PATRICK LAWRENCE—Alastair Crooke did an interesting interview with Andrew Napolitano last week on the latter’s program, Judging Freedom. Two of Crooke’s points merit mention.
One, Nasrallah had for years obliged all Hezbollah leaders to cultivate their successors with a view to unforeseen disasters such as has just befallen him. Can we not be confident Nasrallah followed his own orders? Two, the Israeli air attacks on Hezbollah rocket and missile installations in southern Lebanon have come nowhere near even denting the group’s military capabilities.
Another point in this line: Nasrallah was a prudent leader, noted for, among other things, revising Hezbollah’s manifesto in 2009 in the direction of moderation. (“Times have changed and so must we.”) The argument arises that the organization will now assume or reassume a more radical character.
Jonathan Cook appeared to suggest this in a brief piece published Sunday on “X” under the headline, “In killing Nasrallah, Israel chose to open the gates of hell. We will all pay the price.” Cook knows West Asia and its people vastly better than I, but I question this judgment.
Since the Israelis assassinated Ismail Haniyeh, the Hamas leader, in Tehran on the last day of July, we have had a clear and simple demonstration of what the Iranians call “strategic patience.” (I have also seen it mentioned as “revolutionary patience” the term I prefer.)