war criminals in history are now the unofficial rulers of Europe together with their Gallic poodles and Anglo-Saxon frenemies, while the nation which bore the brunt of the cruellest genocide ever is being attacked by those same criminals again—as if two Vernichtungskriege in 30 years weren’t enough.

Many will point out that we are already at war and this would be true. The threat of a nuclear conflict has prompted Western strategists to think of alternative ways of destroying their opponents. We are talking about a broad-spectrum effort which includes political, economic, intelligence, cultural, psychological, religious and military components. By weaving these different strands into a single coordinated strategy, the West is hoping (and succeeding) in getting closer to Moscow every day without igniting a global nuclear war. This time however, it is different. Not only has the West crossed Russia’s geopolitical red lines, it has given notice that it will stop at nothing until Russia is defeated and destroyed. They are skilfully neutralising Russia’s nuclear deterrent by inflicting a thousand cuts from all sides without suffering any harm themselves. Two days ago, a Russian major general was killed by America’s proxies in Syria while delivering food to the people of Idlib. Today, Alexey Navalny is in a coma after an alleged poisoning attempt. The quickening is palpable but no event demonstrates the current danger better than the attempted colour revolution in Byelorussia which is unfolding as we speak.

The genius of the Western destruction-mongers lies not in their ingenuity and creativity but in their understanding of the lower reaches of human nature (in this respect they have no peer). They know how to exploit weaknesses such as greed, envy and ego and especially people’s susceptibility to vices. Moreover, these agents of darkness know that most people are frightened, helpless, largely ignorant and easily swayed and distracted. With this knowledge and an inexhaustible source of money, the West has settled on a winning scheme of “peaceful” conquest which has brought it all the way from the Atlantic coast to the gates of Moscow after 30 years of colour revolutions, coups and open war. I need to stress the importance and success of this “boiling frog” strategy.^[3]There is nothing new or surprising in their latest move on Lukashenko—the same combination of underground CIA-funded networks from Poland, Ukraine and the Baltics and incompetent opposition which is transformed into a “plausible democratic alternative” overnight. Nazi-linked symbols, Russophobic vultures such as the buzzard-faced Bernard Henri-Levi circling above the scene, invented ancient roots… It’s all there.

But that is not why I’m writing. Throughout my years as a keen observer of the latest (and last) Drang, I have been fascinated by the patterns of behaviour (on a geopolitical level) which seem to come straight out of a history book to describe the period circa 1940. While the Western juggernaut hurtles through space, the decorum of “partnership” is maintained to the very last moment. Even though a few lonely voices are screaming that the war is inevitable and that Russia must neutralise any further advances by the new Nazis, most people are distracted by COVID, Joe Biden’s dementia and other nonsense. This could be cowardice but could also be wisdom in the face of an inevitable tragedy.

Even the tone of the Russian diplomacy is slowly changing—as it did in the autumn of 1940 following the cooling of German-Soviet relations. The ever measured and moderate Sergei Lavrov (like Vyacheslav Molotov before him) has started describing the international situation in more realistic terms using noticeably harsher language. Nevertheless, unless Russia does something very quickly, it will find itself completely surrounded and unable to defend itself as it did in 1941—hypersonic weapons notwithstanding.

However, the most fascinating aspect of this latest escalation is the fact that another colour revolution could be attempted at all and that Russia is still unable to assert itself in its neighbourhood, if only in order to save itself. “Unable” is perhaps too strong a word. What I mean is that unlike the West which is achieving its geopolitical goals without shedding blood and even without suffering any significant economic damage (no, Russian countersanctions have not crippled Germany or France), the Russians know that any attempts to stop and reverse the Western push will cost them dearly—primarily in terms of further isolation from all Western countries (already, Russian diplomats are being detained and expelled throughout the EU, as if in anticipation of the Byelorussian endgame). ^[4]The Western planners know that Russia can survive on its own but they also know that it can’t survive for long if deprived of the oxygen of international exchange—the feeling that it belongs to the family of European nations. No Eurasian ideology can ever replace the esteem in which Europe has been held by Russian intellectuals. While I see this pronounced inferiority complex as Russia’s curse, I have to acknowledge it in order to explain president Putin’s attempts to get various EU countries on his side.

It is not so much about economy but about Russia’s eternal yearning to prove itself worthy of “European standards” despite the fact that it was Europe that has been attacking Russia relentlessly and is guilty of crippling it possibly beyond healing. Hope springs eternal. And yet, president Putin must be aware of the dirty double-dealing game the EU is playing (I am giving the villain du jour a miss this time) by leaning on the United States to re-establish its hegemony over the Eurasian, African and Middle-Eastern space while lecturing Putin and Lukashenko on the merits of democracy. There is something deeply hypocritical—not to say Jesuitical—about EUs posture. It is doing everything in its power to isolate and weaken Russia while offering carrots such as Nord stream 2. This is much more pernicious than the open enmity of Trump and his crude supremacism because it offers the deeply unpleasant EU block an opportunity to play a good cop towards Russia at no cost to itself. Compared with the US’s Berserker-like attack on anything and everything, the EU appears “reasonable” and ready for a compromise by comparison—but this is only a dangerous illusion.

While the EU is wholeheartedly supporting the new Maidan (relying on the nazified pockets in the West of Byelorussia and the usual pro-Western suspects), it has the temerity to issue warnings to Putin not to “meddle” and to Lukashenko not to “oppress”. This coming from a president who has been perpetrating mass violence on the peaceful demonstrators in the centre of Paris for over a year. Even worse, Angela Merkel who is initiating a more muscular foreign policy under the guidance of expansionist hawks who are champing at the bit to replace her (Annegret whatever and Ursula I don’t care) dares lecture Russia on interfering in other countries’ affairs—after her illustrious predecessors. the CDU crypto-Nazis Kohl, Kinkel and Genscher destroyed Yugoslavia (only for Russian top partnyor Gerhardt Schröder to finish the job by sending German bombers, spies and military trainers to Serbia in 1999). And yet, all Russia can do is appeal meekly to the EU in the hope that the Ukrainian scenario will not recur. Promises of military help given to Lukashenko are almost worthless in the light of the cumulative EUs response—which would be nothing short of traumatic. The proof of this is the complete support by Germany for the Ukrainian regime notwithstanding its dirty role in overthrowing Yanukovich and undermining the Minsk accords.

So, what am I trying to say? The moment of reckoning has arrived. Despite the heroic battle by President Putin and his comrades to buy time and delay the inevitable, the time for procrastination and appeasement has passed. Russia must choose between a difficult but sustainable future and no future at all. The Western offensive has destroyed all buffers between Russia and its enemies and although this might not mean much militarily, it has a vast symbolic value.^[5] If Byelorussia goes, Russia remains geopolitically isolated like never before. Furthermore, its enemies, far from collapsing as many have been predicting, are strong and more united than ever despite various internecine squabbles.^[6] This is not to say that Russia is at the death’s door. On the contrary, it is precisely because it is so resilient and forward-looking that its enemies are compelled to ramp up the pressure.

Even if Lukashenko survives the current jeopardy, he will cease to be a relevant political factor in years to come. The weakening of his rule (however clumsy and obsolescent) can mean only one thing—the infiltration of the Byelorussian political life by various pro-Western agents of influence who will find it easy to corrupt and disrupt by dipping into NED’s and USAID’s seemingly inexhaustible coffers. The moment Russia intervenes in the affairs of Minsk in any detectable way, it will be subjected to a barrage of hatred, military threats and punitive measures that have not been seen before. President Putin has an unenviable choice—act sub rosa (like he has been doing in the Donbass) and watch Byelorussia slowly descend into an orgy of anti-Russian madness or intervene openly and risk alienating the EU further, at a time when the fate of the lifeline pipeline crucially depends on EUs goodwill and willingness to antagonise Trump (a perfect good cop, bad cop scenario played by the USA and EU).

All of this is clear to president Putin and his cabinet and I have no doubt that they are burning midnight oil trying to think of the best ways to counter the Western aggression. Yet, history still holds valuable lessons. Stung by what he saw as the betrayal by the British and the French, Joseph Stalin signed a non-aggression treaty with Hitler in order to delay the inevitable. The period of collaboration involved the USSR shipping oil to Germany, oil which would later power German tanks on the road to Stalingrad. Although he did buy enough time to execute some important war preparations, Stalin waited far too long. Months after having received reports of German reconnaissance planes overflying Byelorussia and Ukraine, Stalin refused to believe that Hitler would betray him and ascribed the “anti-German” panic to the agents of Winston Churchill. Yet, this time he was horribly wrong and his error cost the USSR millions of lives and billions in damage. None of the subsequent amazing victories of the Soviet arms would quite wash away the bitter taste of Stalin’s epic blunder of 1941.

The historical lesson I was alluding to is simple yet devilishly hard to implement because it is “two-tailed”. In other words, the possibility of a deadly miscalculation stretches equally in both temporal directions away from the point that represents a timely decision. In other words, given the huge stakes that are involved, making a correct decision is well-nigh impossible. And although the choice can be defended post-hoc, especially if it results in a victory, we can never know if a better decision could not have been made. Like Stalin, Putin is facing the Scylla and Charybdis of time, only I would argue that he is facing an even more difficult decision. For all its weaknesses, the Soviet Union was much larger than its successor state and possessed by far the largest armed forces in the world (to say nothing about the reserves of raw materials and workforce). The factor that probably decided its fate was a relative weakness of the fifth column inside the country and the ability of the security services to neutralise pro-German networks operating inside the country. President Putin has entered the twilight zone in which the smallest mistake can cost him everything. I don’t envy him but pray for his wisdom and Russia’s preparedness.

Of course, circumstances have changed dramatically and today’s warfare bears scant resemblance to the mass movement of army fronts across thousands of kilometres of chernozem and steppe. These days, the crude manoeuvring of armoured columns has been replaced by silent software attacks on a state’s currency system and infrastructure, covert takeovers and sabotage of its assets, denial of open and free intercourse with other countries, replacement of the indigenous values and goals by the foreign dogma and suborning of its institutions to will of the Empire. This new form of warfare requires sophistication and intercontinental co-ordination. Occasionally, we are made aware of the bloopers of the Western intelligence services and their silly attempts to blame Russia for all their ills, but make no mistake! The cumulative effect of their misdeeds has been a complete homogenisation of the European space along the Russophobic lines prescribed by the behind-the-scene bosses. Let me put it this way: If tomorrow the USA and the EU were to declare a war on Russia, do you believe that any of the Slav vassals would openly defy the clarion call? Again, let me give you a couple of examples from history.

When NATO bombed Serbia, not a single country refused to participate in this egregious war crime and the honour of defying the black criminal cabal of Brussels belongs to a few heroic soldiers from Greece, Spain and France. With Iraq it was different in that Germany and France did not feel sufficiently incentivised to participate in what they saw as a neocon-inspired Anglo-Saxon adventure (for which they have been lauded no end). To pre-empt the possibility of future betrayal by its vassals, the US has shifted to a new strategy which seeks to weaken Russia (or China) without having to mobilise military “coalitions of the willing”. The war is being fought in small, almost invisible increments which do not require absolute allegiance to the cause and payment in blood.

The new army consists of spies, computer and finance specialists, thinktank ideologues, NGO “activists”, “security experts” and other assorted ghouls whose victories are not measured in square kilometres of conquered territory or body counts but in fractions of a percent of damage caused to the currency, prestige or freedom of action of the enemy. This leaves a lot of space for “plausible deniability” and the maintenance of the “business as usual” posture while the deadly blows are administered below the waterline. It also bamboozles the ordinary people into thinking that the war could never happen. It can and it will.

Another consequence will be accelerated squeezing and neutralisation of the semi-impotent Serbia and the final Gleichschaltung of the Eastern wing of NATO in preparation for a more muscular phase of the war. This will involve transferring more troops and missiles to the East (but always under the retaliation threshold), closing down of Russia’s embassies and consulates in Europe while pretending to oppose the United States, closing down financing channels and media outlets, making life miserable for Russian citizens and businessmen abroad plus hundreds more nasty tricks. In many ways, the strategy of sustained pressure is more dangerous than open conflict because it sucks out hope from the people of the affected country—the hope that they will be treated as equals by the “cultured” West. A similar tactic has been used against China but China is in a much better economic position to withstand such pressures.

The fall of Lukashenko and “old Byelorussia” can mean only one thing—an intensified total war which Russia will have to face totally isolated. If Russia’s last real ally (yes, that’s what he is) can be removed with such ease, Russia cannot hope to attract and keep long-term allies and neutral partners. This is only partly Russia’s fault. The power aligned against it is unprecedented in history and I am praying that Russia will be able to overcome the forces of evil again.

One piece of good news though—the dissolute Jesuitical warmonger Bannon has been arrested for fraud—finally showing the Chinese the fruits of a “Christian” education.

Notes:

The illustration has been borrowed from the irreplaceable Colonel Cassad (Boris Rozhin) whose blog most of us visit regularly. The link is: https://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/6110832.html ↑
Generally, I agree with the Saker that Byelorussia should not exist as an independent state. Nor should the Ukraine for that matter, apart from the Uniate appendage of Galicia. ↑
From Wikipedia: “The boiling frog is a fable describing a frog being slowly boiled alive. The premise is that if a frog is put suddenly into boiling water, it will jump out, but if the frog is put in tepid water which is then brought to a boil slowly, it will not perceive the danger and will be cooked to death. The story is often used as a metaphor for the inability or unwillingness of people to react to or be aware of sinister threats that arise gradually rather than suddenly.” ↑
A recent episode has infuriated me no end. After helping Italy to stem the spread of COVID in a gesture of friendship and good will, the Russian air force has had to chase an Italian military aeroplane that was approaching the Russian Black Sea coast. Even if this was an attempt by the Americans to poison the relations between the two nations, it is inexcusable and leaves another stain of dishonour on the standard of the much abused battle standard of Italy. ↑
Actually, it does mean a lot militarily because it allows for all kinds of fast aggressive moves for which Russia cannot find timely countermeasures. In today’s world of nanosecond processing, 10 km is a huge distance. ↑
If you think that Brexit and Greek-Turkish tensions prove me wrong, remember that modern European history was a never-ending saga of bloody and destructive wars. ↑

Select Comments
Names/ attributions marked in RED are suspected of being pro-Western trolls
ALL COMMENTS ARE FROM ORIGINAL THREAD

Svenro on August 21, 2020 · at 1:25 pm EST/EDT

Interesting but perhaps avoiding one issue that since 1800s we Anglo zionists have been fanatically trying to take over Russia resources, particularly fertile soils and the still relatively unoccupied masses of land that go with it. USA is going down rapidly as regards feeding 350 million spoilt overweight Pindos.. California is yet again suffering fires, drought, heat waves and warm sea BLOBS off the coast. Most other US farming states are in a similar predicament. England will be unable to feed their 54 million with first recorded cyclones off East Greenland, ice melts, flooding etc. and with an unpredictable Atlantic weather system. Most importantly, USA and City of London, England, don’t give a damn if 90% of population is culled. Explains the 5 Eyes long planned PLANDEMIC Covid crack down and mega 1984 controls. Germany and France over the past 4 years have suffered increased climate extremes with resultant agric production irregularities. Hitler in 1941 was obsessed with grabbing Ukraines harvest from those wonderful Chernozol soils. Recently, US and German agric companies, John Deere. Cargyle, Monsanto etc., with Biden clique and CIA Obama joining the Ukraine land rape. Remember the Chinese were kicked out from their billion dollar agric investments in Ukraine. That only leaves the huge fertile Russian land mass – sure suffering too from climate extremes, record forest fires, melting permafrost topped by new record high methane emissions. However, they have a sufficient qualitative and quantitative Biome, fertile soil, mass to take major hits and still feed their 150 million population. Also Putin with Russian political and scientific elite genuinely CARE about their people and agric potential. Therefore, Russia is able to survive a near-Extinction development over the next 20 years. We Anglo Zionists are buggered, even Bibi and Baas Rothschild have indirectly admitted that. But No Major nuke attacks on Russia (unless rogue Armegaddon evangelicals or AI glitches.) but increased drone swarms with all sorts of agricultural pathogens etc., Davy Crockett mini or nano nukes etc on the 22000 km Russian periphery. As Larchmonter and Saker have repeated. This is not the first near extinction (6 or 7th) on this insignificant planet in a cosmos teeming with life and intelligence. Quantum mechanics and mathematics, entanglement theory, Einstein and Hawkins… This is Cosmic evolution which I believe certain Russian Orthodox scholars, religious too, take in their stride.. Please correct me Saker.
From an ex Anglo colonial.. we are terrible losers coming from that tiny snot nosed resource poor island of Albion..

Rafael on August 21, 2020 · at 5:20 pm EST/EDT

Removed. Off topic. Mod.

As for the article, the writer makes it very clear that there is no good option for Russia, but as always there is a worst case option and I see that, as standing back and letting Belarus disintegrate into a new Ukraine.

If NATO then goes on to occupy the vacuum in Belarus, it would seem possible that Russia does not have the stomach to defend itself and so will then bow to the empire, accepting a form of vassal status.

KL on August 21, 2020 · at 5:53 pm EST/EDT

Dear Rafael,

Thank you,

You succinctly express some of the real dangers facing Russia. It’s not about the nuclear arsenal but a gradual, almost imperceptible erosion of a nations will to defend itself. It is so clear that I am flabbergasted by the unwillingness of many commentators here to acknowledge the reality.

This does not mean that Russia will succumb (it will not) but that she must be ready for a more direct and muscular policy towards its enemies.

svenro on August 22, 2020 · at 2:15 am EST/EDT

ConocoPhillips oil company operating in Alaska are now Re-Freezing melting permafrost in an effort to limit damage to pipelines above ground. Of course Bluegums are not native to California – I don’t see the connection to the increased severity of forest fires in that dry state and others. I AM Most Concerned by CO2 and Methane emissions and consider we are most definitely in a climate emergency. Putin and most Russian scientists and farmers would agree – peer reviewed Russian and USA geologists were giving serious alarm calls about Methane burps more than 10 years ago.
The suffering population of Anglo zionist liberated!!!! Baghdad have recently had plus 50C constant heat and little to no electricity for aircon etc, plus Pasha Erdogan controls the decreasing water flows of Euphrates and Tigris rivers to Syria too.
Good luck in your Own Bubble reality sir… Greetings to those hoppity boppity Cane Toads..

Auslander on August 21, 2020 · at 1:30 pm EST/EDT

Methinks, Mr. Leslie, thou dost protest too much. Byelorus will not fall, regardless of movements but hours ago of certain Polish armored units to the Byelorus border. Units of the Byelorus Army are moving to the west border too, according to President Lukashenko, to ‘hold drills this night and tomorrow for training, strictly training’. President Lukashenko will be in the field with his army. How about the Polish president? Where is he?

I say Byelorus will not fall for several reasons, not the least of which is Byelorus is a very important part of the Russian West Front defenses and as such will not be allowed to fall, irregardless of a vocal but quite small group of malcontents located in the micro district of Minsk, Noviya Boroviya, which did indeed vote heavily for the opposition and this vote was duly recorded and publicized in the election results. But, and a very strong ‘but’, one micro district, or two, or ten, or a city voting against the present government does not a coup make nor does it an election win, which it assuredly did not.

While there will be a lot of screaming and arm waving, Byelorus will remain with Russia if for no other reason than anyone with the intelligence above that of amoeba crawling through protozoan mush simply has to look south to understand what the greasy and oily promises of ‘democracy’ and ‘friendship with EU’ bring, witness Ukraine. VVP was handed a s//t sandwich in Ukraine in late ’13 and did rather well in my humble opinion, taking the most productive area of that sorry land under his wing after a fashion and making it a buffer zone known as Novorossiya and at the same time welcoming Sevastopol, the true prize and reason for the coup in Ukraine, back to Russia and Sevastopol dutifully dragged the rest of the island back to Russia with them.

Will this mess end in a shooting war involving Russia? I don’t think so, Foggy Bottom, London and Berlin have a very healthy respect for demonstrated Russian battlefield prowess and the last thing any of them want to see is entire battalions annihilated in minutes as Novorossiya showed The World what Russian hastily trained tractor drivers, miners and farmers could do in the summer cauldrons below Saur Mogila in ’14 and the winter cauldron of Debaltsyevo in early ’15. The ONLY thing holding NAF back from taking the Land of Orcs all the way to the Dnepr is VVP’s steady hand saying ‘not yet’. Not ‘no’, but ‘not yet’.

Bottom line, ‘the west’ does not hold all the chips in their hand by any stretch of the imagination and while we in Russia sincerely hope and pray it does not come to war, if it does, so be it, we will fight again and defend our lands and homes and loved ones…yet again.

Auslander
Author http://rhauslander.com/

anonymous on August 21, 2020 · at 2:37 pm EST/EDT

I agree. The article is unrealistic and spreading doom and gloom for Belarus. The only way Belarus will fall apart is if the army betrays the system en masse. Unlikely. I would like to see some negotiation between Lukashenko and those who want more freedom to travel. It would be wise on his part to make some concessions in that area. Freedom of speech could stand improvement too — the dangers for Belarus if they succumb to the color revolution should be openly discussed, with the help of the citizens of former satellites who know whereof they speak.

Btw, does anybody have a list of Belarus bloggers who write in English? I would like some news from the ground.

- - Auslander on August 21, 2020 · at 3:17 pm EST/EDT
    
    My thoughts are Luka has had his ‘come to Jesus’ moment, although it’s more of a ‘come to the Czar’ moment. It’s a given that the Byelorus Armed Forces are completely behind President Lukashenko and they make no secret of this fact. I’m also sure that some things in Byelorus will change dramatically for the better for the ‘ordinary workers and peasants’ in the very near future. This, too, is a given.
    
    However, of interest is a 100 % government supported and paid for ‘artistic’ theater in Minsk that raised the Nazi flag in support of the ‘opposition’ were just informed that because of this foolish act they are no longer nestled comfortably on the government mammary gland, IOW they are on their own. As was told to them, ‘go for it, whatever money you manage to make you can share it amongst yourselves. But for now, let’s talk about rent, expenses and utilities et al you will no longer get for free’. Rule #1. Don’t void your bladder on the President’s spats. Rule #2, see Rule #1.
    
    Auslander
    
    Reply
    - anonymous on August 21, 2020 · at 4:54 pm EST/EDT
      
      What a bunch of idiots. Well, the repercussions are mild, compared to what they could be. But it shows you the quality of the people behind the “opposition” — in quotes, because they could not do anything without NGO (and various deep states) support from abroad, and these supporters really do not have the best interests of Byelorus at heart.
      
      There is absolutely no reason at this point that anything about so called color revolutions ought to be believed or trusted. Zero.

PB on August 22, 2020 · at 1:53 am EST/EDT

I still think Mr Leslie raises a reasonable question vis-a-vis the dominant theory here on the Saker. It has been said that the military impotence of the Zionist axis has been shown in their retreat to economic sanctions and Guaido-puppets and “highly likely” poisonings. The theory is that resistance military strength and preparedness is building as more time passes and the Empire grows more corrupt and collapses

What Leslie sees is a longer game being played to benefit the Empire where it deprives Russia of allies and weakens over time, (sanctions killing 500,000 children are “worth it”, remember) knowing Russia will not make a first move, thereby buying time until they do have a military advantage.

Worth considering, because that IS probably what they’re aiming for.

Petter on August 21, 2020 · at 1:31 pm EST/EDT

I agree with all, but have to point out a small detail in regards to Soviet Russia’s / Stalin’s offensive plans controversy. It could very well be that Operation Barbarossa was a response to Soviet Russia’s offensive plans.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_offensive_plans_controversy

Fog of War on August 21, 2020 · at 1:49 pm EST/EDT

Don’t post that, you’ll confuse the pro-Russians here. After all, Stalin was nice innocent man, who made mistakes, and only wanted the best for all ” his ” people. He would also, of course, never attack any other nation either. What a nice innocent guy.

Nussiminen on August 21, 2020 · at 2:29 pm EST/EDT

@Petter + Fog of War

Haha, I’m certainly pro-Russian and pro-Stalin, but not the slightest confused by any Nazi revisionist rubbish. It’s far more appropriate to look at the hopeless and, really, very silly confusion pertaining to ”academic” Russophobia. Depending on your daily mood and the urges of your daily bread-winning, you can choose 100% freely between (at least) three mutually exclusive ”theories” which slander Stalin and his handling of the Nazi attack on the USSR.

And I never grow tired of teasing Pindos and Euro-trash by pointing out that Stalin is very popular in today’s Russia. I can leave it to the two of you as an exercise to explain why.

Abu Aisha on August 22, 2020 · at 1:12 am EST/EDT

A brutal take down in the best style excellent use of pindos language they will never learn but we must insist. Listen to this guy pretend his country didn’t use nuclear bomb against civilians, twice. The level of revisionism is great. They truly believe their lies. This makes sense, if you consider it’s psychosis

Juri on August 22, 2020 · at 7:36 am EST/EDT

Well, everybody is entitled to their opinion. Including 150 millions of Eastern Europeans who watch promoting Stalin in Russia with horror and are ready to sell out their countries to NATO.

I do not know what the point is to promote Stalin and Soviet Union and Red Army Soviet propaganda lies about WW II but this is the single cause of Russia hatred in the neighboring countries. Collapse of USSR demonstrated, that this BS does not work.

Russia wanted 150 million strong enemy in his border and got it. Stalinism is the single case of Eastern European Russia hatred or Hitler love or NATO love.

Stalin caused one historical disaster in Russia and now it seems that 67 years after his death he is causing one more. Powerful man, must say. And good examples how myths destroying countries. Without Stalinism, Russia would be seen as bastion of freedom against Anglo Empire and potential ally.

KL on August 22, 2020 · at 10:27 am EST/EDT

Yes, Yuri,

99% of them were ruled by Germany or Austria-Hungary or had German kings (Romania, Greece, Bulgaria).

And it’s all Stalin’s fault. Sorry, but your attempt to smear the heroic struggle of the Soviet Union will not wash. Thanks to president Putin telling the truth and for slapping the potato-headed Polish government silly. Like most quislings, “Eastern Europeans” will bow before the current master. In that sense they are irrelevant. Eternal cannon fodder. Don’t believe me? Read War and Peace and the sketch of the “brave” Polish colonel of the Uhlans.

Kouroi on August 21, 2020 · at 2:47 pm EST/EDT

That theory fits with the narrative of BS propagated from the West but doesn’t fit with Russian long historical record of being mostly reactive when it comes to confront what they perceived stronger parties. Stalin then, as Putin now are only praying for longer peace, for the buildup of forces to defend their physical space. This of course works against the calculations of Western Oligarchy led by the US, since stronger and more prosperous Russia, China, Iran are far less vulnerable to propaganda as well as direct attacks (kinetic or otherwise).

Tom Welsh on August 21, 2020 · at 3:35 pm EST/EDT

‘After all, Stalin was nice innocent man, who made mistakes, and only wanted the best for all ” his ” people’.

Given that Stalin was a Georgian bandit, that is true for the appropriate value of “his people”.

Namely Stalin.

Nussiminen on August 21, 2020 · at 5:03 pm EST/EDT

The ’Georgian bandit’ enjoys appreciable popularity in today’s Russia. ”Stalin, the baby-eating monster from hell” is for Pindos and Euro-trash. Doesn’t do the trick with the people who remember what life was like in Stalin’s USSR; sorry.

subhuti37 on August 22, 2020 · at 5:55 am EST/EDT

Stalin had a predecessor in Jolly Old England. He was named Robin Hood.

Meanwhile, Stalin was a retail bandit. The City of London and Wall Street are in a whole other monstrous, cancerous league.

But, see, in the Western populations criminal psychopathic consciousness, it’s always the other guy's fault.

Jesus addressed this tendency quite well with his point about seeing the log in one’s own eye before criticizing the speck in another’s eye.

Rafael on August 21, 2020 · at 5:26 pm EST/EDT

Why are you confusing Stalin’s USSR with Putin’s modern Russia, few on this site will fall for that simplistic line.

Nussiminen on August 22, 2020 · at 8:58 am EST/EDT

Short, concise answer:

When Russia has strong, perspicacious leaders such as Stalin and Putin, the West’s so-called leadership and its vassals stand out as the mental and moral midgets that thay are. This is a rock-solid comparison that isn’t confusing whatsoever.

Anonymous on August 21, 2020 · at 11:07 pm EST/EDT

Operation Barbarossa was not a response to Russia’s offensive plans, as Germany’s attack on Russia in WW1 was not a response to Russian mobilization, and you certainly know that. Why bring this crap again?
And to the Foggy Bottom all here are pro-Russian. The site itself is pro-Russian! (Removed language,MOD)

Chaucer on August 22, 2020 · at 10:38 am EST/EDT

@Petter
Your source is wikipedia? Don’t you know that wikipedia is an instrument of the evil anglo-zionist empire? Wikipedia has distorted world history beyond recognition.

Fog of War on August 21, 2020 · at 1:34 pm EST/EDT

Excellent, and finally realistic, assessment of the current situation. Some of us have been saying this for years, but were constantly put down by Putin/ Iranian / and Chinese ” fan boys “. These ” fan boys ” live in a world of unicorns and butterflies, a world where Russia, China, and Iran can never lose. Well, welcome to reality gentlemen, the ZioAmericans empire will not wilt away and collapse internally, they wont become civilized, and they will not share power in a multi-polar world. The Zios will fight to the last Goyim to preserve their power and if the other nations don’t understand this then they deserve their fate, Russia included.

Auslander on August 21, 2020 · at 2:24 pm EST/EDT

Fog of War.

The beauty of Saker’s blog is one can say what one thinks. And I do live in a world of unicorns and butterflies in Russia, why, just today I saw two butterflies and my blue girl Sophia says she played with a unicorn in the garden this afternoon. Sophia never speaks anything but truth and I know she played with a unicorn because she has fairy dust on her back.

Of course, the odd sanction here and there is an annoyance but with any luck sanctions will be gone by the time my granddaughter is ready for university. Maybe. Guess I better have a word with our son about getting a move on with his intended, I ain’t getting any younger and I don’t have a granddaughter…..yet.

Auslander

KL on August 21, 2020 · at 2:44 pm EST/EDT

Dear FoW,

Thank you. I am not as pessimistic but if Lukashenko has behaved like this towards his brothers, why should we expect more from Iran or China?

Serbian girl on August 21, 2020 · at 3:13 pm EST/EDT

Because China and Iran are in the same boat as Russia.

KL on August 21, 2020 · at 3:19 pm EST/EDT

So is Byelorussia.

Quod erat demonstrandum.

Fog of War on August 21, 2020 · at 3:44 pm EST/EDT

” Because China and Iran are in the same boat as Russia. ”

But they’re sure behaving like they both don’t understand that. If they really presented a unified front, along with the smaller nations ( Iran, Venezuella, Cuba, Iraq, etc ) the world would probably not even be at this juncture. Everyone always says that ZioAmerica is bluffing, if so, then call their bluff. Why wait till their missiles are at your borders ?

China faces the same fate, what's China going to do when it gets surrounded by US missiles, in Taiwan for example, are they going to attack US troops over that ? Does anyone here actually believe this would happen ?

Prospeller on August 21, 2020 · at 4:31 pm EST/EDT

“… but if Lukashenko has behaved like this towards his brothers, why should we expect more from Iran or China?”

It´s not about being brothers, it´s about POWER. What comes to China, in the long run China will be the loser, not Russia. So don´t worry too much about China and Iran, which are not so important for Russia than some seems to think.

Main enemy of Russia has always been your homeland, England. But don´t worry even that too much. No need to nuke London anymore, in any case, the perfidious Albion is on the fast track to oblivion.

KL on August 21, 2020 · at 4:59 pm EST/EDT

Hi,

It can only be a good thing for Britain (or England) to renounce its colonial pretensions and start paying more attention to its growing problems. Given the almost total silence from the controlled media about Russia etc. it seems that this could be in the offing. After all, leaving the EU was the only right thing they’ve done since 2013 (voting on Syria).

As far as England being the main enemy of Russia (and I am utterly disgusted by the Russophobia I’ve encountered here), that is total nonsense. It is not the British who have killed at least 30+ million Slavs in a couple of decades (and no, Rothschild conspiracies do not count as evidence). Please, do not insult the millions of innocent victims.

Prospeller on August 22, 2020 · at 6:14 am EST/EDT

My previous reply was moderated, so I will say only this: study Halford McKinder’s Heartland Theory.

KL on August 22, 2020 · at 7:19 am EST/EDT

Dear Prospeller,

McKinder is wheeled out every time someone wants to prove that the British empire was expansionist (shock horror!). Britain and Russia were two empires who were natural enemies–whose interests were diametrically opposed. Isn’t it a miracle then that not only once but twice they fought on the same side when their survival was threatened?

Mad A on August 22, 2020 · at 7:44 am EST/EDT

Britain has fought against Russia or collaborated against many many times, Crimea, civil wars etc etc, i have friends in the UK who instinctively dismiss, dislike, despise all things Russian, support the persecution of Assam ge and if questioned are prone to comments such as ‘but he’s on the Russian side, right?’, as if that’s justification for silencing, imprisoning, torturing dissenting voices, unbelievable idiocy, hypocrisy, hubris, built through drip drip propaganda it seems to become instinctive, without any doubt, on seeing British media broadcasts, eg navalny is definitely ‘poisoned’, immediately without question, and it must be gov conspiracy to murder not individual act, crying over Belarus protests but not mention France, Spain, Bolivia, Mali, on and on, in fact a segment denouncing events in Mali was followed by huge praise for Belarusian ‘opposition’ on BBC world service other day, it’s transparent, constant headlines of RAF chasing away Russian planes screaming like an urgent threat, but you read the text and it says British jets escorted Russian planes over the Baltic sea in international airspace, British navy will now head to black sea in order to ‘defend itself’… it’s all very crooked and deceptive, television anchors refer to Russian ‘interference’ then ponder about hacking, constantly implying the vote figures are manipulated rather than discuss the real accusation of a few Twitter bots, which they know is easily knocked down, skripal incident reported like secret service press releases, no questioning the authority or will it be like Iraq with quiet realisation but no apology later I don’t know how bliar sleeps at night… there’s definitely an undeniable and deliberate effort to make the Russian ‘threat’ appear enormous and dangerous, but to condition the west’s population for, well who knows what?

KL on August 22, 2020 · at 8:33 am EST/EDT

Thank you Mad A,

You are absolutely correct but you, like many others, fail to see the bigger picture. Russia and Britain are natural opponents (land vs. sea) and yet they haven’t faced off in a major war. I repeat, I have been totally disgusted by the total war waged here against Serbia and Russia since the early 1990s and as I said to a politician friend here – it wouldn’t surprise me if Britain were to lead a crusade against Russia this time. I’m waiting to see what happens.

Tyson B on August 22, 2020 · at 10:07 am EST/EDT

“As far as England being the main enemy of Russia … that is total nonsense.”

I beg to differ Ken:

Why England Was Always The Worst Enemy Of Russia

July 30, 2020

https://www.stalkerzone.org/why-england-was-always-the-worst-enemy-of-russia/

Regards

KL on August 22, 2020 · at 10:55 am EST/EDT

Dear Tyson,

As I said above, Britain and Russia have every reason to be enemies. Both were expansionist empires (the Russian one was the fastest growing empire in history), rivals for parts of Europe and Eurasia and both saw their enemy’s expansion as a mortal danger. Nobody will forget the British aiding the Turks and supporting Russia’s enemies–Islamic or otherwise etc. Given all this, is it not a miracle that they have fought on the same side in two world wars? Does this count for nothing?

The author of the article you linked is correct–Britain unlike Russia has (had?) global ambitions. That is undeniable and places Britain in the same camp as all the other predatory empires. Yet…

Oliver K on August 21, 2020 · at 1:39 pm EST/EDT

Only four mentions of “China” in this article. A *proper* alliance of China and Russia (together with some smaller states), that would be sufficient. But currently it seems that neither Russia nor China has any bigger goals, but just wish to be “left alone” (which will never happen).

Russian and Chinese “elites” are highly brainwashed/corrupted by the “West”, and that seems the main problem. Russia and China are ideologically very weak, just want to be “good guys”, playing “their part in the international community”.

In order to change that, Russia and China have to become much more assertive, must stop reacting and must start acting. The “elites” just go with the power (that has two sides!).

Larchmonter445 on August 21, 2020 · at 3:02 pm EST/EDT

@ Oliver K

I’m forwarding your instructions to Messrs. Putin and Xi.

Thanks for the input.

By the by, do you have some credentials, perhaps a term at the helm of a major nation, some geopolitical work?

It would help convince those two of the aptness of your recommendations.

Oliver K on August 22, 2020 · at 3:52 am EST/EDT

I guess Putin and Xi have essentially used up their energy. At least for Putin that seems clear.
They needed to have proper successors, who can now build on a stronger basis, and can be more assertive.

But the question of proper successors might be a big problem, especially due to the ideological weakness of Russia and China.

The problem of “ideological weakness” is linked to the question of “instructions” asked for by Larchmonter445. The framework of thought is given by the “West”, on all essential areas. Thus there are no “instructions” available.

Nussiminen on August 21, 2020 · at 1:49 pm EST/EDT

Just when I thought that the defeatism and learned helplessness which littered the comment sections during the nonsense in Belarus — where the non-entity Tikhanovskaya postured with the ”buzzard-faced” BHL — were fading, here comes a true ”masterpiece” in the very same genre. For your information: Lukashenko and Belarus survived and prevailed over the Western filth. The latter also lost in HongKong, they lost in Iran (industrial deal Iran/China).

Really, what I find particularly tiresome and objectionable with these doom-and-gloom sermons is their capitulationist bent, also ideologically. Here, the USSR’s unprecedented victory over European fascism is denigrated in strict accordance with the standard Zio-garbage:

None of the subsequent amazing victories of the Soviet arms would quite wash away the bitter taste of Stalin’s epic blunder of 1941.

Likewise, Lukashenko’s and the Belarusian KGB’s steadfastness and resolve during the coup were dismissed as ’blunders’, ’suicide’, and what-have-you. In one sense, this cretinism is promising. It shows that Pindos and Euro-trash have no spine. The Axis of Resistance is an entirely different breed.

Lastly, I don’t buy the proposition that the West — at least not its citizens — get off scot-free. Neoliberalism is unapologetically and utterly elitist wreaking havoc deliberately wherever it can. This is appreciably clear in Sweden, believe me.

Auslander on August 21, 2020 · at 2:27 pm EST/EDT

Nussiminen

Well said, very well said indeed. As I posited above your post, Byelorus will not fall regardless of the constant doom and gloom posted around this blog. Pity, really, that I don’t have the spare time to step on all the doomsayers and naysayers floating around. Wish I did, at least it would lead to some spirited discussions.

Auslander

Nussiminen on August 21, 2020 · at 4:06 pm EST/EDT

Thank you very much, Auslander.

Your submissions are particularly valuable since you’re posting from Russia — indeed Crimea — thanks to which you are able to deal appropriately also with doltish insinuations coming from, most recently, Fog of War.

Putin saved Belarus from utter hell — that doesn’t feel right for two-bit Western ’progressives’ and their firm belief in Western invincibility.

Cosimo on August 21, 2020 · at 1:53 pm EST/EDT

Colonel Cassad is a very useful website and Boris Rozhin is pretty sharp. Note that in the last few days, his dire pessimism has turned to cautious optimism. The details are on the website. Google Tranlation into English at https://translate.google.com/translate?hl=en&tab=wT&sl=ru&tl=en&u=colonelcassad.livejournal.com%2F

Strana.ua also has useful info.

It was unrealistic hubris for the Empire to think they could sink Belarus with another Maidan. As noted at Colonel Cassad, even 91% of Ukrainian TV viewers think Lukashenko should stay in power. There’s nothing like the power of a hard example. Libya, Ukraine …

KL on August 21, 2020 · at 4:53 pm EST/EDT

Dear Cosimo,

Thank you, but don’t you see we are clutching at straws – will he, won’t he. At this stage of the war, when the enemy has completely surrounded Russia, there must not be any uncertainty or vacillation. Does the CIA care what the Ukrainians (Western Russians) want?

Grazie

Bosnian Croat on August 21, 2020 · at 1:59 pm EST/EDT

War against Russia!!???

They will continue with economic and propaganda war but real WAR!

I do not know any nation in Europe which soldiers would be willing to go to fight with Russia.

Maybe Poles … but even them … I do not think so.

One Hungarian man told me – politicians and generals can do whatever they want but soldiers fight.
And soldiers are boys who are from ordinary people and they have to be motivated somehow
And that motivation does not exist in today new generation

I really cannot imagine them to fight against Russia or China. The very moment when they experience deadly answer from Russian military, that war is over.

NATO is paper tiger. I know that. I talked with some Croatian soldiers and they told me that it is easy to go to Baltic countries and to have some military exercises, drinking in Baltic pubs and chasing Baltic whores.

But to fight against Russia, they just laugh. No way that any of them want that and to feel any motivation for that despite of BS they listen to every day from their and American military officers.

And the very same mood exist among soldiers from all those countries.

Only way for West to break and destroy Russia is some Russian Color Revolution. Only way to achieve that are Russians themselves.

And that’s why we can expect long term economic pressure, stronger and stronger and this stupid and idiotic propaganda war.

svenro on August 21, 2020 · at 2:44 pm EST/EDT

Exactly, from recent misadventures in Iraq, Afghan, Libya, and other covet operations more US, UK and other grunts have committed suicide back home than been killed on milit operations. But what is unknown about multiple CIA MI6 Mossad etc., plus mercenary agencies with 100000 or more headchoppers and /or PMCs. On drugs, micro-chipped, zombiefied or plain desperate starving people as with Sudanese and other Africans fighting for Brit and US trained Saudi forces attacking Yemen. We are 7 billion people with more and more starving and are Very Expendable cannon fodder. (quote Sir-Burp Kissinger!! ). However, troops that are drugged and with nano implants combined with mini-nano nukes, drones etc., under AI guidance will be a challenge for dedicated human Russian military defending their homeland.
For Russia today every military personnel is a valuable human asset defending 1000s km of borders. Sure no sane and normal European NATO military person is prepared to die attacking Russia. Therefore Deep State with Pompeo and City of London has to more diabolically creative..

Gorgeous George on August 21, 2020 · at 2:47 pm EST/EDT

I fully agree.

No Croat or Italian (or even American) can be convinced to die in some Russian steppe in an offensive war.

On top of that we can look at recent adventures. Venezuela – fail, Iran – fail, Syria – fail….. and to take on Russia in a real war??? To quote Joe Biden – “Cmon man”.

Yes the Anglo empire had success in Bolivia and Ukraine, but those are wastebaskets.

Also since Serbia is mentioned a couple of times, Vuchic is going to Washington tonight for some negotiation with Albanians. I see this as a positive since the talks are getting pulled out of the EU, talks are with the real boss present, and it’s not like the EU was helping Serbia in any matter. I don’t place too much importance on this visit, I think it’s just procedural, but (huge BUT) if the author of the article is correct in his assessment of doom – then this visit is pivotal. If this attack is to happen then Serbia must recognize Kosovo as an independent state in order to pacify the soft underbelly of Europe. This will not happen.

Marko on August 21, 2020 · at 6:53 pm EST/EDT

Real boss is not in Washington. It is 4,857 miles to the east.

war is coming on August 22, 2020 · at 12:10 am EST/EDT

Bolivia is NOT at all a wastebasket as Bolivia has 90% of lithium world reserves(that was the only reason for the coup as the rare earth for Ukraine).Lithium is vital for the silicone valley gafa and microships industries.They also try with Kim for the very same reason(rare earth).Iran has nothing to do with a nuclear bomb or even Israel only with Oil and gas(same for Venezuela).The US only makes wars(or try to)for ressources and nothing else.No ideology,no religious reason(only excuses).Money,money,money.They pretty don’t care about the people even of their own country.

KL on August 21, 2020 · at 3:15 pm EST/EDT

Dear BC,

If you’d read my article, you would have seen that it is precisely the opposite – no need for a hot war.

Tom Welsh on August 21, 2020 · at 3:38 pm EST/EDT

If faced with the immediate choice between fighting Russia and bayonetting their own generals and politicians, I think most European soldiers would make the obvious choice.

It’s just a simple matter of perceiving who is your real enemy.

vientito on August 21, 2020 · at 4:47 pm EST/EDT

I think it’s always better to be cautious and never underestimate your enemy. I, for one, do believe Russia holds an edge in military formation but i think there is a real possibility that if AZ leaders do act there would be overwhelming and blinding attacks. They will hope with the first strike it would completely incapacitate their adversaries. What I think at this point is to convince them a capable system is in place for an equally devastating retaliation.

I hope we won’t have to live up to that contingency measure.

Anonymous on August 22, 2020 · at 8:19 am EST/EDT

“Only way for West to break and destroy Russia is some Russian Color Revolution. Only way to achieve that are Russians themselves.”

I tend to agree. The USSR fell in part because the younger age groups at the time were seduced by Western rock music and espoused cultural ideals of ‘freedom’ — an idea that came from a Beatles doco from memory (but long since lost reference).

That gap does not exist now. The West’s dirty underwear (and economic theory collapse) is on show for all to see. China and India at 1.2-1.4 billion (approx) and the former now back in civilization mode with technological advances (e.g. 5G, not that I’d want it, but they have the IP and standards, hence the dummy spit by the USA etc), clearly sets the future trends — not some tired old European/UK domain wasting away with old age and gender confusion.

Why the Russians put up with NATO is hard to see — but it must be part of their calculus. At the moment I assume that Norde Stream 2 is the core strategic focus between Russia and Germany. Once that is linked in then I suspect the EU-Russian pivot dynamics will change. As for the US — yes the Spartan elite can wage war, but as the Covid-19 outbreak has shown, the epidemic in obesity, diabetes and heart disease is hardly going to invade Russia. And with supply chains extended to China and Southeast Asia the US has a long lead time to be able to sustain war on two continent front-lines. Sure they can ‘shock and awe’ but not with Russia or China. It’s just looking like a long 100-years of stalemate in play.

If it comes to the crunch all the Russians have to do is advise Germany that 25-million angry WW2 ghosts will be flying the Russian flag over Berlin once again for 100 years (once the radiation levels drop to save levels) if they don’t sort out the NATO BS. Problem solved. Japan surrendered after 2 rounds of atomic bombs — perhaps that will echo something of the next hot war if (God forbid) it should occur.

KL on August 21, 2020 · at 2:08 pm EST/EDT

Dear all,

People complaining about the bad news remind me of the party hacks in the USSR who did not dare acknowledge that Barbarossa was coming in order not to offend their partnyor.

Stalin might not have been nice but he was the perfect man for the job. Imagine Gorbachev or Yeltsin leading the nation at that time.

Suvorov’s thesis is the last refuge of a… Russophobe.

I understand your animus but please disprove any of the points I made. Let “anonymous” rebels dispatch an American general in Syria and see what happens.

Thanks

Prospeller on August 21, 2020 · at 4:57 pm EST/EDT

“Let “anonymous” rebels dispatch an American general in Syria and see what happens.”

I will tell you what happens: nothing. Nobody will ever know about it. Besides, NATO commanders have died in ME, as you probably know.

Uncle Bob on August 21, 2020 · at 2:15 pm EST/EDT

I agree with the author.But I’m sad that he’d didn’t leave any ideas as to what to do about it. So I’ll leave mine.

Russia needs to stop making Stalin’s mistakes leading up to Barbarossa. Take control of her money supply.And ban the use of the dollar in any Russian trade, unless with the US itself. Purge the pro-Western elements out of Russia’s governing elite. As the author said, Stalin not having a 5th column to worry about was one key element in the USSR winning the war. Appoint Glaznev or someone with similar economic ideas to restore the economy to Soviet levels of world importance. Purge society in Russia of Russia haters. Especially the education system. We see what damage Russia haters in Ukrainian schools did to the young. The fact that so many teachers in Russian schools are pro-Western is appalling, and must be corrected, sooner rather than later. That is how the West builds its traitor class in a target country. So it truly is a matter of life or death to stop them.

Announce a Putin Doctrine, which says that meddling in the affairs of a CTSO nation will be treated as an attack on Russia as well. And the response will be the same as an attack on Russia would bring. Up to and including a military response. And if that happens, back up those words. Had Russia not allowed Nazi Germany to build up to Barbarossa, many of the horrible losses might have been avoided. Move to include other friendly allies under the Putin Doctrine umbrella.

Only the rollback of Western aggression will convince them to stop further aggression. Have conversations with European leaders and explain that the sanctions need to end. Or Russia will consider the country applying them as at war with Russia. And the next war will be fought on their soil not Russia’s, and mean what you say. Alexander I, had to water his Cossack’s horses in the Seine to end Napoleon’s war on Russia. And Stalin had to conquer Berlin to end Hitler’s threat to Russia. The next war needs to see Russia not stop until Calais (conquering Britain isn’t important missiles would contain their aggression without an invasion). But NATO would be destroyed, with all its European stooges, either in ruins, or, the smart ones would pull a Romania of WW2 act, and withdraw from NATO and either declare themselves neutral, or ask to ally with Russia.

To win this nefarious war, Russia must start being pro-active, not re-active. Being re-active only means “not losing yet”. The victors write the history, which is why the West is able to shape reality to their side. Russia must not let that continue. As an example, polls in France fairly close to the end of WW2 asked who did the most to defeat Nazi Germany.Almost 3 fourths answered correctly, the USSR.Recently the same question was asked in France and most said it was the US. With the USSR having much lower numbers. That is the power of Western propaganda at work. And Russia not having a propaganda policy to counter it.

The West constantly portrays Russia as an evil country to stoke fear of her. No amount of “sweet talk” is going to change that perception in the foreseeable future. So maybe that can be worked with. In the World the two most important motivators are love and fear. Love is out of the question right now. And propaganda being what it is, love can be changed. But fear on the other hand, how do you think the US controls its minions. It certainly isn’t love. Those enemies of Russia need to fear her. Let them think to themselves, ”I don’t want Russia mad at me, and coming to get me. I better not do anything that would make her come for me”. A small example is Ukraine. Now I have been very critical of Russia’s handling of the Ukrainian mess. But in this case they got it right. The Ukrainians were massing troops to attack Donbass. Putin says on TV he can’t sit silent and see a civilian bloodbath take place. And then he orders a few days later Russian troops to the Ukrainian border for “training”. The Ukrainians pull their troops back and cancel the planned attack. Now would Putin have used the troops he sent to the border against the Ukrainian attack, who knows. But the point was they “feared” he would and didn’t take the chance. Russia must stop being the EU/NATO’s door mat, always walked on.

KL on August 21, 2020 · at 3:18 pm EST/EDT

Dear UB,

I thought I’d replied but probably not.

Thank you – that is exactly what’s needed – a very measured aggressive posture which pushes the criminals back. An arrest here, an accident there. But no, even at this late hour, it is all about “our European friends and partners”.
Call Angela! She’s da boss.

anon on August 22, 2020 · at 3:53 am EST/EDT

Uncle Bob seems perfectly right to me.

I have noted all Uncle Bob has listed about Putin before and expressed my suspicion that Putin is fifth column himself because of it but the Saker did not like it. if KL is right and the Russian situation under AZ empire pressure what is Putin waiting on?

in fact even if the AZ empire wasn’t as aggressively forward as it apparently is, the hold on Russia by western interests, whose still literal control of the Russian economy for example, is inexcusable

I also find that the K.L author of such doom and gloom above is also inexcusable, especially as he does not offer us a path out. K.L never even criticized Putin directly, or dissected Putin’s leadership in demonstration of such leadership possibly being a western incentive for it’s described comprehensive ‘peaceful’ attack on Russia up to its doorstep

I mean if Putin does not take back control of the Russian Banking system after all theses years, if he did not take it back immediately upon assuming power..in addition of his love for ‘Europeaness’, his Russian wish to be accepted by Europe, then maybe there is indeed a wish to capitulate to the west In Russian leadership exemplified by Putin’s very leadership these past years. therefore, extreme western pressure on Russia could likely act like a successful kind of color revolution in Russia itself, would work by giving Putin every reason to give up, capitulate indeed and accept western vassalage

if Putin were indeed the aggressive leader we all hoped he would be, the West would not have gotten as far as alleged by K.L. Indeed far from what our doom and gloom author establishes, the west could have been moving forward as they have, seemingly fearlessly..entirely based on such an understanding of Putin.

the West would understand Putin completely, therefore are fully aware of what he will and wont do, based on experience and comprehensive assessment of the man himself, and by that knowledge, totally confident in it, they have pushed into Putin’s face certain that he will do absolutely nothing in response to their aggression.

Putin has in fact done nothing.. and does not demonstrate any sign that we will get up and act even according to Uncle Bob’s sensible and evident nationalist program for Russia at this point

were Putin’s inaction and refusal to retake total internal control of Russia from the west the source of KL’s doom and gloom, I would be unnerved as I am about Putin. I have long been absolutely concerned abut Putin based on what I saw going on. but I am not concerned about K.L’s article at all. it reads like more western psychological propaganda to me

subhuti37 on August 22, 2020 · at 6:13 am EST/EDT

Excellent, I am sharing your points. Informationclearinghouse also published this but it doesn’t have the informed commenters as are here.

Larchmonter445 on August 21, 2020 · at 2:32 pm EST/EDT

Here’s what Putin has been doing, his cunning plan for Belarus:
He let Luka get his tit in the Western ringer and then scream for help from the Kremlin, including the Military of Russia.

Putin has release Luka’s tit. He has infused FSB specialists to “manage” the communications of Belarus.
He has assured to Luka, to the Belarus military, and to the people of Belarus that no one will be allowed to violate Belarus’ sovereignty, at any border or internally.

Management of the “strikes”, the Media, bolstering the security forces and directing the control measures that will co-opt the opposition and strangle the uprising paid for by the West are now “Russian” directed.

Luka is obeying the only “line”, Belarus will join Russia in all organizations. The Union State, EAEU, CSTO, SCO, whatever Putin wants.

Russia has made it abundantly clear that this color revolution will wither and die and Belarus will stay in Russian sphere of influence. The Poles and Liths and other Baltic midgets might hope otherwise, but the red line is drawn around the Belarus border. No one enters or they face the Russian military.

Luka is a temporary place holder. A new president will be approved by Moscow and that man will carry out the policies that Putin wants for Belarus. Union State integration will benefit Belarus. EAEU will benefit Belarus. The Eurasian Integration (China development and trade nexus) will benefit Belarus.

Putin acted. He let Luka and the West make their moves. Then he picked up the chips, all the chips.

He doesn’t have to send his military. He just states that he will. EU/NATO know he will and piss their pants at the thought.

Meanwhile, the US demonizes him with the Navalny false flag. Pathetic.

Auslander on August 21, 2020 · at 3:07 pm EST/EDT

Larchmonter, my friend and comrade, you nailed it far better than I ever could. You stated that Luka got his tit caught in the wringer but my thought was what got caught was something a little more sensitive, but whatever got caught in the mangle made a believer of him and the first call he placed was to VVP. ‘Nough said, and the rest will be history.

Auslander

Prospeller on August 21, 2020 · at 5:11 pm EST/EDT

Larchmonter, author of this article seems to agree with you:

https://www.stalkerzone.org/putins-quiet-ingenious-belarus-special-operation/

And I also agree with you, Belarus will stay in Russian sphere of influence. And finally Mother Russia will win in every front. Mostly because the so called West is completely evil, and evilness always destroys itself.

Paganstorm on August 22, 2020 · at 6:31 am EST/EDT

It’s an important article, and the danger is absolutely real. But I would add more nuance to the statements. One is this: what enables the West to draw smaller countries from the Russian or Chinese sphere of interest to it’s orbit?
It’s money and economic prosperity (and propaganda about freedom and Western “values” to some extent). But the viability of dollar as the world reserve (which is used to buy influence in other countries) becomes more and more questionable every day, with the continuous money printing and deficit spending. Also the prosperity of Western nations is based on unsustainable increase of debt and economic problems are mounting.
Another take is that Russia successfully protected it’s interests in Syria, Turkey became independent of the West, while Iran successfully cooperates with the other 3 countries of the Shia crescent.
The third take is about technology: Russia lags in some areas like microchip manufacturing or software, but China is catching up quickly. The US rejects Huawei’s 5G technology while 5G is already being built in not just China, but in Russian cities. If China and Russia can pull ahead in the technology front, their appeal will be much greater to smaller countries.
When all of Russia’s neighbours are regime changed, it’s obvious that Russia is next on the list, and it’s very dangerous. But will the Western economic / technological hegemony last long enough to finish Russia? It’s an open question.

KLon August 22, 2020 · at 7:57 am EST/EDT

Dear Paganstorm,

Thank you. Yet, nuance can be an enemy of clarity. I understand that the West is not untouchable. Yet here we are. Imagine Russian troops exercising in Canada, 400 km from New York (if geographically possible).

Prospeller on August 22, 2020 · at 8:25 am EST/EDT

Look at the winner:

https://sputniknews.com/europe/202008221080246083-rally-in-support-of-belarusian-president-lukashenko-in-grodno—video/

That confirms what was written in Stalker Zone:

“Putin waited until Lukashenko lost the support of the west and he would have no other options but the development of the Union state. And now Lukashenko, instead of making excuses, again feels very confident, but Russian politicians have taken a firm grip on him, because now is the best time to conclude agreements while his position is weak, and the Belarusian President himself now declares that Union relations are good and proper. Along with Belarusian flags, Russian flags are now being displayed, and positive news about Russia is being played on TV again, not the other way around (this is important for preparing people for rapprochement). The protests have almost run out of steam in just a few days of Russian intelligence work.”

https://www.stalkerzone.org/putins-quiet-ingenious-belarus-special-operation/

Developments in recent years show that color revolutions against pro-Russian governments – machinated mostly by British secret services – tend to fail.

West has no military advance anymore – that´s why hot war is out of question – their financial means are shrinking, and now their dirty games against Russia are turning against themselves.

In the case of Lukashenko, West did unintentionally a great favor for Russia. This failed color revolution drives Belarussia to the caring arms of Mother Russia. So now´s not the time for the doom and gloom.

Mr P on August 22, 2020 · at 9:14 am EST/EDT

Far too complex to make specific remarks about outcome. Excellent comments, excellent article. If I were betting, I bet Russia will be recognizable in 50 years. I would also bet that the US will not be. Now to find a bookie…

For what it’s worth, I expect that the “internal contradictions” of “the west”, and especially the US, and more especially the complex of dollar collapse, bad weather, diseases, and fractious people (and also whole States!) will amount to a gradual recognition that the Empire is self-destructing. Pretty much what Kennan wrote about USSR seems applicable to the US now.

Sun Tsu seems to be the guiding principle. Long wars and impoverishment, all that.

(I used to comment here, but it’s been years and I can’t recall the username, anyway “Mr P” will do.

Especial howdy to Auslander – I guy I personally like, even tho he and I misunderstood one-another a few times, we did not actually disagree)

Chaucer on August 22, 2020 · at 11:03 am EST/EDT

Hi Mr. Ken Leslie, thank you for your insightful article. A good portion of the american Deep State has received the so-called Jesuit education and instruction. The extremely cruel Counter-Reformation was engineered by the Jesuits. Its founder and founding members are all murderers. It is only fitting that in many wars, assassinations, pogroms, we see their fingerprints and footprints. The facts regarding the Jesuits have been sanitized and deodorized, but they cannot fool everyone.

KL on August 22, 2020 · at 11:19 am EST/EDT

Dear Chaucer,

Thank you very much. Indeed, you are absolutely right. This doesn’t mean that there aren’t other maleficent cabals but the ones you mention have been causing considerable damage for a long time.

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