Smart missiles have changed war as much as smartphones have changed peace. Today we are used to having packages delivered to our door, and in the same way we get deceased. In this age when bombs deliver themselves, human bombers appear more and more anachronistic. Out of time and out of place. Today, the American military looks like Nokia circa 2010. Technically #1, but technologically beaten.

The American Model

The American model of war is Top Gun. Very expensive aircraft, supported by even more expensive aircraft carriers, dropping very expensive bombs on poor people. Since the 1980s, America bet on stealth, the ability to fuck around and never find out about it. It's fitting that they rebooted the recruitment film Top Gun because they're still using the same tired strategy. America's preferred strategy is still to penetrate deep with a manned aircraft, then release a somewhat smart bomb for the last few kilometers.

The other part of this model is missile defence, what used to be laughed at as 'Star Wars' in my day. Missile defense is the crazy idea of shooting down a missile with another missile, like Robin Hood splitting arrows. The crazy thing is that it actually works (until it doesn't). You can theoretically shoot down any missile, but you can't shoot down every missile. But America never faced that situation so never thought about it. Stealth plus missile defence plus picking on poor people gave America a bloated sense of confidence for decades. Within what passed for strategic thinking in America, the 1990s marked the end of history and the end of military history as well. The US comfortably pre-ordered F-35 stealth fighters until the 2070s. But as the saying goes, pre-orders goeth before the fall.

The Iranian Model

The Iranian model of war, on the other hand, is bottom bullet. As Ayatollah Khamenei said, “Possessing missiles doesn’t solve every problem, but it destroys the greedy fantasy of our enemies.”  Iran has no air force to speak of and no fancy navy. Instead, they shoot missile salvos from (relatively) cheap trucks and disappear underground just as quickly. Iran bet the farm on missiles in the 1980s and now it's borne fruit across the region (they effectively open-sourced the technology). They started from shitty, modified Scuds, but now modern Resistance missiles are higher quality than western models, much cheaper, and produced in much higher quantities. Quantity is its own quality, and Iran's layered attacks (mixing dumb decoys and smart munitions) can flood the best air defense systems around them. That includes all American bases and aircraft carriers in the region, including 'Israel'.

The other part of the Iranian model is tunnels. Iran's missile launchers hide inside tunnels until they're needed. But Iran is no longer weak on the surface either. Iran has sophisticated air defenses and open collaboration with best-in-class Russia. However, the best defense is not being there at all. So after they fire, Iran's missile launchers are just gone. Iran's modern Katuyshas (missile launchers) are basically just trucks, and Iran has built hundreds if not thousands of hardened parking garages underground. These trucks pop-out, fire missiles, and then disappear. Hitting them is literally like hitting whack-a-mole.

The Strategic Conflict

An Iranian Scud missile from the Iran-Iraq War with the following written in both Persian and Arabic, “Death to America, Death to the Soviet Union, Death to Israel, Death to Saddam.”(Islamic Republic News Agency)

Before we get into tactics, understand that there are deep strategic differences that make America's fate a fait accompli.

The standard strategic rule (a rule in the board game Risk) is that defence has an advantage over offense. America somehow cheated this rule for decades by attacking defenseless people, but countries like Iran have grown up. If you look at America's force and matériel projection in the Middle East they are clearly Carbon Crusaders a long way from home, while the so-called terrorists (really terroirists) are of the land and dug in. The Resistance is clearly a defensive system and America is clearly offensive, and the old rule is starting to matter again.

Being a defender gives you natural advantages. Iran can use the terrain and strategic depth to their advantage while America has to hang out in floating parking lots, praying for magic missiles to protect them (from the consequences of their own actions). Iran can fire missiles from solid land, while America has to do it from ships and airships. And Iran has actual friends in the area, while America has only suck-ups with hostile populations.

Being a constant offender also gives America disadvantages. The American military is designed to attack anybody, anywhere, but is not good for any particular battle. America's military is a jack of all trades, master of none. Meanwhile, the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corp is built for this battle and battle alone. As they wrote on their first rockets, “Death to America, Death to the Soviet Union, Death to Israel, Death to Saddam.”   Two out of four ain't bad, they're halfway home.

At the same time, America has pressed its disadvantage by being involved in not one, but two land wars in Asia (Ukraine and Palestine), and trying to start another (Taiwan). This has thrown all of its Asian enemies into an alliance, leading to a strategic clusterfuck. Now advanced Russian air defense systems (and likely operators) are in Iran while American supplies are being incinerated on two fronts. These are all huge strategic errors that no amount of last century's recycled tactics can escape from.

The Tactical Results

As you can see, the strategic direction of this battle was set in the 1980s. The tactics are just how it plays out.

On one hand, Iran was obviously ready for the Battle of Al Aqsa Flood. I doubt they knew the exact date of the October 7th ghetto uprising, but they knew this day was coming and were ready for it. The tunnels have been dug for decades, the rockets have been stockpiled, and the whole Axis of Resistance has been talking about it. This is from a hostile source, but you can see the spike in testing of Close-Range Ballistic Missiles (CRMB) up to Space Launch Vehicles (SLV) in 2022. The Al Aqsa Flood was coming, and some people built arks.

On the other hand, America was not ready at all. A week before October 7th, National Insecurity Adviser Jake Sullivan said, “The Middle East region is quieter today than it has been in two decades.” America has an entire class of people like him, who are professionally wrong and only fail upwards. Insomuch as America had a strategic direction in the Middle East, it was leaving. Both Republicans and Democrats wanted to pivot to China, not fight another Gulf War.

Remember that tactics are just the toilet that strategy shits on, and that America was strategically defeated before they started. America has no strategic answer for fighting men in tunnels and never has. All it can do is bomb the helpless (and militarily irrelevant) men, women, and children above. America also has no strategic answer to inundation attacks against air defenses. In response, a former CENTCOM commander has proposed leaving their Persian Gulf basesentirely to avoid Iran's short range missiles, but where would they go? Iran has medium and long-range missiles also. 'Israel' is Al Aqsa Flooded and has lost fire control all over.

Via the Precision Guided Munitions report (ibid)

Again,the entire American tactical model is penetrating deep into enemy airspace and dropping bombs. The distance these bombs can go has increased, but America still has to risk expensive jets to deliver them. As you can see from the Precision Guided Munitions report (above), American jets now have to fly within firing range and, worst of all, park within firing range also. As former CENTCOM commander Frank McKenzie said, “the thousands of short-range missiles that Iran possesses are a factor here. There is no strategic depth. An F-35 is very hard to hit in the air. On the ground it is nothing more than a very expensive and vulnerable chunk of metal sitting in the sun.”

This is why 'Israel's' hyped up attack on Iran was aborted after one sortie. They couldn't break Iran's air defenses and had to, instead, fire from outside Iran and do petty sabotage from within. The strategic calculus has completely changed. All that's left for the military industrial complex is accounting fraud.

The Fire Sale Of The Vanities

Genocidin' Joe Biden said show me your budget and I'll show you your priorities. This budget is from the Precision-Guided Munitions: Background (put in one table by me). It's a bit detailed, but it shows the problem.

This report, which stops in 2021, shows that America is strategically oriented towards air bombing with not especially smart bombs. JDAMs (their most numerous munition) are just 'kits' put on dumb bombs. America has no serious ground game at all because they're an invading army, not defending anything at all.

America has made a big show about ground-based systems like ATACMS and HIMARS (launchers) in Ukraine, but HIMARS is a 1990s system and ATACMS are discontinued. What we're witnessing is actually a going out of business sale from the American military, not a resurgence.

The Americans are dumping old junk on Ukraine in an accounting fraud with no hope of winning at all. For themselves, America has replaced ATACMS with PrSM, which is also a non-killing joke. Those missiles cost $1,666 million apiece, and they produced 30 of them in 2021. As of 2024, production is up to 54 missiles a year. What are we even talking about?

Department Of War, 2024 Budget Request, via me

Looking at America's supplies, it's no great surprise the type of violence they sow. Their entire military model since World War II has been firebombing cities, from Dresden to Tokyo to entire regions like Southeast Asia and the Middle East. In Gaza and Lebanon they've just slapped new tails on the same bombs (JDAMs) to commit fresh massacres. These fighter jets still have to be quite close to the targets and can't travel very far without refueling. The Americans are also wasting these munitions (and what's left of their reputation) bombing hospitals and refugee camps with no military value. America is winning the genocide and losing the war. All of their vaunted military spending is really a measure of corruption and fraud, not force projection at all.

The Rocket Wars

America has simply missed the boat on a sea change in warfare. While Russia can now beat them in peer warfare, even much poorer adversaries can beat them by firing rockets and hiding underground, a complete 'disruption', in consumer tech terms. Smart rockets have advanced at the same pace as smartphones, whereas jets look like a Nokia with too many buttons. This is the state of America's military, and the giant ship is too big to turn around, even as the Al Aqsa Flood rises around them.

What we're witnessing now, on multiple fronts, is actually a going out of business sale of the military industrial multiplex, with mass murder as mass marketing. What we're witnessing is a fire sale of the vanities, from Ukraine to Palestine. America's reign is ending in strategic defeat, on multiple fronts. Like the Nazis they assimilated into NATO, America will continue fighting and killing after the cause is lost, but the strategic direction of these battles was already set decades ago, and the tactical results have already been proven. This is war in the age of rockets, and America has already been strategically defeated.

Planes Vs. Missiles

As an illustration, look at the image above. On one hand, 'Israel' has to send $100 million dollar jets to drop million dollar bombs, and worry about getting their planes home in one piece. On the other hand, Iran can fire waves of drones, cheap missiles, and highly accurate missiles, turning the Iron Dome into the Iron Sieve. Both sides have air defenses, but Iran only has to defend against 100 bogeys, compared to the thousands hitting 'Israel'. Meanwhile 'Israel' has to park its planes somewhere as sitting ducks, while Iran can hide its missiles underground until they're needed. This is a complete game changer. The rules of air warfare have changed.

The big paradigm shift is from planes to missiles. This is part of the global trend of putting microchips in everything. Bombs are really smart now, and drones are really cheap. Rockets are basically consumer technology, evolving rapidly, while American aircraft are like Faberge eggs, ordered decades in advance and extremely delicate. America's latest airframe (the F-35) is nearly 20 years old and is somehow expected to be relevant till 2070. It's irrelevant already. The F-35 is a liability more than an asset, except to American arms dealers, who have orders booked for 50 years. America won't even be around by then, inshallah, and this strategic inflexibility (re: corruption) is a big reason.

On the other hand, Hamas and Iran and Yemen and Hezbollah come out with new missiles every year (every time America martyrs someone, they name the next missile after them). Iran has hypersonic missiles (which fly unstoppably fast, low, and funny), Yemen fired the first rocket through space, Hezbollah has drones that hit Netanyahu's bedroom window, and Hamas has rockets that can hit Tel Aviv. The Resistance made a strategic bet on rocket and tunnel technology 30 years ago and it's playing out now. America made a corresponding bet on jets and avarice and now les jeux sonts faits. The strategic decisions leading to this war happened in the 1980s and neither side is changing. As Lenin didn't say, there are years when decades happen, and these are those years indeed.

American aircraft are like Faberge eggs, ordered decades in advance and extremely delicate.

I'm reminded of the moment, which I may be making up, when the Chinese met the Mongols. The Chinese had been perfecting and fetishizing a highly ritualized form of archery, more ballet than battle, splitting silk with perfectly shot arrows. Then the Mongols rode in and just shot the hell out of them. Like the Mongols—who shot from horseback and disappeared—the Resistance can shoot from trucks and be gone in an instant. Like the Mongols, the Resistance does one thing really well (hit targets) and it does it often. The past 30 years have been a quantum leap in 'archery', and the latest decrepit empire is just not built for it.

Manned Vs. Unmanned

Last century—which might as well be the days of air knights—manned aircraft dominated the skies. These air knights operated out of castles (aircraft carriers, airbases) and could bomb any weaker castle, though they spent most of their time slaughtering peasantry. They could even make themselves invisible, such was their sorcery. This sounds like a distant fairy tale because it is.

Now the days of air knights are gone, these are the days of air shaheed (martyrs). Missiles and drones can rise from their earth and exact vengeance kamikaze style. These are not human soldiers, they don't have to make a two-way trip. Air defenses can stop some of these missiles, but they can't stop swarms of them, which can be produced quite cheaply. Iran and Hezbollah have used these missiles in layered attacks (sometimes spanning months), first drawing air defense missiles with dogshit, then hitting air defence batteries, then unloading the good stuff on precise targets. Some of these missiles—like hypersonics and drones—are functionally invisible to Cold War era defense systems. And planes can't do shit about it. Expensive, elaborate air knights are no match for air shaheed.

$ Vs. $$$$

Another big problem is cost, the $$$ markers in the infographic. For every incoming missile—which could be a $20,000 drone—air defense systems must fire at least two interceptors missiles, which range from $100,000 to multi-millions each. And these missiles are produced in tiny, bespoke quantities, sometimes just 10 or 12 a year. America can print money but they can't print missiles, they've deindustrialized so much they'd need China's help to bomb China.

The US has frequently threatened China with its attack carrier force, but carriers are now sitting ducks to modern missiles. Extravagantly expensive to build and operate, and with armaments similarly exhorbitant in price, they are now obsolete to project "persuasive force" as the Houthis have already demonstrated.

The stealthy jets America bet the farm on in the 1980s are cool, but built for another war. Stealth fighters not that stealthy, and are completely vulnerable on the ground. As former US General Frank McKenzie said, “the thousands of short-range missiles that Iran possesses are a factor here. There is no strategic depth. An F-35 is very hard to hit in the air. On the ground it is nothing more than a very expensive and vulnerable chunk of metal sitting in the sun.” America's whole defensive strategy is based on expensive air defense systems, but these are overwhelmed by cheap missiles and can't even defend themselves anymore. America's rapidly depreciating military assets have become liabilities now.

The End Of Supremacy

America's strategic problems go deeper than missiles vs. planes. The bigger problem is that America is an invading army. The Resistance are fighting for their homes, while the Americans are 11,000 km from Kansas. The Resistance does not need an air force because it's their turf. They can literally dig in and follow Sun Tzu's dictum, “To excel at defense means hiding oneself away in the deepest recesses of the earth. To excel at offense means striking from the highest reaches of the heavens.” The combination of unmanned missiles and tunnels is a complete blind spot to the US military, and they're too big and corrupt to change course.

America has a military base in Bahrain, but that's too close to Iran and Gen McKenzie recommended retreat. But retreat to where? 'Israel' requires daily arms deliveries from America, it's just another liability, not an asset. The IOF are just delivery boys for American munitions, like Uber for genocide, and they're wasting them on civilians. So this is how white air supremacy ends. Choking on its own cruelty and arrogance, taking hundreds of thousands of innocent souls with them, with the threat of global irradiation upon us all.

For decades America and the greater White Empire had white air supremacy and used it with such violent prolificacy. They imposed no-fly zones wherever they wanted, and rained death from above whenever they felt like it, which was often. America's whole strategy was based on the manned plane model, and unmanned technology has upended it all since October 7th. As Professor John Mearsheimer said in an interview with an absolute moron,

What I'm telling you, is the conventional wisdom in the West, that 'Israel' is on a roll, that 'Israel' is in the driver's seat, is simply wrong. If you look at what's happening in Gaza, if you look at what's happening with regards to Hezbollah, and Iran, 'Israel' is in trouble. And I want to point out here, that the key variable is the coming of sophisticated missiles and rockets. When I was very young and used to study the 'Israeli'/Arab conflicts, what we focused on in those days was army to army and air-to-air engagements. And the 'Israelis' invariably defeated the Arab armies, whether you're talking about '48, '56, '67, '73, those big wars. And it looked, up until October 7th, like the 'Israelis' were really in the driver's seat. That they faced no serious threat. Then October 7th happened and what became manifestly apparent to all sorts of people, including me, was that there was this really wicked rocket and missile threat against 'Israel' that 'Israel' had no way of dealing with.

Mearsheimer is talking about a tectonic shift in military technology. The age of the manned plane is out and the age of the unmanned missile is in. This is like the discovery of the longbow or gunpowder or diesel. It makes an entire generation and tradition of warfare obsolete. This is not to say that fighter jets will disappear (horses were used well into World War II), but the idea of humans flying planes is becoming as archaic as horse cavalry. America is completely lost in this brave new world, and its enemies have leapfrogged them technologically. White Empire may look like it's fought to a tactical draw (still good for bombing refugees), but for a superpower, this is strategic defeat.

Genocide is a consequence, and it will continue whoever Americans elect. Climate collapse is a consequence, and they're both candidates are committed to more drilling. Slavery is a consequence and both are committed to out-deporting and out-incarcerating the American underclass. Whether America elects an obvious charlatan or a corporate automaton, who gives a shit? The consequences are the same, making the election entirely inconsequential.

The Lesser Evil Is Trump

By any objective measure, Trump is actually the lesser evil. Trump has not (yet) committed genocide, he sickened less people with COVID and offered more relief, he drilled less than Biden/Harris, and deported fewer passport slaves. The appeal of someone like Kamala Harris is purely subjective, she makes liberals feel superior while still participating in white supremacy. It's not that both candidates are the same, it's that the Democrats are objectively worse. If anything, they're more dangerous because they're better organized, they are the more efficient evil, and better at covering their tracks. Trump is at least an honest liar. He looks evil and he is. As Malcolm X said,

In this way, Trump is the lesser evil because he's transparently evil. Objectively, also, he has simply done less evil in the evil office. Look for yourself. Biden/Harris have accelerated the corrupt incineration of Ukraine on the altar of fighting a Russia which need not be fought. Biden/Harris have committed livestreamed genocide for over a year now. Biden/Harris have sickened and killed more people with COVID, while gutting all protections and social support. Biden/Harris have accelerated the trade war (re: siege) against China, while reinforcing illegal sieges against Cuba, Iran, etc. Biden/Harris have deported more people, built more wall, dumped more carbon into the atmosphere, and cracked down on speech and assembly even harder than the supposed fascist candidate. Fascism is already here, you morons! Americans are seriously debating 95% Hitler vs 96% Hitler, not understand that this makes them all Nazi, all around. America has been a totalitarian genocide state for its whole existence, regardless of who's President.

I'll say it again and again because it generally goes unsaid. By any objective measure, the Democrats are worse than the orange bogeyman, they just subjectively make liberals feel better, which makes things worse in and of itself. Liberals don't deserve to feel good. They deserve someone that actually represents them, an openly wicked and venal man like Trump.

All Democrats have to offer this election cycle is what Hannah Arendt called pious banalities, long past their sell-by date. As Arendt said about Weimar Germany,

Since the bourgeoisie claimed to be the guardian of Western traditions and confounded all moral issues by parading publicly virtues which it not only did not possess in private and business life, but actually held in contempt, it seemed revolutionary to admit cruelty, disregard of human values, and general amorality, because this at least destroyed the duplicity upon which the existing society seemed to rest.

Arendt has her own problems, like being a racist and anti-communist (Diet Hitler), but she was at least a more self-aware liberal. She understood the appeal of mob vulgarian like Trump in a way modern liberals cannot. With Trump, WYSIWYG, whereas Democrats miss the other programming point, POSIWID:

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The purpose of a system is what it does (POSIWID) is a systems thinking heuristic coined by Stafford Beer, who observed that there is "no point in claiming that the purpose of a system is to do what it constantly fails to do."

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The Democrats still think they're the good guys while committing genocide. Liberals today say well, Trump would genocide more, with no idea of how deranged they sound. Forget the Democrats, American democracy itself is irredeemable. It's Genocide or Diet Genocide, with no water in sight.

Great Evil

If you look at the American election objectively, Trump and Harris are both the same picture. They are both American Presidents (re: Heisenberg) and thus great evil, with little tribal differences that only make sense to Americans.

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Reagan was as evil as he was hypocritical, another valuable trait in US presidents.

Americans flatter him, to say Trump will be their Hitler. Hitler was actually a below-average evil as European rulers go.  American Presidents are all Hitlers, with Ronald Reagan being the last incarnation they've been stuck on for decades. Since then, every American President has been some poor Reagan impersonator, AKA Hitler. Bush I was nerd Reagan, Clinton was cool Reagan, Bush II was nepo Reagan, Obama was black Reagan, Trump was clown Reagan, and Biden was Reagan except somehow more senile and trigger-happy. America hasn't had an original idea in decades, and every election since 1980 has been a reboot. Today, Harris is running as a Reagan Democrat next to the Cheney family, tapping into a rich base of 50,000 in Wyoming and assorted torture enthusiasts. History is truly repeating as farce. American politics is still centered around Reagan, who sucked.

Americans, stuck in a time loop, keep saying that this is the most consequential election ever and it isn't. That was supposedly the last election, but what happened then? As I've said and as you can look up, Biden/Harris killed more people with COVID, they deported more people, drilled more fossil fuels, and started more wars, up to livestreamed genocide for months now. Biden is visibly dead in office and Harris is visibly dead inside and it doesn't seem to matter who sits in the seat, as long as endless blood keeps it warm. American oligarchs have become even too lazy for a convincing season of the reality TV farce they call elections. They're just re-running the last election, with one candidate simply selected by consultants.

America today is on autopilot, bombing babies on pure muscle memory. This continues regardless of who occupies the offensive office, which is inherently offensive to man and God. The only satisfaction you can get is kicking the currently ruling bums out, but the ruling class just turns the other cheek and the same shit comes out.

This is why 2024 is, in fact, the least consequential election of my life. A pox on both your houses. Vote Jill Stein if you want to feel moral, or join the Resistance and actually pay for it if you actually want to do something. The Americans are going to continue killing either way, unless we kill the very idea of America. Supporting a peaceful transfer of power within America is supporting their endless violence within and without. God-damn America, as Obama's preacher said, before that soulless charlatan disavowed him. Neither side of America deserves to win. This is like asking the neck which side of the knife it prefers. To outsiders like me, this is all like debating whether Goebbels or Göring replaces Hitler. Who gives a fuck? Cyanide and the Red Army are the only moral choices, when faced with such immorality seeking to reincarnate itself.

Russia is now militarily allied with North Korea, China, and soon Iran. Iran is now formalizing the Axis of Resistance (Hezbollah, Hamas, Ansarallah, etc) as a mutual-defense pact. Putin has explicitly connected the two axes, saying, if I may paraphrase, ‘if the Americans arm our enemies, we'll arm their enemies.’With Russia in Syria already, the two fronts could connect quite quickly. These are the battle lines of World War III. They're already drawn, and they've drawn blood already.

Iran, China, and Russia have conducted fivejoint naval exercises in the Indian Ocean already, most recently in March 2024, as observed by Oman, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Pakistan, and South Africa. Iran, Russia, and Oman are conducting joint naval exercises now (October 2024), observed by Saudi Arabia, Qatar, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Thailand.

Joe Biden laughed about this sort of alliance in 1997, saying,

I had one interesting conversation [with the Russians], they talked about they don't want this NATO expansion, they know it's not in their security interest, and on and on and they said, ‘if you do that, we may have to look to China.’ And I couldn't help using the colloquial expression from my state, ‘lots of luck in your senior year.’ Good luck. And if that doesn't work, try Iran [laughter].

Biden told this as a joke, but who's laughing now? Russia now massively outproduces occupied Europe. Iran massively outproduces occupying 'Israel'. China massively outproduces everyone. Industrial war is a game of industrial production and America has deindustrialized rapidly. They've outsourced much of their war production across long supply lines they cannot secure and they would depend on Chinese resources to attack China. America would be stupid to start World War III given these material conditions, but unfortunately they are.

In this way, World War II never really stopped, it just stopped affecting white people so they called it 'Cold', like their hearts. America conquered Europe, much of the Pacific, and much of the Middle East in WWII, and this WWIII is them desperately trying to hold on. But America has, in fact, been in a long retreat since Vietnam (when they became unable to field a conscript army) and then Afghanistan (when they became unable to field an army at all). They have now lost naval supremacy to Yemen and air supremacy to both Russia and Iran. In many ways, World War III is finished before it started, America is furiously throwing proxies in front of itself, but its own army is too scared to even show up.