Ukraine? Russia? Keep Your Eyes on the Prize

Western journalist standing by pro-Russia activist in Slavyansk, Eastern Ukraine.

Western journalist standing by pro-Russia activist—properly attired for clashes with rightwing supporters of the new Kievan regime—in Slavyansk, Eastern Ukraine. Slavyansk and Donetsk are two cities where the separatist, pro-Russia movement sweeping the region is strongest. 

Hello everyone.  Very interesting, and gratifying to me, Paul Craig Roberts (who has been writing along these lines all along) has essentially endorsed the view that I put forward about a month ago, in a column published on The Greanville Post (https://www.greanvillepost.com/2014/03/31/ukraine-russia-keep-your-eyes-on-the-prize), with the US policy now enforced by Ukrainian force, not just sanctions (which the EU essentially refused to go along with).   I feel that I am in good company.

All the best, Steve Jonas

SPECIAL DISPATCH
Steven Jonas, MD, MPH
Senior Contributing Editor 

It is always the economic ruling class that controls the state apparatus, the government, in one way or another.  This is unless the government has become so violent that it can maintain itself in place by the use of force, massed and personal, against even the most highly placed, in both the ruling class and the military, as was the case in capitalist Nazi Germany…”

In a previous column on this subject, I reviewed briefly the history (that is the full picture, not just the half that is presented in the US media) of what has been going on in Ukraine and the Russian response to it.  I considered what in my view is the main strategic reason for that response, the determination of Russia to maintain control of its principal warm water port, at Sevastopol, Crimea.  All the rest from the Russian point of view, in my view, is commentary.  (The previous column is well-referenced, and additional references appear in a subsequent version of it published elsewhere.  For further references, see also two excellent columns on the subject by my friend, colleague, and editor at BuzzFlash, Mark Karlin.)

As is now well-known, President Obama has gone all-in on this one, with very strong accusations against Russia, and President Putin in particular, of all kinds of violations of international law and human rights and a drive for “expansion” (ho, ho, ho — with what, against whom?).  This takes place in the context of, over the past few months in the U.S/. Media, a ramping up of a personal demonization of Mr. Putin, in part trying to make his actions into matters of personal psychology and pique.

Obama has issued some economic sanctions, fairly limited so far, and has invited the EU countries to come all-in with him in issuing much stronger ones.  Currently the feeling in the media is that they will not go too far along the lines of what Obama is asking for.  This is because, as is well-known, the economies of many members are tied, to a greater or lesser extent, to the importation of energy supplies and the export of manufactured products, like luxury automobiles for the oligarchs and their dependents (Germany in particular) to Russia.  He is also, for show, sending some extra fighter jets and the like in military hardware to neighboring countries of Russia.

Now President Putin has said that he has no plans to invade any other NATO members, and he would be highly foolish to do so.  NATO was designed specifically as an anti-Soviet military alliance as the US was ramping up the Cold War in 1949, once the Soviet Union “got the bomb.”  Since the demise of the Soviet Union, it has been an anti-Russia alliance.  It provides that an attack on any member is to be considered an attack on all.  Interestingly enough, the agreement made between the Western Powers and the last Soviet Government just before its demise (as well as with the successor counter-revolutionary government of Boris Yeltsin), that the latter would withdraw its 300,000 troops from East Germany, thus permitting the merger of the East and West Germany, was contingent upon the pledge from NATO not to expand to Soviet borders.  That agreement has been violated by the West to the extent that virtually every country bordering on now Russia is member of NATO, except for Ukraine.

In my view now, the coup that toppled the elected (although totally incompetent and corrupt) previous Ukrainian Government, putting in place a pro-Western government with openly fascist elements in it, had little to with either the EU or NATO, as it is commonly thought to be.  Nor do I now think, as I did in my earlier column referenced below, given Obama’s speeches and more importantly his actions, that he has been an innocent bystander in all of this, being pushed along by middle-level State Neo-cons and National Endowment for Democracy officials, being forced to catch up.  I now rather think that the whole thing has been a set-up for Putin, led by the White House.  A trap was set for him and, at the cost of the Sevastopol base and to a lesser extent his popularity inside Russia, he could not avoid stepping right into it.

Based on his actions and the incredible hypocrisy of this speeches, it cannot now be doubted that Obama is not only with the unreconstructed Neo-cons, he is moving to position himself to be their leader, McCain et al to the contrary notwithstanding.  Now that the U.S.-specific sanctioning has begun, against what or rather who is the process aimed?  So far, individuals, certain members of the Russian “Oligarchy” and certain closely associated “Oligarchy” member institutions.

The conventional wisdom is that Putin controls the Oligarchy that collectively embodies the top-end of the economic Russian ruling class.  Well, that can be the case only if Russia is completely different from any other country on Earth.  It is always the economic ruling class that controls the state apparatus, the government, in one way or another.  This is unless the government has become so violent that it can maintain itself in place by the use of force, massed and personal, against even the most highly placed, in both the ruling class and the military, as was the case in capitalist Nazi Germany.

The prize here is not Ukraine, and it is not getting NATO even further around European Russia.  (What?  80% or so isn’t enough?)  No.  The prize is Russia, for Global Capitalism.  Russia has enormous energy reserves, many of them unexplored.  (It just so happens that, for example, Exxon is already there.)  Russia has an enormous potential market for consumer goods, and an enormous potential supply of cheap labor for Western manufacturers.  Russia is not a socialist state (although it is likely that most US don’t know the difference between Russia and the Soviet Union, which was at least nominally socialist.)  Russia is a capitalist country, run by a group of 19th-century-type Robber Baron capitalists.  Aided by the West’s hand-picked Boris Yeltsin, they were in positions to steal the means of production from the nation as a whole when the Soviet Union broke up.

Putin presently keeps certain of the Oligarchs in check.  But Putin, who has dreams of restoring “Russian Glory,” seemingly part-Czarist, part-Soviet, is an inconvenient impediment to the expansion of Global Capitalism into Russia itself.  Do you think that the Oligarchs, just like our capitalist top-guns, really care who is in charge, just as long as they get their way and make their profits?  And suppose a system came in that promises them an even larger share of the pie, without the present total unpredictability of a national leader who every once in a while on a whim throws one of them in prison?

There is a deal to be made here, especially if certain individual oligarchs and their enterprises can be made to feel the pain, now.  There is also a pro-Western Chief Executive waiting in the wings to follow along the lines briefly outlined above, once Putin is disposed of (in one way or another).  And that would be the former President and present Prime Minister, Dmitry Medvedev (who would then become the Boris Yeltsin of the incorporation of Russia into Global Capitalism).  Obama is going to continue to ramp up that kind of pressure, which he can do without asking the EU to do much else.

The prize is not Ukraine in the EU and NATO.  The prize is the Russian economy, fully integrated into Global Capitalism.  And next for the voracious appetite of that institution, if it can get there before it destroys the world with uncontrolled global warming, is of course, China.  Stay tuned.

_____________________

About the Author
Senior Editor Steven Jonas, MD, MPH is a Professor of Preventive Medicine at Stony Brook University (NY) and author/co-author/editor/co-editor of over 30 books. In addition to being a columnist for The Greanville Post, he also serves in the same capacity at BuzzFlash/Truthout (http://www.buzzflash.com,http://www.truth-out.org/), and he is the Managing Editor of and a Contributing Author to TPJmagazine.net.

In his academic career Dr. Jonas has received numerous honors and awards. Among other things, he is a Fellow of the New York Academy of Sciences (elected), the American College of Preventive Medicine, the American Public Health Association, the New York Academy of Medicine, and the Royal Society of Medicine (UK) .  He is a Past President of the Association of Teachers of Preventive Medicine, and a past member of the New York State Board for Medicine.  He is Editor-in-Chief of theAmerican Medical Athletic Association Journal.




Washington’s drive for regime change in Venezuela

venez-ChavezSupporter

Bill Van Auken

In the past few days, US officials have resumed a drumbeat of denunciations against the Venezuelan government of President Nicolás Maduro.

In response to an appeal from a right-wing Venezuelan émigré in Miami, President Barack Obama described himself as “deeply troubled by the continued repression of protestors in Venezuela,” and declared that he was “working behind the scenes” to influence events in the South American country.

Speaking Monday via an Internet video connection to a conference in Estonia of the “Freedom Online Coalition,” which includes the governments of 23 countries, Secretary of State John Kerry made unsubstantiated claims that the Venezuelan government had blocked access to some web sites and lumped it together with Russia as a country that suppresses Internet freedom and constitutes a place “where we face some of the greatest security challenges today.”

Needless to say, the US secretary of state—who had earlier condemned the Venezuelan government for waging a “terror campaign” against its own people—made no mention of Washington’s own role in the wholesale spying on Internet activities of hundreds of millions of people around the globe.

And at a separate conference in New York City, Roberta Jacobsen, the undersecretary of state for Western Hemisphere affairs, told an audience that the Obama administration was not “ruling out anything,” including the imposition of sanctions against Venezuela, but for now advocated “giving a chance” to the ongoing “dialogue” between the Maduro government and its right-wing opposition.

The statements by the US president and the two top State Department officials only go to confirm the warning made last month by Maduro that his government is confronting a “slow-motion” coup, in which US-backed violent demonstrators are “copying badly what happened in Kiev.”

In Venezuela, as in Ukraine, the aim of US imperialism is to remove any obstacle to its exercise of hegemony. Venezuela sits atop the world’s largest proven oil reserves, and Washington is determined to place these strategic resources firmly under its thumb. The Venezuelan government’s diversion of oil revenues to finance minimal assistance programs for the poor, its provision of subsidized oil exports to Cuba and other nations in what the US has always regarded as its “own backyard,” and the growing trade and financial ties between Caracas and Beijing have all served to provoke the ire of the US government.

As in Kiev, in Venezuela Washington backed “peaceful protesters” who dubbed their campaign la salida (the exit), meaning the ouster of the elected president. To that end they employed Molotov cocktail attacks against government buildings and sniper fire against security forces and government supporters. All the while, as in Ukraine, Washington and the Western media grossly exaggerated the repressive actions of the government, while utterly ignoring the violence of the demonstrators.

Unlike Kiev, la salida failed to achieve its objective. The violent protests were confined almost exclusively to the more well-heeled neighborhoods. They attracted little to no support within the country’s working class and impoverished masses. Their own growing anger against rising prices and chronic shortages notwithstanding, working people recognize in the protest leaders—who, like their counterparts in Kiev are longtime recipients of US aid through agencies such as USAID and the National Endowment for Democracy—the representatives of imperialism and the old Venezuelan oligarchy that oppressed the country for centuries.

Now, along with Washington, the Venezuelan right and big business are “giving a chance” to the so-called “dialogue” initiated by the Maduro government, even as the violent protests continue, albeit on a far reduced level.

Mediated by the Vatican and foreign ministers of Brazil, Colombia and Ecuador, this dialogue has been aimed at reaching an accommodation between the Maduro government and the right-wing opposition, organized in the electoral coalition known as MUD (Democratic Unity Roundtable). Alongside these dialogue sessions, the government has organized an economic “peace conference” with leading Venezuelan capitalists, appealing for an increase in production and asking billionaires like Lorenzo Mendoza of the Polar food conglomerate what they need to boost productivity and profits.

What the Venezuelan financial and corporate ruling layers are demanding is more cash from the public treasury—which they are being granted—as well as higher prices on goods along with attacks on basic rights and living standards of the working class. These are also forthcoming, with prices on a number of basic commodities having been quietly allowed to increase—along with a 40 percent hike in public transit fares—and labor laws protecting workers against layoffs increasingly ignored.

Maduro used May Day to announce a 30 percent increase in the minimum wage, upon which large sections of those employed in the formal sector subsist. Given an inflation rate that neared 60 percent last year, the increase leaves workers far behind, with two minimum wage salaries required just to buy basic necessities under even the government’s low estimate of these costs.

The president of Venezuela’s chamber of commerce, Fedecamaras, Jorge Roig, praised Maduro for consulting with big business before announcing the paltry wage hike, calling the 30 percent rise “responsible.”

The emerging strategy of the Venezuelan right and its US sponsors is to utilize the instability it has created to push the government to the right, while in the process further alienating the measure of popular support it enjoyed thanks to its social assistance programs and populist rhetoric.

Waiting in the wings, should neither the Maduro government nor the right prove capable of imposing new conditions of stability for Venezuelan capitalism, is the military. From the coming to power nearly 15 years ago of Hugo Chávez, a former army lieutenant colonel and abortive coup leader, the military has played a decisive role in the “Bolivarian Socialist” government. Today military officers occupy 11 government ministries, including the most important—Defense, Interior and Economy—as well as the majority of the country’s governorships. The announcement that three air force generals and some 30 officers have been arrested for alleged participation in a coup plot serves as a deadly warning.

The Venezuelan working class is confronted with sharp dangers, not only from the political right, but from within the Maduro government and its military core as well.

Those pseudo-left elements who have cast “Chavismo” and “Bolivarian Socialism” as some new road to socialism have worked to politically disarm workers in the face of these threats. They have painted in rosy colors a situation in which the grip of private capital over the country’s economy is greater than before Chávez took office and in which finance capital is reaping super profits off of Venezuelan oil revenues, even as a new layer tied to the government, the so-called boliburguesia, enriches itself through contracts and corruption.

Venezuelan groups like Marea Socialista (MS-Socialist Tide), whose politics are promoted by both the Pabloites and the International Socialist Organization, pose the task of the working class as pressuring Maduro to the left to counteract the pressure from the right. Other pseudo-left groups abroad have moved even further to the right, distancing themselves from the Venezuelan government after Chávez opposed the imperialist regime change operations in Libya and Syria that these groups have supported.

In the end, all of these groups speak politically for more privileged layers of the petty bourgeoisie. They were attracted to Chavismo precisely because it subordinated the working class to a “comandante” and a military-dominated government, thereby mediating Venezuela’s explosive class struggle.

The bitter lessons of the recent violent clashes in Venezuela and the government’s response are summed up in the necessity of establishing the political independence of the working class, in opposition to the bourgeois government of Maduro and its pseudo-left supporters. This means building a section of the International Committee of the Fourth International based on the theory of permanent revolution and fighting for the working class to take power in Venezuela and throughout Latin America.

Bill Van Auken is a senior political commentator with wsws.org.

 




The Story of Venezuela’s Protests

Much Different From What You’ve Heard

Antigovernment Venezuelans protest in London. Typical of the upper-class background of this insurgency supported by US agents.  Notice the well-made signs.

Antigovernment Venezuelans protest in London. Typical of the upper-class background of this insurgency supported by US agents. Notice the well-made signs.

By Mark Weisbrot

In reacting to the protests in Venezuela, the biggest Western media outlets have drafted a charmingly simple narrative of the situation there. According to this story, peaceful protesters have risen up against a government because of shortages, high inflation, and crime. They have taken to the streets and been met with brutal repression from a government that also controls the media.

It doesn’t take much digging to take down this narrative. First, while there have been some peaceful opposition marches, the daily protests are anything but peaceful. In fact, about half of the daily death toll from Venezuela that we see in the media – now at 41 — are actually civilians and security forces apparently killed by protesters. A much smaller fraction are protesters alleged to have been killed by security forces. As for the media, state TV in Venezuela has only about 10 percent of the TV audience; the New York Times recently had to run a correction for falsely reporting that opposition voices are not regularly heard on Venezuelan TV. They are on TV, even calling for the overthrow of the government – which has been the announced goal of the protest leaders from the beginning. These are not like the protests last year in Brazil, or the student protests from 2011-13 in Chile, which were organized around specific demands.

Of course the increased shortages and rising inflation over the past year have had a political impact on Venezuela, but it is striking that the people who are most hurt by shortages are decidedly not joining the protests. Instead, the protests are joined andled by the upper classes, who are least affected.

In fact, the protests really got going largely as a result of a split within the Venezuelan opposition. Henrique Capriles, who lost to Chávez and then Maduro in the last two presidential elections, was considered too conciliatory by the more extreme right, led by Leopoldo López and María Corina Machado. They decided that the time was ripe to topple the government through street protests. Both were involved in the 2002 military coup against then President Chávez; María Corina Machado evensigned the decree of the coup government that abolished the elected National Assembly (AN), the Constitution, and the Supreme Court.

Don’t get me wrong: I am not defending the jailing of López or the Venezuelan AN decision to expel Machado, just as I would not defend the French government’sprosecution of far-right politicians for Holocaust denial, or the proposed banning of the fascist Golden Dawn party in Greece. But we should be honest about who these Venezuelan opposition leaders are and what they are trying to do.

The strategy of Venezuela’s extreme right is to make the country ungovernable, so as to gain by force what they have been unable to win in 18 elections over the past 15 years. It is clear from the statements of Brazil’s former president Lula da Silva and current president Dilma Rousseff that they have no illusions about what is going on in Venezuela. It is now 50 years since Brazil’s coup brought in the military dictatorship that put them in prison, but they can remember what a coup looks like. So, too, can the other governments of South America, who have made similar statements. But they have also offered to mediate between the government and any opposition leaders who are willing to participate in a dialogue. This process looks encouraging so far. Let’s hope so; that is the only way forward in Venezuela.

Mark Weisbrot is Co-Director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research and co-writer of Oliver Stone’s documentary “South of the Border.” He is also President of Just Foreign Policy (www.justforeignpolicy.org).




The simple truth behind the Eastern Ukraine uprisings

Why Rebellion Is Spreading In Ukraine

Why Rebellion Is Spreading In Ukraine

This past week in Eastern Ukraine there have been new government buildings seized, there have been hostages taken, assassinations, assassination attempts and riots in the streets, but unless you were paying very close attention to the back story (the part of the story that the mainstream media avoids completely), you might be wondering how the situation unraveled so fast.

The fact that the provisional government in Kiev attempted twice this month to use the Ukrainian military to crush the separatist uprising in the East, is a big deal. The fact that they failed twice is an even bigger deal. Based on the headlines coming from the New York Times and U.S.A. Today, you might assume that these events never happened, and you would certainly never come away with the understanding that the chaos we are seeing right now is a direct result of these blunders.

All attention is on Russia. Russia did this, Russia did that, Russia might do such and such… The idea that Kiev brought any of this on themselves, is never entertained even for a moment by any of the major talking heads on the left or the right.

All attention is placed on Russian troops on the Ukrainian border, and mass invasions that some source in the provisional government keeps claiming are imminent (but never seem to materialize), while these so called journalists conveniently ignore the elephant in the room here: The provisional government in Kiev has no aura of authority. They aren’t respected by the civilians, and more importantly they aren’t respected by the Ukrainian military. The simple fact of the matter is that the Ukrainian military is more than capable of clearing out the occupied towns if they really wanted to, but they don’t want to. Their actions prove this.

Can you blame them? What would you do if you were receiving morally questionable orders from men who took power in a coup with direct assistance from the United States government?

And another thing. Stop calling the separatists “pro-Russian”. If you listen to their statements the actual sentiment of the protesters is primarily anti-Kiev. They don’t trust the provisional government. Leaning towards Russia is just the default reaction in the absence of convincing leadership.

Russia is certainly an important variable in this equation, but nothing makes up for a lack of perceived authority. Yes, Russia threatened to intervene if Kiev used the military against the protesters. That was significant, and it’s very possible that this warning influenced the outcome, but consider for a moment what that means. Without the use of overt force Kiev is completely incapable of controlling the situation. The figureheads at the top of Maidan have become (or perhaps always were) the very thing they condemned when they were protesting in Kiev just a few months ago.

Keyboard commandos can battle this out on the internet all they want, but Eastern Ukrainians view the provisional government in Kiev as subordinate to Washington. Unless that changes, stability is a pipe dream.

SOURCE: SCG News




Psycho-Cartoon Warfare: Putin as Hitler

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