At Last, a Small Ray of Hope for Bolivia

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Guest Editorial
Stephen Karganovic


To no one’s real surprise, Bolivia’s deposed President Evo Morales was resoundingly vindicated in last Sunday’s election. The bleached blond European usurper woman, Jeanine Áñez, who in November of 2019 was installed as interim President by the junta regime which replaced Morales, will have to step down. She has conceded defeat at the hands of the Aymara natives that she obviously loathed. Needless to say, the sentiment was heartily mutual.

The new President of Bolivia will be Morales’ former finance minister and close collaborator Luis Arce of the Movement for Socialism Party, or MAS by its felicitously ambivalent Spanish acronym. MAS’ victory was the more impressive because its candidate won a clear majority against two junta figures in the first round, avoiding the necessity of a run-off.

The question could legitimately be put why Morales had to resort to a stand-in instead of running himself and personally humiliating his enemies, probably even more decisively. The reason lies in some dastardly chicanery on the part of the imperial dirty tricks department. Anticipating a virtually fraud-proof electoral disaster if Morales were allowed to run personally, the local puppet regime contrived phony sex charges to disqualify the illegally ousted President and bar him from presenting his candidacy. No, Morales was not accused of frequenting Jeffrey Epstein’s paedophile island but the coup authorities conveniently discovered that he had consorted with an underage girl, an allegation just nasty enough to file criminal charges and obtain an arrest warrant.

Morales was certainly on the empire “sh#t list” long before the plot to oust him switched to high gear in late 2019. When he was elected in 2004, he inherited a preposterous situation, bizarre by any normal standards. His neo-liberal predecessor had sold Bolivia’s water resources to foreign financial interests, which meant that the impoverished peasant masses now had to pay foreign corporations for the right to use one of the fundamental natural resources of their country, which – like air – should have been the common patrimony of all. Only in retrospect do we now see that Bolivia’s water resources were targeted not for the paltry sums that could be extracted from impoverished Andean peasants but as a political laboratory experiment in natural resource plunder that could be extended elsewhere if it proved successful. It was extended to some other countries, but because of the unexpected appearance of Evo Morales it was curtailed in Bolivia, making the insolent new indigenous President a bête noire in international oligarchic circles.

After setting off on such an antagonistic start, it was natural that Morales should make it the mainstay of his policy to put Bolivia’s considerable resources at the service of its people, rather than of international financiers and their rapacious corporations. Unfortunately, the naive country-bumpkin President forgot that in some situations discretion is the better part of valor. Instead of working discretely, in 2017 he announced urbi et orbi a comprehensive plan to (a) nationalize key natural resources, and (b) possibly even more fatally, to process them in Bolivia and export them in finished rather than raw form. If he had had any political sophistication at all, he should have anticipated what was bound to hit him after disregarding the Big Boys’ clear red lines.

It seems that in trying to implement this morally unobjectionable policy he crossed not just corporate powers-that-be in general, but specifically the multi-billionaire Elon Musk, who was counting on unrestricted and cheap access to Bolivia’s huge lithium resources which are of key significance for the batteries of his main product, electric vehicles. With a few indignant telephone calls to the right places, much like United Fruit in the face of similarly unacceptable policies of President Guzman in Guatemala seventy years ago, Musk set the stage for the removal of Bolivia’s pesky aborigine President who presumed to put the interests of his people ahead of international corporations.

The rest was, as they say, history. The Gene Sharp regime change scenario was followed to the letter. The October 2019 Presidential election was contested by the “international community” for all the right reasons, military and police chiefs were corrupted to push Morales off the cliff, and the freaky blonde señora Áñez was installed in his place by the Musk junta.

After many delays and cancelations, the new elections designed to legitimize junta rule and politically eliminate Morales and his MAS movement were finally held on October 18. The Covid emergency was a godsend pretext to the junta to keep postponing the vote and work on setting up the winning electoral combination, but the day of judgment finally came and all the rigging proved in vain. The resilient peasants had their way.

While from a moral perspective the election outcome is excellent news, the practical assessment of the results should probably be withheld for the moment, pending further developments. Latin American politics is notorious for its treachery. We saw an example of that in Ecuador, where a low life character who deceptively goes by the name of Lenin Moreno (he proved to be neither a Lenin, in the sense of showing the slightest empathy for the downtrodden, nor a [Garcia] Moreno, Ecuador’s distinguished nineteenth century patriot-President who labored to preserve his country’s sovereignty from the encroachments of essentially the same forces which have targeted it for control in our day) succeeded the populist Correa, only to reverse everything his predecessor had stood for. Another conspicuous example is the treacherous career of Carlos Menem, a classical pantallero as he came to be known in Argentina, who deceptively ran and was elected on a Peronist platform, only to start implementing ruinous neoliberal policies the day after he was sworn in.

The acid test of Luis Arce’s administration will be whether it quickly drops the false charges against Evo Morales, enabling him to return to the country of which he is the undisputed leader. If the legal mechanisms preventing Bolivia’s central political figure from rejoining his people and exercising the political influence to which he is entitled are not promptly removed, alarm bells will have to replace victory songs in Bolivia. And, yes, prosecuting coup regime personalities for sedition, on genuine rather than concocted charges, would be another welcome confidence building measure that the incoming Bolivian government should undertake.

 


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It’s official: Movement Towards Socialism wins landslide victory in Bolivia

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With 100% of the votes counted, the Movement Towards Socialism (MAS) presidential ticket of Luis Arce and David Choquehuanca has won 55.1% of the votes, with a lead of 26.27% over their nearest rival Carlos Mesa

October 23, 2020

Luis Arce (right) and David Choquehuanca on the campaign trail. Photo: Twitter


After 11 months of being ruled by a repressive coup-regime, Bolivians have finally recovered democracy. After five days of counting, the official results of the Bolivian presidential elections are finally in. The Movement Towards Socialism’s (MAS) presidential ticket with Luis Arce and David Choquehuanca won 55.1% of the vote share while Carlos Mesa’s Citizen Community party won just 28.83% of the vote share. The MAS also won the parliamentary elections, bagging 73 out of the 130 seats in the lower house of parliament and 21 of the 36 seats in the Senate.

The general elections on Sunday, October 18, were the first since the coup d’état which forced Evo Morales out of office on November 10, 2019. An astonishing 87% of all eligible voters participated in Sunday’s elections. In Bolivia, in order to win the presidential elections in the first round, it is necessary to win over 50% of the vote or over 40% with a 10 point lead over the next candidate. With over 55%, the Arce-Choquehuanca ticket recorded a clear first round victory.

The OAS has already recognized the overwhelming victory of Arce and Choquehuanca but has yet to accept that its claims of fraud last year were false, and that these claims paved the way for the violent coup...

People across Bolivia are celebrating the return to democracy and the end to the rule of the repressive de facto regime. The MAS victory has been saluted by world leaders such as Nicolás Maduro, Alberto Fernández, Andrés Manuel López Obrador and others who provided crucial support to Morales and other members of his government and the party during and following the violent coup. After he was forced to step down, Morales and former vice-president Alvaro García Linera fled to Mexico. Following the inauguration of Alberto Fernández as president of Argentina, they, along with their families, sought asylum there. Other progressive governments in the region, including Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua, were also quick to offer support and condemn the coup. However most countries in the region fell in step with the narrative of the Organization of American States and its secretary General Luis Almagro who claimed that Morales and MAS has committed electoral fraud in the elections held on October 20, 2019 and supported the Bolivian far-right’s calls for the annulling of the elections and tacitly, the removal of Morales.

The OAS has already recognized the overwhelming victory of Arce and Choquehuanca but has yet to accept that its claims of fraud last year were false, and that these claims paved the way for the violent coup. 37 Bolivians were killed during the anti-coup protests, over 700 were injured and over one thousand were detained. In addition, there were many reports of torture, sexual violence, and other acts of repression and persecution. In the months after the coup, the claims of fraud by the OAS were debunked by several universities and independent research institutions including MIT.

Sunday’s landslide victory has provided further evidence to disprove the claims of fraud made by the OAS. The Latin American Strategic Center for Geopolitics (CELAG) revised the votes in the 86 precincts where the OAS alleged that fraud had been committed in 2019 and confirmed that the MAS maintained the same voting patterns or increased their numbers. CELAG, along with other organizations such as CODEPINK and Social Movements of ALBA, are calling for Almagro’s immediate resignation for his role in perpetuating the coup in Bolivia.

Some far-right groups in Bolivia have taken to the streets in small numbers in Santa Cruz, Cochabamba and La Paz to protest the alleged electoral fraud committed on Sunday. Their claims are hard to sustain as de facto president Jeanine Áñez and presidential runner-up Carlos Mesa have both recognized the MAS victory and the transparency of the electoral process.

Addendum

The Bolivian people broke all barriers to vote in hope

Juan Carlos Pinto Quintanilla, sociologist and former government official during the term of Evo Morales, talks about the massive turnout during the Bolivian elections, the hopes of the people and the plans of right-wing forces

October 21, 2020 by Peoples Dispatch

The Movement Towards Socialism is set to achieve a landslide victory in the Bolivian elections that were held on October 18. We speak to Juan Carlos Pinto Quintanilla, sociologist and former director of Citizen Strengthening of the Vice-Presidency of the Plurinational State of Bolivia, on the nature of the turnout and the kind of obstacles the people faced which they overcame to exercise their right to vote. He also talks about the counter-mobilizations of the right-wing and how people in Bolivia are watchful to ensure their mandate is not sabotaged. Cameraperson: Alina Duarte




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How Bolivia fights fascism – It takes more than the ballot box

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#RedLinesWithAnyaParampil

How Bolivia fights fascism - It takes more than the ballot box

The recent elections in Bolivia did not happen just because the "interim government" of Jeanine Áñez, duly anointed by the US-proxy OAS, decided to act fair and square and agree to hold elections. It happened after many obstacles and delays because the masses threw themselves out on the roads and streets to make their presence felt, defying harsh repression at every turn.




Anya Parampil speaks with journalist Ollie Vargas in La Paz, Bolivia about the historic victory of the Movement Toward Socialism (MAS) party in the October 18 elections. They discuss the role of Bolivia's social movements in overturning the coup regime that came to power in 2019, as well as the expectations of average people as the new government of Luis Arce takes power. Video by Ben Norton (Interview recorded on October 21, 2020) ||| The Grayzone ||| Find more reporting at https://thegrayzone.com


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Max Blumenthal: Report from Bolivia

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Max Blumenthal: Report from Bolivia

 

A report from Bolivia by Max Blumenthal and his team, right after the elections that restored Evo Morales' party to power. The question now is what is being done by the MAS patriotic movement to consolidate their victory, and what dirty tricks the US and its local allies in Bolivia and the region are plotting to weaken and roll back the popular gains. The empire never rests and never forgets. And it has almost infinite resources. Not to mention a complete lack of morality.


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Bolivia Has Won. Will Trump Win Too?

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DISPATCHES FROM MOON OF ALABAMA, BY "B"
This article is part of an ongoing series of dispatches from Moon of Alabama


Bolivia's de facto president Ines Añez offering congratulations for the "peaceful" comportment of the people during the elections.


It seems that Elon Musk has lost the election in Bolivia:

Even Morales’ nemesis, the rightwing interim president, Jeanine Áñez, conceded the left had come out on top. “We do not yet have the official count, but the data we do have shows that Mr Arce [has] … won the election. I congratulate the winners and ask them to govern thinking of Bolivia and of democracy,” Áñez tweeted.

Congratulation to the Movimiento al Socialismo, its candidate Luis Arce and the people of Bolivia who withstood the onslaught of intimidation and violence from the right and the military. Even as democracy is now restored in Bolivia it would be wrong to let the right and the military get away with what they have done. They will otherwise try to do it again. The coup leaders should be hauled in front of a court. Bolivia should ask Venezuela for advice on how to coup proof its military forces.  

Even as democracy is now restored in Bolivia it would be wrong to let the right and the military get away with what they have done. They will otherwise try to do it again. The coup leaders should be hauled in front of a court. Bolivia should ask Venezuela for advice on how to coup proof its military forces.
 As the U.S. regime change operation in Caracas has failed, Washington will now revert to other measures to dispose of the leaders of that country. Sanctions for this or that bullshit reason are just around the corner. Bolivia must integrate itself with other socialist and 'resistance' nations and seek autonomy from imperialist imports.

Now onto the other election that is on peoples' mind.

While most polls show that Joe Biden will win the U.S. election my gut is telling me that Donald Trump will have a second term. The election might well become a repeat of  2016 when Trump won even though most media had predicted that Hillary Clinton would win.

There are two main reasons for this. The local ground game and enthusiasm for the candidates.

The Democrats have neglected the ground game. Their get out the vote efforts seem minimal. Meanwhile the Republicans are going from door to door and have registered large number of voters:

Republican registration has ticked up in key states at the same time Democratic field operations were in hibernation. Democratic turnout is surging in the early vote. But it’s unclear whether it will be enough to overcome an expected rush of ballots that Republicans, leerier of mail voting, will cast in person on Election Day.

There is uncertainty about the accuracy of polling in certain swing states, the efficacy of GOP voter suppression efforts and even the number of mail-in ballots that for one reason or another will be disqualified.

Biden has collected more donations than Trump but money can only buy him advertisements. Trump gets media attention for free due to the constant outrage the Democrats project on him.

The second reason for predicting a Trump win is the enthusiasm of his supporters. Video shows thousands of people standing at the streets to wave at a passing Trump convoy in California. Meanwhile Biden goes out to read from giant teleprompters to empty parking lots.

While Trump will be campaigning all week Biden decided to stay at home to prepare for the next debate. How can he defend himself against the serious corruption accusations that his son's emails seem to support?

The Democrats under Biden have shunned the progressive policies who brought the most enthusiasm to the primaries. Everyone presumes that the center-right Biden is just a stand in who will be removed soon to be replaced by the center-right Kamala Harris. Harris has been Hillary Clinton's choice since at least mid 2017. During the primaries she never polled higher than 2%. Politically she is not an attractive candidate.

The other people behind the Biden/Harris campaigns are just the same warmongers who wreaked havoc all over the world during the Obama administration.

Max Abrahms @MaxAbrahms - 22:14 UTC · Oct 18, 2020

I’m expecting America to get needlessly involved in more conflicts in the name of democracy, freedom, credibility, resolve & leadership. Just listen to folks like Michèle Flournoy, Mayor Pete, Susan Rice. Non-intervention has been branded as a Putin gift. We live in stupid times.

Patrick Porter @PatPorter76 · 5h

I'm skeptical of whether a Biden presidency will significantly draw down US military presence in ME. As well as the general forces that favour inertia, there will always be more pressing things for a new Democrat president to do.


Trump has botched the response to the pandemic. But would a Democratic president have done better against the resistance of many states against harsher control measures? The reasons the U.S. was hit so hard are in my view ingrained in its society. A different president would have prepared somewhat better but the outcome would likely not have been much different.

On most domestic issues Trump is only slightly to the right of a Biden/Harris administration. His foreign policy is less warmongering but more chaotic than a Democratic administration would likely be. That makes him in total more preferable to me.

That does not mean that I would vote for Trump. If I had a vote in the upcoming election it would likely go to where it does the least harm - to some third party candidate who argues for more peaceful and more socialist policies. 

Posted by b at 16:03 UTC | Comments (44)


COMMENTS SAMPLER

Luis Arce, MAS candidate and winner in the latest Bolivian election.

thanks b... i am happy at the outcome of the voting in bolivia and agree they need to prevent the ongoing crap the usa throws at them by taking a number of actions here to alter this happening again..

as for the usa - i don't believe it matters who wins... the usa is on a slippery downhill slope... it must be especially frustrating for ordinary people in the states who feel that no matter how they vote, it matters not... chaos is on tap from nov 3rd right into inauguration day jan 20th as i see it... it ain't gonna be pretty...

Posted by: james | Oct 19 2020 16:13 utc | 1

Hopefully the MAS have learnt the lesson and the coup mongers will be properly dealt with, and the military and the police have the US lackies removed.

I have to agree with respect to the US election, the deja vu feeling is getting more intense. The one positive with Trump is that as a Canadian there may not be any new wars for our US poodle politicians to dutifully follow the US into. In addition, Trump is quite a good wrecking ball for US hegemony - another positive. Other than that, very little real difference in policies with Biden - the Democrats have become the consigliere to the Don.

Posted by: Roger | Oct 19 2020 16:18 utc | 2

No matter who was the President, the Covid-19 response was destined to fail for 2 reasons MSM refuses to talk about:

1. The Public Health infrastructure is in shambles because it does not lend itself to monetized regulatory capture as most other Executive Branch functions have been.

2. The American Diet is controlled by food products that are more Pharma/Chemical than Agriculture. It makes the American populace one of the most unhealthy on the Planet.

Posted by: Enrico Malatesta | Oct 19 2020 16:22 utc | 3

@b "If I had a vote in the upcoming election it would likely go to where it does the least harm - to some third party candidate who argues for more peaceful and more socialist policies."

That's what I would do also, if the third party candidate had even an outside chance of winning. Sadly, that is not how the U.S. presidential electoral system works. The electoral college rules that were written into the Constitution made it inevitable that only two parties would vie for power. If you think I am wrong, consider the fact that the last viable American third party was the Republican Party which formed in the mid-nineteenth century and sent the Whig Party into the dustbin of history, leaving, again, only two major parties. Third parties have popped up from time to time, but they were all short-lived.

The inescapable logic of this system is that votes for third party presidential candidates might as well not be cast. They may make the voters feel better about themselves doing "the least harm," but they also do the least good, as they have zero impact on the outcome.

Posted by: Rob | Oct 19 2020 16:33 utc | 4

If you didn't vote then stop your whining! That goes for the whole planet.

Either Russia is the enemy or socialism is the enemy. Its either commie Putin or the commie DLC that is not MAGA ing enough.

Dont waste your time voting.

Posted by: Jason | Oct 19 2020 16:33 utc | 5

or the TL/DR version. Trump may win again for the exact same reasons as last time and with team D committing the exact same unforced errors from four years ago.

Posted by: thepanzer | Oct 19 2020 16:34 utc | 6

Re: the horse race.

The 2016 polls did predict the popular vote, the problem was the electoral vote. This time Biden seems able to win the electoral vote.

As for the crowds at rallies, Biden voters don't go to rallies because they don't want to catch covid, while Trump voters believe covid is a hoax.

It's true that there is zero enthusiasm for Biden and his policies. But this election will be a straight up referendum on how Trump has handled the epidemic. That doesn't mean Joe will handle it any better.

Posted by: Dan Lynch | Oct 19 2020 16:41 utc | 7


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About the author(s)

"b" is Moon of Alabama's founding (and chief) editor.  This site's purpose is to discuss politics, economics, philosophy and blogger Billmon's Whiskey Bar writings. Moon Of Alabama was opened as an independent, open forum for members of the Whiskey Bar community.  Bernhard )"b") started and still runs the site. Once in a while you will also find posts and art from regular commentators. You can reach the current administrator of this site by emailing Bernhard at MoonofA@aol.com

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