Monopoly capital is preparing its next big move, & this will involve a staged provocation from the left

Rainer Shea
Rainer's Newsletter

A sinister picture of the White House, perhaps entirely fitting considering what it usually harbours.

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Whether it happens around the inauguration or at a different time, the three-letter agencies are going to create a new January 6 event in left-wing form. Except this event is going to play a different role than that first provocation; the original January 6 was about creating an excuse to build an official domestic front for the War on Terror, while this new provocation will be about letting the state activate this repressive tool. The Capitol Hill riot let Biden create the “Countering Domestic Terrorism” program, in which activists of essentially all kinds are placed under suspicion of violent extremism. The riot also let tech companies increase their censorship of Palestinians, which is something they now have a greater desire for than ever. 

 

The next step will be to mobilize the types of leftists who view themselves as “antifa” warriors fighting the new Hitler. Like how the feds turned MAGA activists into FBI assets and then orchestrated a break-in, they’ll manipulate these left elements into pursuing other adventurist activities, potentially of a more violent nature.

This new false flag will need to be more spectacular than the last one, because for it to succeed, it will have to create real fear. January 6 was in large part a circus, where people were taking selfies in the Capitol and dressing up in goofy costumes. No cops died in the line of duty, making it harder to believe that this was a serious threat to democracy. When the feds activate the ultra-violent elements of the left, they’ll have to create the sense that wokeness really does pose an imminent danger towards national security; they’ll need images that stick with people. Only a crime that tops January 6 can accomplish what the deep state wants to accomplish, which is the proliferation of massive national paranoia and outrage. 

The next war maneuvers, and the effort to purge dissent, require the perception that Palestine supporters are “radical Islamist” assets; this is how Trump’s future Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard has described the Gaza protesters, and it’s how our government wants the conservative base to see these Americans. So the feds will orchestrate shocking acts of violence, associate them with pro-Palestine people, and say that China is behind the whole conspiracy.

That’s how a domestic false flag can assist Washington both in its purge against dissent, and in its effort to start a direct war with the PRC. Our ruling class is anxious to go on a multi-front offensive; time is running out for the imperial order, so monopoly capital seeks to steer Trump’s White House towards pursuing major escalations. These operations will come with a cost, though. Because the MAGA base is heavily disillusioned with the war machine, and with the neoliberal economic order it perpetuates. The feds can spread confusion and division; they can turn China into a scapegoat, or deflect the conversation towards culture war issues. But they can’t stop communists from intervening; not if we navigate our situation correctly.

We need to differentiate ourselves from the unserious leftist elements which apply the “fascist” label to at least one-third of the country’s people. We need to make it clear that we’re not forces for violence and destruction, but rather the people’s allies in bringing peace to our communities; the only violence that comes is going to originate from monopoly capital, and from its ultraviolent ideological proxies. There are many U.S. communists who understand this need for a break from leftism, and they’re increasingly solidifying their presence. The next step is to build cadres, networks, and mass connections that will let our organizations remain in operation amid the state’s coming crackdowns. 

Our enemies are in place to carry out this repression; though the effort to persecute Uhuru has failed at creating a precedent, this next false flag is still coming. And the deep state has enough control over Trump’s White House to ensure that major repression will follow. We can gain allies within certain elements of the system; these allies just won’t be able to prevent a purge against dissent, and will need to end up fighting against Trump or his ideological successors. Because Trump and Vance are absolutely going to help advance the war against pro-Palestine sentiment, setting them up against the pro-liberty forces.

The armed service members, the lower-level entrepreneurs, and the others who may defect towards our side will only do so if we’ve established a structure that’s capable of defeating the state. That has a significant basis within the unions, has members who’ve been trained on a Bolshevik level, and has a serious contingency plan in case it gets forced underground. This is how we must think in a situation where we have no hope of creating a protection racket within the government; where protection will have to come from the dual power structures that we build ourselves.

Winning the allyship of forces within the national bourgeoisie and the army is a vital part of defeating the ruling class. The more the forces of state repression close in, though, the better I come to see how important community alliances are. The local ties that we build are our most important ties; second are our international connections, and third are our national ones. We’ll only be able to keep going if our movement’s members build relationships with people who they know in their own areas, and who can be relied upon to keep doing this work after repression has intensified. This is the core of solid participants who will need to exist for the rest of the process to unfold; for the people to have a realistic path towards overthrowing the state.

The advancements in surveillance technology have not made this task impossible. The Palestinian resistance has overcome the occupier’s spying panopticon, and people across the Global South are able to organize under anti-democratic U.S. puppet regimes. We will find our own path towards such movement resilience, and then towards victory over the imperial state. It depends on whether we can come to a new strategy for the class struggle’s next stage; a way of operating that lets us overcome the full force of the U.S. government. 

There are weaknesses within our enemy that we can exploit; though this coming false flag will supercharge the anti-woke psyop, the second Trump administration’s imperialist policies are going to alienate and split his supporters. If we can ensure our organizations remain vital amid the coming repression, we’ll be able to fill the political vacuum MAGA leaves. Our enemies will try to smear us as being synonymous with the ultraviolent leftists, but this psyop will fall short if we win the people to our side.

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Second Round

Empire seeks to use anti-woke psyop to purge Palestine supporters, advance genocide & world war

By Rainer Shea
Donald Trump was elected because of a mass desire to combat the liberal establishment; now that establishment seeks to partner with Trump in suppressing dissent. And Trump’s team is glad to collaborate in this task. Because for all the things that the different wings of our ruling class disagree on, their big points of agreement are in maintaining the colonial economic order, and crushing all domestic forces which threaten this order. The bipartisan plan is to increasingly criminalize pro-Palestine sentiment, and to instigate a proxy war with the chief threat towards imperial exploitation: China. The imperialists are desperate to avoid getting kicked out of Asia, so they’re expanding their genocide in west Asia while seeking a new big war in the far east. And the primary narrative tool that they’ll use to justify these crimes is the anti-woke psyop, where Palestine gets portrayed as a “woke” concern that’s stoked by Chinese interference.

The Trump faction and the liberal monopolist faction are increasingly at odds. And we’ll likely soon see them have a major confrontation over the foreign policy questions on which they diverge; the dominant wing of the security state seeks to prevent Tulsi Gabbard or Matt Gaetz from getting approved, because both these figures are against funding Ukraine. If they get their expected cabinet positions, though, the plan will be to use them for advancing the counterinsurgency in the United States. 

Though they’re not ideal from the deep state’s perspective, their role within the discourse makes them useful to this task in certain ways. Like Trump, they’ve positioned themselves as fighters against wokeness. As leaders who can help defeat the arrogant liberal technocracy that’s obsessed with censorship, and that seeks to further degrow our economy in the name of “progress.” Because Gaetz and Gabbard oppose monopoly capital on certain issues, their participation in the campaign to silence dissent will be easier to ignore; and the conservatives who’ve been misled about Palestine will assume they’re simply going after terrorists.

This is the view the deep state aims to propagate as our government advances its plansfor deporting pro-Palestine foreign students, and for classifying pro-Palestine groups as terrorist organizations. Our ruling class needs people to remain unaware that Palestine is a country fighting for its freedom, and think of “Palestinian” as a synonym for “terrorist.” The goal is to convince the MAGA base that the pro-Palestine movement is nothing more than a scam financed by the liberal monopolists, like the Black Lives Matter organization was. This is the only way that the Trump White House’s perpetuation of the war machine, and violations of constitutional liberties, can be seen as things which help the anti-monopoly cause. It’s how Palestine can be framed as a culture war issue, when in reality it’s a struggle that transcends left or right; that transcends all divisions among humanity. The Palestine question is a simple matter of whether every person deserves to live and be free; but the empire’s propagandists are constantly working to obscure this.

Most of the USA’s people have already realized that the military action in Gaza is not justified, which places the solid supporters of the “Israeli” Nazi entity in the minority; though most don’t yet understand the military action is a genocide, they see that it’s wrong. There’s even a strong element of anti-Zionist sentiment on the right, one that could grow bigger. This is why in addition to the psyops which paint “Israel” as a righteous force that’s “only defending itself,” there are psyops which try to divert anti-Zionist sentiments towards “Jewish question” conspiracy thinking. This is the discourse role that Gaetz  fills, despite his voting record showing almost fully consistent support for “Israel.” He’s the type of pro-Zionist who does things like promote Holocaust deniers, and say the Jews killed Jesus; which benefits “Israel” in an indirect way, because Zionism’s “Jews are only safe in Israel” argument has always depended on anti-Jewish bigotry.

The narrative managers can work with these things; they can nurture the most reactionary aspects of the Trump White House, using them to undermine and repress the pro-Palestine movement. If approved, Gabbard will be the Director of National Intelligence, which is a job that involves giving intel briefings to the president; and Gabbard’s idea about the Gaza protesters being radical Islamist puppets makes her inclined to believe false terrorism accusations against Palestine supporters. Gaetz has been picked as Attorney General, meaning he would be in place to shape the law towards further criminalizing dissent. The security state wishes that these figures shared the Atlanticist worldview; but should they get such governmental positions, there will be a plan ready to sway them towards assisting in the domestic purge.

This is the possibility that we need to prepare for: figures on the right who’ve tactically benefited us in the anti-NATO struggle taking on highly damaging roles, and facilitating the persecution of anti-imperialists. They’ll also absolutely advance the war against China. The Palestine question was always going to come to the forefront, and now that it has, it could bring about a major betrayal from those who’ve opposed NATO while still backing “Israel.”

Then there’s the effect that Trump’s loyalty to “Israel” will have on his wider foreign policy. Will Trump’s White House truly de-escalate in Ukraine and Korea, like Trump has said he will? It depends on where the balance of forces will be during his presidency. At this moment, they’re not at a place that’s conducive to peace within these places. The Trump team’s “peace” proposal towards Russia consists of a request for Russia to stop making any further progress in the war, letting the Kiev Banderite regime hold on to territories that Russia would liberate otherwise. This is the kind of plan someone creates when they just want to be able to say “I plan to bring peace.”

If Trump continues the escalations with Russia, it will be consistent with his Russia policies from last time; the only country that he de-escalated with in his first term was the DPRK, which is why there’s at least a better chance of peace in Korea. All the other parts of Trump’s foreign policy could undermine this, though. Will Trump be able to make friends with the DPRK while he’s intensifying the genocide against Palestine, continuing to treat Russia as an enemy, and acting more aggressively towards China than ever? Ukraine and October 7 have made the world even more geopolitically polarized than it was during Trump’s first term; and on every active front in our geopolitical conflict, the DPRK is on the opposite side of Trump. On top of this, Trump is now hoping to create another direct military confrontation in Taiwan, right to the DPRK’s south. 

My concern is not that Trump will bring fatal destruction upon China, because China is even better prepared to win a proxy war than Russia was. Given China’s overwhelming strength, it even has a good chance of successfully deterring Washington. My primary concern is that the empire will manage to murder hundreds of thousands more Palestinians, and from this comes my second biggest concern: that our imperial state will crush the domestic anti-imperialist movement. To win our fight, and thereby let the Palestinians win their fight faster, we need to account for the reality that extreme repression is imminent. Even as the conflicts within the ruling class intensify, the counterinsurgency is going to turn increasingly aggressive and deadly. We’ll be able to take advantage of these divisions, and the related mass discontent, if we can ensure our organizations survive what’s coming.