The War for Occupied Palestine
ROGER BOYD
SUBSTACK
Well, it seems that I got the date of “Peak Ukraine” nearly spot on given what is now happening in Occupied Palestine. I do not know whether the Zionist regime knew of the attack beforehand or not, to me any such prognostications on this are meaningless speculation. The reality is that Hamas has struck at a time when Zionist munition stocks are low (emptied to supply Ukraine), the Jewish population has become accustomed to a make believe life where they live as if they were in Brooklyn and the Palestinians are kept quietly subjugated and dispossessed while out of sight and out of mind, the Zionist military is made of much softer types than served in 1948, and the normalization of Zionist-Arab State relations are at a critical point. As an occupied people, shoved into an open air concentration camp with little future to look forward to, the Palestinians in Gaza have nearly nothing to lose while the Zionists have everything to lose.
The Palestinians have already:
· Destroyed the myth that Zionists can live peacefully in Occupied Palestine, enjoying a US-style life experience, as if they are living in Brooklyn with a few well-controlled prisons and a large concentration camp down the road. The result of this will be the emigration of the more economically successful, aided by the threat to liberalism which the extremist Zionist (basically a Jewish ISIS) elements are successfully pushing within the Zionist institutions.
· Destroyed the “invincibility” of the Israeli Defence Force (IDF), which has been trading on this myth for a long time. An apartheid state surrounded by a much bigger population cannot afford to be seen as soft and incompetent.
· Destroyed any possibility of a normalization of relations between the Arab states and the Zionist regime, Saudi Arabia has already ended all negotiations with Israel on the normalization of relations.
· Shown their own technical and military capabilities, in a Tet-style offensive which signals to the world that the war for Occupied Palestine will not end until the stolen land is returned.
The abhorrent double-standard between those currently declaiming the deaths of the colonizers when they have remained mute to the deaths of the colonized on a much larger scale year after year is so evident in the media of North America. Outside of the West, and outside of the official media even in the West, the Zionist regime is losing the information war to maintain its civilized status and the true state terrorists are being revealed. Abby Martin covers what is the everyday “normal” for the Palestinians as their colonizers seek to subjugate them and steal their land.
In addition, the IDF may find itself rapidly bogged down in street-to-street fighting with very high casualties, displaying weakness to its other possible opponents. Drones, anti-tank guided missiles and shoulder launched anti-aircraft missiles very much change the calculus between a (not so well trained or experienced) modern military and freedom fighters fighting on their own land. Is the Zionist regime and its population really ready for a Grozny-on-the-Mediterranean 35 kms south of Tel-Aviv?
Unless the US wants to utterly destroy its position in the region and create a global depression as oil prices surge past US$300 a barrel (greatly benefitting Russia and destroying the European economy), it will not directly attack Iran. The Biden administration has also half-depleted its strategic petroleum reserve in a vain attempt to keep the lid on inflation, removing that reserve as a possible counter-balance to any shutting down of the Straits of Hormuz. The US itself will not be short of oil given the massive increase in domestic production in recent years, but it will not be able to stop the global price of oil rising dramatically. In such circumstances China’s widespread electrification of its transportation system and its well-stocked petroleum reserve will help it withstand any oil price shock much better than many other nations.
El Nino winter there may also be a new energy crisis (especially with Europe partially dependent on LNG from the Gulf), electoral regime change will come to haunt those elites. This weekend in Germany, the SPD who lead the ruling coalition was devastated in regional elections in Hesse and Bavaria while the other two coalition parties (Greens and FDP) lost votes. The right of centre CDU/CSU and especially the right-wing AfD won big; the AfD came second in both regions. With the probability of a breakaway traditional left-wing (i.e. unwoke and focused on the needs of the workers) party from Die Linke being formed, things may get much harder for the ruling coalition and its comprador Atlanticist backers.
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