State of the Ukraine War: The Official Russian Account

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Ministry of Defence, Russian Federation

Briefing by the Russian Ministry of Defence on the current results of the special military operation in Ukraine

 

Two more briefings: Colonel General Sergei Rudskoy and Colonel General Mikhail Mizintsev

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“Note that the Russians have lost 1351 men with 3825 injured (many with catastrophic damage). I prefer this operation take a month or two or three if it means fewer soldiers and pilots are lost and the minimum collateral losses are caused.”

Those numbers (if true) are actually very low, when considering what the Russians did and what they achieved. A Blitzkrieg against an enemy equipped with modern weapons normally would in heavy casualties, and indeed the Russians seem to have lost the most men in the first week or two. So yeah, while every casualty is a tragedy, this operation has actually been extremely efficient. More efficient than anything I’ve seen the west do in the last 50 years.

On the other hand, the above numbers are for Russian military casualties only. Much of the fighting on the ground seems to have been carried out by militia, so real casualties on the “good side” might be much higher.

Also, before anyone comments “all parties in war exaggerate enemy losses while understating their own”: When one side of the conflict has been outright fabricating evidence, and the other side appears to have been “mostly honest” (i still expect a lot of lies by omission), then i’d rather take numbers from the later as a guideline.


That’s a good point although I would wager that Russia is still doing the brunt of the more difficult fighting to the extent that:

1. Kiev/Kharkov/Kherson meat grinders were areas of heavy armor utilization where Russia made large gains of territory by actually spearheading combined arms mobile groups through enemy forces etc.

2. In Donbass, a large part of the fighting is merely artillery duels from across trenches of both sides. In Donbass relatively speaking very little territory has been gained in the old frontlines. 90% of gained territory really has been from the north Mariuopl/Zaporizhzhia Oblast territory and that territory was mostly gained by RF Crimean detachment.

3. In Mariupol proper one can argue DPR is doing much of the work, but Chechen forces appear to be 50/50 with DPR in cleansing Mariupol, with (from what I pieced together so far) a smaller Russian marine detachment.


 

It may not yet be time for Russia to put away its military toys, or recall its polite armed men, but …

Repeating myself, I think Russia should immediately start publishing and broadcasting in the Ukraine, another point of view which is not fabricated by the Ministry of Truth at Foggy Bottom. After 8 years of total immersion, the Ukraine needs an antidote to the torrent of lies from zone A.


It is fairly obvious that they are prepared for NATO to intervene, which will lead to stage III – defanging NATO. If it comes to that, Russia will fight that war in a very different and far more aggressive manner. They are showing great care in Ukraine to protect civilians whom they view as brothers, because virtually everyone in Russia has relatives in Ukraine. They will not act this way toward NATO if NATO is stupid enough to jump in.

I wonder if NATO is self-deceived about the Russian “losses” in Ukraine. Unlike Ukraine, which has been digging in at Donbass for eight years, the rest of Europe has no such deeply entrenched defensive forces to defeat.

I still expect that Stage III of Putin and Xi’s plan involved defanging NATO’s navy is some way.

Stage IV is a replacement of the Bretton Woods Monetary System. Stage IV is already underway, largely due to the stupidity of the USA and EU in their total war sanctions on Russia’s economy.


Sputnik’s telegram post also quoted this:

“There were 2 directions for the operation: to limit itself to the Donetsk and Lugansk regions or to act on the entire territory of Ukraine, including demilitarization and denazification. The development of the operation confirmed that the decision to carry it out ???????? ???????????? ???????????????????????? ???????????????????????????????????? ???????? ???????????????????????????? was right”

However, I can’t find this particular quote on their website. Can anyone confirm this? Anyway, if this statement is true, then Russia just confirmed that the operation will not limit itself to the east, and they will not allow some kind of Idlib 2.0 to be established in western Ukraine.


Not necessarily: Operating on the whole territory can simply mean striking targets across the whole territory with planes, helicopters and missiles. It doesn’t have to mean securing the whole territory with ground forces. If you have been paying attention, you will notice that’s exactly what happened thus far.

However, if the west keeps importing trouble, securing the whole territory may be the only option. IIRC the Russian foreign minister hinted at something like this yesterday when he said that “Ukraine has forfeited its chance to remain a sovereign nation”.


I heard on the radio this morning here in Montreal that the famous Canadian sniper (Wally) was not killed, as mentioned by someone. They even played a short clip of him speaking a bit about his combat experience and the death of one of his colleague next to him.

 

Lucky him, if it's true. It could be just propaganda, using an old clip of him and stuff. It literally doesn’t matter either way, it looks like by now all the mercs understand that Russia means business and “defending” Banderastan is a suicide mission.

 

“Canadian”, maybe his passport is that but he´s not. Quite obvious that he´s from the Middle East somewhere from his looks and syntax when talking.  He is alive so far though, hope the Russians treat that war-tourist as well as he deserves.


I am not sure about that. Biden already admitted that there will be food shortages and yesterday almost every newspaper in Britain mentioned “the lowest standards of living since the 50s in the UK due to high gas and food prices”.
:))))
They are losing the economic war so far and bleeding out.

 

Another important info to hang on to that flew under the radar:

“Russians MoD:

Since the beginning of the operation, the Ukrainian group in Donbass has lost 16,000 out of 59,000 people, or 26% – more than 7,000 of them – are irretrievable losses.”

So according to MoD there is 59,000 total elite veteran Ukie forces in Donbass and 7,000 of them have been irreparably taken out (killed or injured beyond ability to fight again, i.e. permanent incapacitation). The remaining 9,000 that means are likely “wounded” and can return to combat.

So this leaves us with about a high of 52,000 to a low of somewhere in the 47,000+ range (depending how many of the wounded can make it back) in the Donbass cauldron according to these statistics.

 

Numbers of missing in action (MIA) not mentioned so total KIA, WIA, MIA might be around 5,500 which is 2,8% loss rate if estimating forces have been 200,000.

Interestingly Kiev is not giving its own losses likely because they have no idea how high they might be. (circa 20,000 likely??? )

 

Most likely 75-80% of wounded are not severe cases. 75% share was common in Red Army during 1944-45. So 2,700 of wounded can return to service during this spring or summer, some perhaps not to combat units.

 

The Russian Armed Forces are becoming the new RAF.



Bloaty March 25, 2022 at 1:55 pm EST
Not really. They are just the Russian Federation armed forces, heirs to the Red Army.


 


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