Andrei Martyanov
REMINISCENCE OF THE FUTURE
April 14, 2022
The Saker Notes...
About this British dude, a soldier of (mis)fortune who watched too much Hollywood and was in a position to shoot at people with almost impunity. As was stated by many already on many occasions, war with Russian forces is different.
I understand their purely human concerns, but, frankly, this is not how it works, not to mention the fact that he does not qualify to be an enemy combatant.
His parents could be 100% sure that he will not have his throat slit or joints blown by point blank shots from AK-74, nor that he will be tortured, as Russian POWs are in the captivity of the regime this British dude decided to support, but he is still a mercenary. Of course, now he begins to sing this oh so familiar song which now thousands of VSU and Nazi POWs sing. It is the same across the board: I didn't do actual fighting, I am a cook, I am just a driver, I am whatever is not getting me court martialled for war crimes. Well, they are not the first, nor they are the last ones to sing such a song.
Now some sitrepish clarification. There was a number of strikes today on Kiev (some of them rather dramatic) but make no mistake--it has nothing to do with the sinking of RKR Moskva, but everything to do with the warning Russia issued a couple of days ago when the damage to the railway in Orel Oblast was detected, obviously by a VSU diversionary group. It was stated that this type of activity on Russian territory will be punished. A day later two VSU helis attacked the township of Kilimovo in Bryanks Oblast of Russia and destroyed some civilian property and 8 civilians got wounded.
Here is Klimovo on the map:
It is around 11 kilometers from Russian-Ukrainian border and is surrounded by forests and ravines which make approaches by low flying helis extremely difficult to control by Air Defense and this is the terrain which VSU wants to use to attack Russian border towns and villages. This is a second such attack, the last one was against civilian gasoline facility in Belgorod region, so the response will be on Ukraine's government facilities, which have been for now not on the list of the targets. Our very own Larch already compiled such a list:
Military decision centers:
1) Ministry of Defense of Ukraine - Povitroflotsky prospect, house No. 6;
2) General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - Povitroflotsky prospect, house No. 6;
3) Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine - st. Elektrikov, house No. 33 (earlier strikes had already been made in that area);
4) Headquarters of the Ground Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine - st. Degtyarevskaya, house number 19;
5) Security Service of Ukraine - st. Vladimirskaya, house number 33;
6) Ministry of Internal Affairs - st. Academician Bogomolets, house number 10;
7) State Border Service - st. Vladimirskaya, house number 26;8) Main Directorate of the National Guard of Ukraine - st. Svyatoslav the Brave, house number 9A.
Political decision-making centers:
1) The Headquarters of the Supreme Commander, presumably, is located in the bunkers of the office of the President of Ukraine in Kyiv on the street. Bankova, house number 11. Another bunker may be located in the plane of the Arsenalnaya metro station - this is the deepest station in Europe;
2) Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine - st. Grushevsky, house number 5;
3) Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine - st. Grushevsky, house number 12/2.
So, we will see later today the results of such retaliation. Obviously, the story with bioweapons is getting bigger and bigger with each day and we may only speculate what kind of nervous reaction it creates in D.C. and Brussels (or Berlin!). But that is a separate topic, many names in the US and Europe tied to this program are already known, including experiments with infecting the patients of Ukraine's mental facilities with different strains of illnesses developed in those labs. Hmm, it reminds me of something, I can not put the finger on it somehow, my memory is a bit fuzzy... Unit 731... maybe it is because I didn't get enough sleep... Dr. Mengele... Nah, cannot recall what it reminds me of...
For Mine and Underwater Diversionary Activity...
As you all know, I hate speculations. But, this is one of those cases where I want to give some context. It is JUST the context, nothing more. It shows the area where RKR Moskva, near Zmeinyi Island, was prior to the event and it shows the range to both Ukraine and Romania's shores.
On RKR Moskva, Again.
1. Internal sabotage. It is a working hypothesis for now.
2. Some form of external "impact" (I doubt these were Ukie missiles), if it has a Western origin, ramifications will be extremely serious.
But it is too early to speculate. As with Kursk, the media bacchanalia will continue. It will change absolutely nothing in the outcome of the SMO but if any Western power is involved, there will be retaliation. It is not the first time the Black Sea Fleet loses a capital ship, enough to recall the mystery with battleship Novorossiysk (ex-Giulio Cesare) which still hasn't been completely solved.
All I can say is that I knew her as Slava in 1981 when she was afloat in the Northern Bay of Sevastopol and my class which was at first summer practice on board of old cruiser Dzerzhinsky was given an extensive introduction to her. So, she was an old lady and it is too bad that she had to finish her long life this way and at this time.
In the end, Sevastopol still remembers what happened when Otvazhnyi (Project 61 Large ASW ship) had her AD missiles stores detonating in 1974. Now recriminations (and acrimony) start and it will take some effort to squeeze facts from the thick jelly of media BS and conspiracy theory.
Larry Makes Some Very Good Points.
Read the whole thing by following the link to Larry's blog. Netcentricity rules in this case. Both main Russian combat helis Ka-52 and Mi-28 have data links to ground units which designate targets. This is apart from having links between each-other.
On A Lighter Note
It doesn't have to be all doom and gloom all the time. One needs some emotional relief and here is a real fact. I mean it is not a joke. Anna Semenovich--a popular Russian pop-singer--now visits wounded warriors in hospitals and sings for them. It is very noble of her.
The Key Phrase (or About RKR Moskva Again)
The key phrase in this whole RKR Moskva affair, with her being "sunk" or "being hit by missiles" are Russian MoD's words about "the cause of the fire is under investigation". Usually, when you are hit by missiles you don't investigate--it is self evident what happened. As was expected, Ukies immediately tried to "insert" their version of the fire and explosion on board of Moskva, which turned out, surprise-surprise, a full BS. But then again, remember--VSU is about to crush Russian Forces in 404 and be on their way to Moscow.
Looks like it is not even being towed but Moskva is on the way under her own power, at least that is what Kirby (it seems) stated himself (in Russian). So, anyone who has the time to listen to his briefing, please check if this is true.
In any case, Moskva is certainly not sunk, she is functional and will be repaired, at least this is the word for now. In fact, something tells me, that now she may go into the modernization and even a deeper one than Marshal Ustinov. Just to make the point. I cannot give the guarantee, obviously, but something tells me that this could be one of the options. This Moskva issue is a great demonstration of a massive fraud which all kinds of telegram-channels and military "experts" offer as "analysis" and "news" rushing to promote themselves as valid news outlets, while selling fake sensations. I am not talking about Ukie or Western propaganda--one would expect them to lie. No, I am talking about a truck-load of those alleged "pro-Russian" outlets who spread BS purely to make a buck.
Per versions on why the fire started: recall Bonhomme Richard? Just saying. Military counter-intel organs cannot be 100% proof and under present conditions of SMO the issue of sabotage cannot be excluded, period. Especially after devastating news for Kiev with yet another more than VSU 300 marines surrendering today to Russian Forces and the pool of POWs from Ukrainian side constituting now more than 3,000 POWs. The reduction of the Donbass cauldron, some sources close to SMO project, may bring 30,000 VSU POWs and that is a completely different "logistics" in humanitarian and security terms. As I already stated, the most in demand profession in LDNR right now are prison security guards, to handle thousands VSU POWs. This in itself could be a very serious motivation for someone who may have sympathies to regime in Kiev, which may not have been promptly detected. Inside work is totally possible. We'll see anyway.
BTW, pay attention to those Vikhrs on Ka-52s, those are PGMs.
Wednesday, April 13, 2022
About RKR Moskva.
The rumors are swirling about RKR Moskva hit by allegedly (emphasis on allegedly) Ukie Neptun anti-shipping missiles. The only thing which is known at this stage is that Russia's MoD confirmed fire and detonation of the ammo, which, in this case means only the cellar with 130-mm shells for the nose dual gun AK-130. As any ammo cellar Moskva's is "wrapped" in armored shell. Project 1164 standard 16 anti-shipping missiles Vulkan are stored in separate armored containers located in groups of 2 x 4 on each side of the ship and they cannot "detonate" that easily. Nor can detonate with catastrophic consequences S-300 Fort AD missiles which are also stored in revolver type containers.
Understandably 404 side immediately tried to assign the "credit" to itself and its Neptun missiles, which are nothing more than subsonic iteration of venerable Russian X-35 Uran. It is too early to speculate what went wrong, but something did go wrong and the first question is where was the sprinkler system (systema oroshenia pogrebov). We don't know. The ship is more than 40 years old, after all, and unlike sistership Marshal Ustinov didn't undergo modernization. If one throws away the hypothesis of Ukie missiles, the only thing which comes to mind is either internal sabotage or even a possibility of a diversion from the outside by combat divers. I would suggests at this stage not to believe all kinds telegram-channels, especially ukie and Russian "experts", but wait for official announcement of Russian MoD. Do not forget, this event will be amplified and multiplied by Western propaganda, but it also may open floodgates for other events, especially if it will be established that foreign powers have been involved. This event may have some propaganda value but it doesn't change the outcome and the objectives of the SMO. Physical location of the ship at the moment of the event will be telling a lot.
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