Streamed live on Sep 30, 2024#Nasrallah#Lebanon#Israel In this MEGA Livestream, Professor Jeffrey Sachs joins in the first half of the show to discuss Israel's path to all out war in Lebanon and what it means for the future of the conflict raging in the Middle East plus a full update on the multipolar world. Professor Mohammad Marandi then joins from Beirut on Iran's possible response to the escalations in Lebanon as Israel war widens. Jeffrey D. Sachs serves as the Director of the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University and is President of the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network: https://www.jeffsachs.org/newspaper-a... Seyed Mohammad Marandi is a Professor of English Literature and Orientalism at the University of Tehran and advisor to Iran's nuclear negotiations team: (https://x.com/s_m_marandi)
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Hezbollah's Quarterly Report
Hezbollah publishes what I call a 'quarterly report'. It's like the jihadi earnings call. The topline numbers (as of June) are that they have conducted 2,125 military operations (total), inflicted 2,000+ casualties on the IOF, and decolonized land 35 km deep into occupied Palestine, unsettling over 230,000 settlers. It's been another bad quarter of genocide from the IOF, and a good quarter of war from the Resistance.
Hezbollah Radwan commando. More than a match for any IDF soldier.
'Israelis' are well aware of this, despite massive wartime censorship.They can see the hills burning themselves, the settlers are deeply unsettled.Yesterday alone, 30 attack drones and 150 rockets targeted 15 military sites in occupied Palestine. Residents of 'New Galilee' have threatened to secede unless the government does something about it. Mainstream ministers like Smotrich and Ben-Gvir are calling to attack Lebanon now, to put an end to it, but the generals know better.
While 'Israel' has been pre-occupied with a genocide in the south, they have lost the north. As I discussed earlier, Hezbollah has been systematically eye-poking the cyclops and, now, half the time the sirens don't even go off. Hezbollah can fire at will and the Iron Dome is broken. 'Israel's' border points have been dismantled and they're completely open to ground invasion. 'Israel's' problems compound every day the attrition goes on, and it's been nine months of daily attacks now. 'Israel' can certainly bomb Lebanon whenever they want, but now Hezbollah can bomb 'Israel' whenever they want. The strategic calculus has been rocked.
You can see this from the raw numbers in the quarterly report:
The Raw Numbers
Here's all the data compared to the last 'quarterly report,' and not in Arabic. Also note that when I say Q1 or Q4 I'm approximating, I think they use the Arabic calendar. If you read this like a bloodless business report, it's fascinating what the changes from Q4 to Q1 tell you. Lots of growth in key verticals, while certain SKUs are less popular.
The low-growth areas are actually the most interesting. For example, Hezbollah is attacking relatively fewer border points (only up 14%) and using less sniper and machine guns (+6%). This tells you that Hezbollah is no longer engaging the IOF at close range, because the IOF has retreated further away. The IOF has largely abandoned the physical border, so there's simply less to shoot at. 'Israel' has retreated 35 km back. You can see this from the numbers also, because Hezbollah is using more long-range munitions, to hit them deeper and deeper in the rear.
What this means, strategically, is that 'Israel' is now completely open to ground attack. The Radwan Force can run for 35 km before 'Israel' even sees or can engage them. What Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah said in an October 2023 speech has come to fruition.
What has taken place since October 8th is unprecedented, that all the Israeli positions from the sea to the heights of Shebaa Farms and (inaudible) [are reeling] under daily intensified offensive operations, targeting these posts and what's in between: tanks, armoured vehicles, drones, clusters of personnel, and above all, technical installations which are the eyes and ears of Israel.
Hezbollah has been hitting the old border for nine months and it simply doesn't exist anymore, there's a new border, and 'Israel' is getting closer and closer to being wiped off the map, inshallah. Strategically, this 'softening up' means that Hezbollah can march in anytime they want. And they have a small army dedicated to doing just that. The Radwan Force was formed for the explicit purpose of taking Galilee. Since the commander Hajj Radwan was assassinated in 2006, his very angry reincarnation has been training, planning, and preparing for this moment. Now 'Israel' has to ask itself the Dirty Harry question, “Do I feel lucky? Well, do ya, punk?”
A full-blown war between Israel and Hezbollah is brewing amid growing tensions. The Lebanese group has released video of its Radwan fighters in action near the border. The video shows a sniper unit of Radwan Force carrying out a mock operation. Israeli military experts suspect Hezbollah might be planning a big attack like the one carried out by Hamas on October 7.
I'll repeat because it's important. As of June 2024, Hezbollah can penetrate up to 35 km deep without A) running into many 'Israeli' soldiers and B) being 'seen' by 'Israeli' commanders. 'Israel' will certainly massacre citizens in southern Lebanon, but they'll lost northern 'Israel'. This changes the balance of the power in the region. The line of contact has physically moved into 'Israel', which has never really happened.
ABOVE: A Hezbollah-produced video showing the Radwan unit in action. Seems like the imperial system has sabotaged the soundtrack. If so, the images and captions still tell the story.
You can also see that the line of contact has moved from the numbers alone. Both long-distance drone attacks and attacks on command centers are up 82%. Hezbollah is able to target deeper into occupied Palestine, and hit formerly well-protected targets. The Iron Dome is the Iron Sieve now, and 'Israel' is looking like 'macaroni in a pot,' as Cardi B said. For days at a time, the settlements are literally on fire. 'Israel' can't cover it up.
Hell, the Iron Dome can't even protect itself anymore, attacks on platforms are up 50%. The line of contact is moving further and further south, from 20 km deep in April to 35 km in June (+52%). Now Hezbollah is able to hit military factories (3 total), destroy military airships (2), and shoot down expensive drones (7). They're even able to make 'Israeli' fighter jets turn around and flee. 'Israel' no longer has air supremacy at all. There's a new king in the north, and he's a descendant of the Prophet Muhammad (what Sayyed means).
Analysis
What you can see in this quarterly report is that Hezbollah has a long-term plan and they've made investments accordingly. Hezbollah has been preparing to invade 'Israel' since 2006, when it seemed like a pipe dream. But they invested and now it pays off. Hezbollah had a detailed plan to disable 'Israel's' eyes and ears and border outposts first, and immediately after October 7th, they put it in action. And they have a plan for each step on the escalation ladder, leading to liberation in full.
Hezbollah bunker with a DShK heavy-machine gun. Food and water supplies can last 2 months or longer.
Hezbollah Toophan ATGM (tank killer). Hezbollah now also had a good supply of Russian-made Kornets, one of the best anti-tank weapons around.
Hezbollah has graduated to the use of drones and UAVs.
'Israel' has no response to this, and also no capacity, since they're a bit tied up with genocide right now. Whenever 'Israel' idly assassinates a commander—like Hajj Abu Taleb this week—they get hit literally 100 times harder. Whenever they bomb a village, they raise another battalion for the Resistance. After decades of trying to beat these people into submission, the people remain resistant, and 'Israel' just gets weaker and weaker. And so the historical abomination 'Israel' is slowly being pushed into the distance. 35 km of Palestine is that much closer to liberation.
Update on the conflict in Ukraine for Sunday, June 2, 2024…
US greenlights use of American weapons on Russian territory, however this is a process that has been ongoing for decades, it is simply taking place more openly now The New York Times has previously admitted that the US built up the Ukrainian intelligence and military units conducting attacks including terrorism inside Russia since 2022.
The US was behind Chechen extremists Russia fought two wars against within its own borders in the late 1990s and early 2000s If Ukraine’s use of Western weapons have failed to impede Russian success along the line of contact, it can be assumed that attempting to use them across Russia’s vast interior will only further dilute Ukrainian firepower along the front and compound its crisis further.
A recent Ukrainian attack on Kerch Port, Crimea, demonstrates how difficult it is even with largescale complex attacks directed by NATO to disrupt ports operations at a single port, Russia has multiple ports, the Crimean Bridge, and land bridge that would need to be disrupted in order to “isolate” Crimea The Czech led artillery shell initiative now admittedly involves munitions in poor condition, with half of the rounds being collected requiring refurbishment, meaning the supposed 800,000 rounds on their way to Ukraine will be sent in smaller tranches over a longer period of time, impacting Ukraine’s daily rate of fire.
NeoNazi ideology has become one of the main protagonists of political and social life in Ukraine since the 2014 coup d'état. Meanwhile, fascist ideology and blatant lies also permeate the consciousness of most people in the West. Those in the comfortable top 10%, the "PMCs" (Professional Managerial Class), are especially vulnerable. They support and disseminate such ideas. They are the executors of the actual ruling class' orders, those in the 0.001%, who remain largely invisible. The PMCs are the political class, the media whores, the top military brass, some people in academia, and the "national security/foreign policy" industry honchos. Push back against these unethical, contaminated people with the truth while you can.
The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and may or may not reflect those of The Greanville Post. However, we do think they are important enough to be transmitted to a wider audience.
Since the overpaid media shills will never risk their careers to report the truth, the world must rely on citizen journalists to provide the facts that explain reality.
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We live in a fake democracy with a criminal, deranged, hegemonist foreign policy that JFK actually tried to dismantle. There are, or there were, sectors in the US ruling class that preferred a non-imperialist America, but they were defeated. Now history may be giving Americans a second chance at reconstructing their society along far more wholesome lines.
First posted / Streamed live on Nov 17, 2023
11/17/2023 Episode 33 of Blowback: Exposing Imperial Declinewith special guest Aaron Good, Author of "American Exception".
Historian and author, Dr. Aaron Good, joins the Blowback roundtable for a wide ranging discussion focusing on the myths of American exceptionalism. Aaron summarizes the last 75 years of US imperialism with a focus on the Kennedy family and their rocky relationship with the deep state. Aaron is an expert on the subject matter and he effortlessly articulates the most salient points while providing solid analysis about the West's inevitable decline and prospects for a peaceful and prosperous future.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR / SOURCE
Billy Bob is a dedicated anti-imperialist activist and blogger. You can reach him at his Facebook page HERE.
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The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and may or may not reflect those of The Greanville Post. However, we do think they are important enough to be transmitted to a wider audience.
Unfortunately, most people take this site for granted. DONATIONS HAVE ALMOST DRIED UP… PLEASE send what you can today! JUST USE THE BUTTON BELOW
They talk about Sharp’s NED-funded Albert Einstein Institution; his explicitly neoliberal, pro-corporate, and pro-imperialist politics; and the manuals he wrote teaching people how to do so-called “color revolutions” (ie, soft coups) against Washington’s targets, from Yugoslavia to Venezuela to Hong Kong.
Renowned as a “nonviolent” political strategist, Gene Sharp declared in a lecture:
I say nonviolent struggle is armed struggle. And we have to take back that term from those advocates of violence, who try to justify with pretty words that kind of combat. Only with this type of struggle, one fights with psychological weapons, social weapons, economic weapons, and political weapons.
And that this is ultimately more powerful against oppression, injustice, and tyranny then is violence.
Change Agent: Gene Sharp’s Neoliberal Nonviolence” at Nonsite (May 2019).
The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and may or may not reflect those of The Greanville Post. However, we do think they are important enough to be transmitted to a wider audience.
All image captions, pull quotes, appendices, etc. by the editors not the authors.
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