WHY THESE NEW RUSSIAN MISSILES ARE REAL GAME CHANGERS

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WHY THESE NEW RUSSIAN MISSILES ARE REAL GAME CHANGERS

In response to a U.S. decision to arrange for ballistic missile attacks from Ukraine into Russia, the great magician and President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin pull a rabbit from his hat.

Yesterday the six independent war heads of a new intermediate range ballistic missile hit the Yuzhmash missile plant in Dnipro Ukraine.

Until now the new missile and its mission profile had been unknown. It is the clear counter to decade long efforts of the U.S. to gain supremacy, especially in Europe, over Russia.

Missiles can be classified by the range they are able to achieve:

  1. Short-Range Ballistic Missiles (SRBM) are designed to target enemy forces within a range of approximately 1,000 kilometers. Typically employed in tactical scenarios, they allow for rapid response to regional threats.
  2. Medium-Range Ballistic Missiles (MRBM) extend the operational range to about 3,500 kilometers. These systems enhance a nation’s deterrent capabilities by allowing strikes on targets further away without resorting to intercontinental systems.
  3. Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM) represent the longest range category, with capabilities exceeding 5,500 kilometers. These missiles serve as a strategic deterrent, capable of delivering payloads across continents and significantly impacting global security dynamics.

The U.S., Russia and China have developed all three types of weapons. In the late 1980s, on the initiative of the Soviet leader Mikhail Grobaschev, the U.S. and the Soviet Union signed the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF Treaty):

The INF Treaty banned all of the two nations’ nuclear and conventional ground-launched ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and missile launchers with ranges of 500–1,000 kilometers (310–620 mi) (short medium-range) and 1,000–5,500 km (620–3,420 mi) (intermediate-range). The treaty did not apply to air- or sea-launched missiles. By May 1991, the nations had eliminated 2,692 missiles, followed by 10 years of on-site verification inspections.

While the deployment of missiles of a certain range were prohibited missile development continued. Around 2008 the Russian Federation used the base design of the RS-24 (Yars) intercontinental missile to develop a more flexible version with a lighter payload. The result was the easier to handle RS-26 missile. While this could and did achieve the range needed to be classified as an intercontinental missile its payload was too small to be really effective.

In early 2018 the Russian Federation decided to halt all further development of the RS-26 and invested its money into the more promising hypersonic glide vehicle Avanguard.

A few month after Russia had taken the decision to mothball the RS-24 development the U.S. withdrew from the INF-treaty. While the U.S. claimed that certain cruise missile developments in Russia were in breach of the treaty the real reason for the withdrawal was elsewhere:

[T]he US need to counter a Chinese arms buildup in the Pacific, including within South China Sea, was another reason for their move to withdraw, because China was not a signatory to the treaty. US officials extending back to the presidency of Barack Obama have noted this.

However the U.S. withdrawal from the INF aligned with the 2002 withdrawal of the U.S. from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty which had limited missile defenses. Shortly thereafter the U.S. announced to build ‘anti missile installations’ in eastern Europe. These installation can be easily re-purposed to fire offensive cruise missiles towards Russia.

In July 2024 NATO announced that the U.S. would, starting in 2026, deploy nuclear capable intermediate range missiles in Germany.

This would recreated the dangerous situation Europe had seen before the INF treaty was put into place. A nuclear war within Europe, without the involvement of the continental U.S., will again become a possibility.

Russia had to finally react to the threat. A few weeks after the NATO announcement Vladimir Putin responded to those plans:

The US administration and the German government made a noteworthy statement concerning their plans to deploy US long-range precision missile systems in Germany in 2026.

The missiles could reach ranges of major Russian state and military facilities, administrative and industrial centres, and defence infrastructure. The flight time to targets on our territory of such missiles, which in the future may be equipped with nuclear warheads, would be about ten minutes.

The United States has already conducted exercises to practice deployment of Typhon missile systems from its territory to Denmark and the Philippines. This situation is reminiscent of the events of the Cold War related to the deployment of American medium-range Pershing missiles in Europe.

If the United States implements these plans, we will consider ourselves free from the previously assumed unilateral moratorium on the deployment of medium and shorter-range strike weapons, including increasing the capabilities of the coastal troops of our Navy.

Today, the development of such systems in Russia is nearing completion. We will take mirror measures to deploy them, taking into account the actions of the United States, its satellites in Europe and in other regions of the world.

Yesterday’s attack on the Yuzhmash complex in Dnepropetrovsk (video) was the first demonstration of the new Russian capability.

The new missiles, named Oreshnik (hazelnut), is a RS-26 variant with a shorter range and a payload of six (instead of the previously four) multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRV). Each reentry vehicle can carry six sub-munitions. The payload can be inert, destroying the target by the sheer power of its kinetic energy, high-explosive or nuclear.

The missile uses solid fuel and is road mobile. It can be fired on short notice from camouflaged positions.

Launched from Russia the missile can reach any target in Europe in less than 20 minutes. On reentry into the atmosphere the warheads of the missile reach hypersonic speeds of 3-4 kilometer per second. There is no air defense system in the world that could stop them.

The surprising and successful demonstration of such an enormous capability is a wake-up call for European strategists.

Lulled in by neoconservative talk of western supremacy and presumed Russian inabilities the Europeans were eager to connect their fate to a proxy war against Russia. Having been defeated in the fight for the commodities of the Donbas region they have pushed for extending the reach of their weapons into Russia.

The results are now in. Europe is defenseless against new Russian weapons which can reach every political and industrial center of Europe with devastating power and with just minutes of notice.

Luckily there is still time to change course.

While announcing the new capabilities the Russian president also made an offer(video) to limit their deployment:

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-theme="dark"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Considering that each group of RVs takes about 0.5s to reach the ground from the cloud, which is about 2 km from the earth's surface, the RVs reach the ground at a speed of about 4 km/s or almost Mach 12. This is breathtaking &amp; staggering! There is no defense against it! 

We are developing intermediate-range and shorter-range missiles in response to US plans to produce and deploy intermediate-range and shorter-range missiles in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region. We believe that the United States made a mistake by unilaterally destroying the INF Treaty in 2019 under a far-fetched pretext. Today, the United States is not only producing such equipment, but, as we can see, it has worked out ways to deploy its advanced missile systems to different regions of the world, including Europe, during training exercises for its troops. Moreover, in the course of these exercises, they are conducting training for using them.

As a reminder, Russia has voluntarily and unilaterally committed not to deploy intermediate-range and shorter-range missiles until US weapons of this kind appear in any region of the world.

To reiterate, we are conducting combat tests of the Oreshnik missile system in response to NATO’s aggressive actions against Russia. Our decision on further deployment of intermediate-range and shorter-range missiles will depend on the actions of the United States and its satellites.

Should the U.S. and its European lackeys commit further offenses against Russia, more severe Oreshnik ‘tests’, under field conditions and potentially aiming at targets beyond Ukraine, will be pursued:

We will determine the targets during further tests of our advanced missile systems based on the threats to the security of the Russian Federation. We consider ourselves entitled to use our weapons against military facilities of those countries that allow to use their weapons against our facilities, and in case of an escalation of aggressive actions, we will respond decisively and in mirror-like manner. I recommend that the ruling elites of the countries that are hatching plans to use their military contingents against Russia seriously consider this.

Let’s hope they will do so.


Interesting Commentary


Some jaw-dropping cope from the ISW:

Neither the Oreshnik ballistic missile strike nor Putin's November 21 statement represent a significant inflection in Russian strike capabilities or likeliness to use a nuclear weapon. Russian forces fire nuclear-capable Iskander ballistic missiles, Kinzhal hypersonic ballistic missiles, and nuclear-capable Kh-101 cruise missiles against Ukraine on a regular basis. Previous Russian missile strikes have targeted industrial and critical infrastructure including within Dnipro City that caused greater damage.[9] The only fundamentally new characteristic of the Russian strikes against Dnipro City on November 21 was the Oreshnik missile itself, which ostentatiously showcased reentry vehicles to amplify the spectacle of the strike and further imply a nuclear threat.[10][11] The West maintains credible deterrence options and Putin's nuclear saber-rattling should not constrain Western officials from choosing to further aid Ukraine. US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director Bill Burns cautioned Western policymakers against fearing Putin's nuclear rhetoric in September 2024, describing Putin as a "bully" who will "continue to saber rattle from time to time."[12]

The full, sorry excuse for “analysis” can be read here: https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-21-2024


Posted by: Jeremy Rhymings-Lang | Nov 22 2024 16:18 utc | 8


Like the Zionists currently committing genocide in Gaza - soon to be applied to The West Bank, and Lebanon - the only thing they respect is power via force - the West also only respect power via force as well - Russia is not some defenceless country that cannot take the initiative and strike a severe blow to its enemies.

Putin has the advantage here with these new weapons - but not for long - he should be striking European nations with them - nations that are aiding and abetting Ukraine - the goal of Nato - is to break-up Russia and plunder its assets - whilst installing puppet leaders in the newly formed countries - Nato isn't going to back down - oh it might take it a lot more years of pressure on Russia to break it down - if it can - Putin needs to strike now and strike hard using these weapons - certain European nations need to be the targets to set an example - failure to do so will be seen as weakness and it will be exploited by Nato at every turn.

Does anyone think that if Nato was attacking the USA via its European puppets that the USA wouldn't conduct multiple missile strikes on those countries - sending a clear message in the process - Putin needs to take out the USA's European puppet states and send a clear message to the USA.

Putin MUST destroy the European military bases that are aiding Ukraine.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Nov 22 2024 20:41 utc | 114


LoveDonbass (115).

Putin has a short-term advantage (a window of opportunity if you like) to use these virtually unstoppable missiles - to take out European military bases and send a message to the USA - most of Europe is complicit in aiding Ukraine - which translates to aiding and abetting in the defeat of Russia - using these weapons is not using nukes they can be used to destroy military bases and assets in Europe.

Europe is weak right now having depleted many of its armourment reserves, giving them to Ukraine - now is an ideal time to strike what's left of their armourments - this needs to happen before the West catches up and has these weapons - if Putin waits and plods along like it he has - Nato's creeping mission plan will see Russia under an all out attack maybe next year, or the year after - but it is coming - of that I have no doubt.

Taking out European military bases (those that are aiding Ukraine) with these missiles sends a powerful message - a message that says we can reach you so stop aiding Ukraine or else - it also says to the USA look we took out your puppet states military bases in Europe - you send the weapons to Europe and we'll keep on destroying them IN Europe.

Nato only respects force in their eyes anything else is seen as a weakness.

Posted by: Republicofscotland | Nov 22 2024 20:55 utc | 121



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Is Trump “the only hope we have”?

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Kim Petersen

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RT ran a headline: “Putin must be ‘adult in the room’ on Ukraine conflict.” This is according to left-leaning comedian and political commentator Jimmy Dore.

“Joe Biden and the neo-cons in his administration have been constantly escalating war… What they’re trying to do is start a war that Donald Trump can’t stop,” warns Dore about a potential WWIII.

The only hope we have is that Putin shows restraint, that he is the only adult in the room and that he can hold off somehow until Donald Trump becomes president, Dore opined in an interview with Going Underground host Afshin Rattansi.


 

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Is that the only hope? One can certainly come up with many other hopes. For example, a mass mobilization by US citizenry in Washington, DC. A general strike carried out by Americans, Canadians, and Europeans repulsed by their neocon-affiliated politicians. Or that Pentagon generals speak out vociferously and publicly against such dangerous provocations against Russia. Or that people charged with inputting the coordinates for missiles targeting Russia refuse to do so.

Far-fetched? Maybe so, but isn’t that what a hope is — something far outside of the realm of a certainty?

Or is Trump the only feasible hope? And can Trump be trusted? How many promises did he fail to come through on during his first term as president?

Dore asserts that “Trump is not a warmonger” and that he “got elected on ending our foreign regime-change interventionist wars.”

However woeful the Biden presidency has been, one ought not to forget the first Trump presidency. Trump has a track record. It seems prudent to remove the rose-colored glasses and take into consideration that track record.

Trump may very well have been elected on the basis of ending foreign interventions by the US. However, that does not exculpate him from being a warmonger.

Early in the first Trump presidency, he sent in US fighters who killed dozens of Yemeni civilians, including children. Trump was now a war criminal.

Did Trump end the US war on Afghanistan? No, he sent more American troops to Afghanistan.

Did Trump end the US war on Syria? No. In fact, Trump said the troops would remain because “We’re keeping the [Syrian] oil.”

Did Trump seek peaceful relations with Iran? No. In fact, Trump pulled the US out of the JCPOA which was designed to halt Iran’s potential for becoming a nuclear-armed state. Trump’s strategy has set the stage for further nuclear proliferation. And if that was not enough, Trump ordered the assassination of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani.

However woeful the Biden presidency has been, one ought not to forget the first Trump presidency. Trump has a track record. It seems prudent to remove the rose-colored glasses and take into consideration that track record.

But Trump was pressured by those around him. Trump had mistakenly saddled himself with warmongering Neocons in his previous administration like Nikki Haley, John Bolton, Mike Pompeo, etc. But is he different now?

Trump’s new for Director of national security policy in the White House, Sebastian Gorka, exhibited his diplomatic decorum by referring to Russian president Vladimir Putin as a “murderous former KGB colonel, that thug.” According to Gorka, Trump is going to threaten Putin by telling him: “You will negotiate now or the aid that we have given to Ukraine thus far will look like peanuts.”

Which serious-minded observers believe that Putin is now shaking in his pants?

Does this inspire hope in Trump?

Finally, does anyone have an iota of hope that Trump will do right in the Middle east when it comes to Israel?


Kim Petersen is an independent writer. He can be emailed at: kimohp@gmail.com


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Reflections on Southeast Asia’s [Largely Forgotten] History: The Sino-Vietnamese Conflict

HELP ENLIGHTEN YOUR FELLOWS. BE SURE TO PASS THIS ON. BREAKING THE EMPIRE'S DISINFORMATION MACHINE IS UP TO YOU.


Peter Man



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A soldier of the Vietnam People’s Army armed with an RPG-7 rocket-propelled grenade launcher defending Lang Son in 1979. Wikimedia.


T
his guy wanted the "truth" [about a complicated subject] in a short answer. It took me at least ten years, if not more, of long hours of independent research and study to begin to understand where the lies are and how to discover the more nuanced truth. The guy does not want the truth. Don't waste your time. He wants slogans, Just tell him he's right, that's all these people want to hear. China is out to conquer the world with its 11 carrier groups terrorizing the world, 800 bases surrounding every country, threatening to bomb everyone back to the stone age, torturing and killing civilians with impunity, sanctioning and starving to death hundreds of thousands of defenseless children, subverting and destroying countries and societies all over the world. They're most evil...

LEFT:
As for the Sino-Vietnamese War, it's much more nuanced and complicated. For example, southern Vietnam, including Saigon or Ho Chi Minh City used to be Khmer under Campa rule. It came under Vietnam rule only in the 17th century. For Asians, that's like yesterday. 

When the French started their colonial adventures in Vietnam during the middle of the 19th century, guess who was the biggest anti-colonial hero fighting the French. He's a Chinese by the name of Liu Yongfu, also known as the Black Flag General. I know about him because my mother's side of the family were immigrants from China's Hainan Island living in Saigon. Liu was a borderline bandit living in the mountains with a small personal army. He basically took the scalps of the first two French naval commanders who occupied Tonkin and Hanoi. He was unfortunately not fully supported by the Qing court, and he was abandoned by the Vietnamese government when things got dicey.

Here is his proclamation to the French commander who occupied Hanoi:

"Everyone knows you are thieves. Other nations despise you. Whenever you come to a country, you claim that you have come to preach the faith, but you really wish to stir up the inhabitants with false rumors. You claim that you have come to trade, but in fact you are plotting to take over the country. You act like wild animals. You are as ravenous as tigers and wolves. Ever since you came to Vietnam, you have seized cities and killed governors. Your crimes are as numerous as the hairs on the head. You have taken over the customs and seized the country's revenues. This crime deserves death. The inhabitants have been reduced to misery, and the country is nearly ruined. God and man both loathe you. Heaven and earth both reject you... (and then in the spirit of William Wallace's speech in Braveheart) ... If you are afraid to come (to a pitch battle), cut off the heads of your chief men and present them to me. Then give back the cities you have taken. I am a merciful commander, and I will let you miserable ants live. But if you delay, my army will take your city and kill you all, and not even a blade of grass will mark where you have stood."

The French commander went out to fight and it didn't end well for him or his soldiers.

Aggressive French colonialist naval officer Henri Laurent Rivière, in civilian attire. Defying orders, he took Hanoi. The Vietnamese government, unable to confront Rivière with its own ramshackle army, enlisted the help of Liu Yongfu, whose well-trained and seasoned Black Flag soldiers were to prove a thorn in the side of the French.

The Black Flags had already inflicted one humiliating defeat on a French force commanded by lieutenant de vaisseau Francis Garnier in 1873. The arrogant Rivière would prove their second French scalp. 
Needless to repeat, the communist movement of Vietnam in the person of Ho Chi Minh (Chinese name of Nguyen Tat Thanh) was made possible by the CCP.  Everyone glorified the Viet Minh victory at Dien Bien Phu, but one should remember that the Viet Minh was created in China. It was supplied by communist China. The soldiers were trained by the experienced PLA. China probably also sent hundreds of thousands of soldiers to the front-lines. They had to do so quietly as they did not want to be seen sending soldiers from Korea to Vietnam killing a lot of Western soldiers. The CIA knew about it and certainly have lots of confidential records about it. The US probably based on this information to get involved in Vietnam. They were concerned about the communist domino.

It is a historical fact that North Vietnam in the Vietnam War was strongly supported by China, which sent men, arms, and food during times when China was suffering from embargoes and famines. Part of China's own problems stemmed from its break with the USSR after Stalin's death, when Khruschev began to de-Stalinize. Not only did China lose even its friends in the USSR camp, it lost USSR experts helping it industrialize, and it had to repay all loans in gold to the USSR, meaning it had no cash to buy food from friendly HK smugglers when they needed the food. In any case, China protected North Vietnam by declaring in a secret letter to the US that US soldiers must not cross the 17th Parallel. It was similar to the earlier warning by China to the US not to cross the 38th Parallel. US learned the lesson of the Korean War and never attempted a land attack on North Vietnam.

In 1969, China had a serious border war with the USSR. Just like in the Korean War of 1950 and the Indian Border War of 1962, Soviet soldiers didn't believe that China would fight a war against the nuclear armed USSR for a river island in the middle of nowhere. The Zhenbao Island claimed by both China and Russia would become Chinese territory in the 1995 Sino-Russia Border Agreement. China showed the USSR that it would not be bullied. Not only that, it marked the beginning of the fall of the USSR twenty years later. After the fighting began in 1969, the USSR failed miserably in trying to get the other communist countries and communist parties to condemn China. Even China's archenemy India (following 1962) at the time said that it was the fault of the USSR. In 1969, the USSR was still at the height of its power. When Kosygin tried to call Mao for some diplomacy, the Beijing operator slammed the phone on the Soviet leader. Kosygin eventually had to visit Beijing to stop the hostilities. He was only allowed to conduct diplomacy at the cold and lonely Beijing airport. Full-out war was averted but China did not get bullied. This little action got Nixon's attention and respect. Two years later, Nixon would do his pilgrimage as well, and in the middle of the Cultural Revolution. Trump and his China hawks and the entire Washington Swamp with their apparatchiks somehow in a grand delusional fashion believe that they can bully China today is laughable and self-destructive. Look what hubris can do to people's heads.


Chinese soldiers marching Vietnamese prisoners to holding area.

In this Sino-Soviet conflict, eventually Hanoi would stand on the side of the USSR. Things began to look suspicious to China. The Hanoi government had ceded all South China Sea (SCS) claims to China in 1958. Once it became apparent that final victory of the Vietnam War was at hand in 1975, Hanoi began retracting that agreement. It was completely voided in 1979. By that time, Hanoi had been creating a refugee disaster of the Boat-People, most of whom were ethnic Chinese who had lived in Vietnam for centuries. My mother's side of the family was almost completely ethnically purged from Vietnam. My uncle was a boat-people. Thousands died at sea and in refugee camps. My uncle lived in a sampan for over a year outside of Singapore, being denied entry, eventually ending up in Malaysia's Bidong Island camp. Its nickname in Chinese means dolorous. These are events that happened to my family, not hearsay or lies from the Western MSM.

Sino-Viet war 1979
Chinese infantryman

Chinese infantryman riding a tank


Given Cambodia's geographical location and its poor historical relationship with Vietnam as a victim of Vietnamese invasion, China has always kept good relations with Cambodia as a counterweight to Vietnam. The communist movement of Cambodia Khmer Rouge was no doubt supported by China, as it was later supported by Cambodia's King Sihanouk, who was very friendly with Beijing, but was ousted by the US supported Lon Nol. After the Vietnam War, border clashes occurred with some regularity between Vietnam and Cambodia. It's not so simple as a flash point of global geopolitics. A lot of Cambodians to this day hate the Vietnamese. At the end of 1978, Vietnam invaded Cambodia and occupied it. Vietnam in effect became the hegemon of SE Asia and the Annam peninsula. 

In 1979, China was just opening up. China established official relations with the US on Jan. 1st. Why did it want to have a war with its neighbor Vietnam? Here is another clue. In 1979, aside from voiding its agreement vis-a-vis SCS with China, Hanoi had given Cam Ranh base to the USSR. Let us not forget that at the time, China and the USSR were not at the best of terms. It takes only a few hours for the Soviet marines to land on Hainan and only minutes for its planes to bomb Hainan's cities. With the backing of the USSR, Vietnam was able to invade Cambodia and kick out the Khmer Rouge, at the time supported by China and less openly by the US as well (TP is absolutely correct in this regard). The balance of power in SE Asia, China's backyard, was thus lost.. Furthermore, far from Western eyes was the intrusion of the Vietnamese into Chinese territory. This is what happens to the affliction of hubris. Vietnam had just defeated the US, conquered Cambodia, and had USSR ships and planes within sight of China's coast. What can China do?


Sino-Viet war 1979

The challenging terrain and dense jungle conditions created a huge logistical headache for the Chinese army.


Chinese border soldiers discovered to their chagrin that some heavily wooded high mountain peaks near the border but within China were quietly occupied by the Vietnamese and fortified. They were very hard to dislodge without great loss of life. Protests obviously went to deaf ears. A few explosions would get some attention. Deng declared his intentions to fight a limited border war with the US and the USSR. Everyone knew what was coming. China knew the area well. It was never surprised by how hard the terrain was. They had been supplying Hanoi through these mountains for years. Even over this difficult terrain, within one month, the Chinese army reached its objective of Lang Son, which was about 150 km of weakly defended easy terrain to Hanoi. Characteristic of how China has fought border wars, the Chinese army unilaterally ended the war and went home, retaking all of the fortified positions occupied earlier by the Vietnamese inside Chinese territory. The Vietnamese would never try that again.

By the end of the war, the Vietnamese had moved most of their army and weapons from Cambodia to defend their capital. Pathet Lao, the Laotian communist movement also helped into existence and success by China was at that time firmly in the USSR and Vietnamese camp. This Sino-Vietnamese border action basically told Pathet Lao "don't fuck with me," and China had a quiet border with Laos ever since. The most important result came from the USSR, which sat around watching their puppy getting kicked. The experience told Vietnam not to depend on big brother in a real fight with China, Cam Ranh notwithstanding. In 1991, upon the fall of the USSR, China and Vietnam signed an agreement on their land border. Laos followed suit shortly after. China's one-month border action basically guaranteed peace for the SE Asian peninsula ever since.

This view is very different from the one we read in the MSM. It looks deeper into history and about other events around the world at the time. It may not be complete. It may not even be 100% accurate. But it's more than what MSM can provide. It's certainly not short enough to satisfy morons who live and die by slogans like "hope," "change," or make some limp prick big again. 

It's stressful to learn the truth and sometimes to tell the truth, but that's what we do at CWG (China Writers Group).

—Peter Man


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Larry C. Johnson: Putin’s SOLID Message to the West – The Unstoppable “Benign Nuke” (?!!) •

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Pepe Escobar : Captain America’s Delusions.


 
 


U.S. Can't Intercept Oreshnik': Top Missile Tech Expert Stuns Trump; Ukraine 'Begs' For Protection


Those who "don't get it"...
(history upside down)

The notorious Zioncon, crypto-fascist, Sen. Tom Cotton—




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Summation


Scott Ritter: NATO Just Entered FIRST Phase of WW3 vs Russia & Ukraine is DONE w/ Mark Sleboda





Richard Wolff: The End of US Empire, Russia DESTROYS NATO Sanctions, and Rise of China & BRICS

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Editor's Note
huge financial services sector (insurance, real estate speculation, financial and banking services, excessive trading in corporate valuations, accounting services, etc.). None of this is directly related to tangible necessities produced in "the real economy", such as cars, trucks, houses, roads, airplanes, hospitals, medicines, schools, clothing, and certainly food. Besides, the capitalist GDP formula will not and cannot begin to measure actual human wellbeing because it is obsessed with only market transactions and their valuations. This feature can easily yield absurdities. Indeed, think of just one example. As more and more people commute to and from their jobs, more traffic accidents will occur. Traffic accidents lead to auto repairs, medical bills, parts replacements, and insurance and legal fees, if not funeral expenses. All of this expands the GDP, but who can argue that the commonwealth is actually better off for it?  Graver still, the "Neoclassical GDP" prescription is blind to how the national income is actually distributed. Obscene wealth and ghastly poverty side by side do not trouble it. The US, long described by its professional apologists as the richest and greatest nation on earth, is also, demonstrably, one of the most unequal societies on the planet, with pervasive, seemingly intractable poverty and misery just about everywhere. Need we go any further?—PG



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  • Now the fight against anti-semitism is being weaponised as a new sanctimonious McCarthyism.
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Trump: What Does it Mean

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Billy Bob's Blowback Roundtable
THE WORLD THROUGH AN INDEPENDENT LEFT LENS


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Billy Bob
Streamed live on Nov 12, 2024
Episode 112 of Blowback: Exposing Imperial Decline with special guests Max Parry and Charles McKelvey. The primary topic for today's program is what we should expect from the incoming Trump administration, including the strategies that Trump should employ in order to advance his MAGA agenda. Below is the latest article from Dr. McKelvey which addresses these issues: https://charlesmckelvey.substack.com/...

Addendum

What Trump should do now

Key steps necessary for the consolidation of the MAGA revolution
 

For some inscrutable reason, Trump seems to reach the disaffected masses. 


During the last two and one-half years, I have maintained in this column that a non-violent revolution in the USA is possible.  I define revolution as the taking of political power—the taking of control of the principal governing institutions of the nation—by an underdog, non-elite class, taking political power from the hands of the power elite.  And I have maintained that in order to take political power, a movement for change must reconceptualize American ideology, drawing from strains of both the Left and Right, attaining supporters from both ideological bands and attaining power through established electoral procedures, imperfect though they are; seizing the opportunity provided by the decadence of the American power elite, which has betrayed the nation and the people through Cold War ideologies, neoliberalism, neoconservatism, and globalism, rendering itself incapable of constructively addressing national problems. 

     There will be some who say that the Republican victory was aided by the mediocrity and lack of political substance of the Democratic presidential candidate.  Indeed so.  But the selection of Kamala Harris to head the Democratic ticket was itself a consequence of the decadence of the political establishment. 

     There are some who claim that Donald Trump and the MAGA movement are fascist.  But this charge is politically motivated, not rooted in careful observation and consideration of the proposals being put forth.  And it is belied by the fact that Trump has been gaining ground with women, Latinos, and blacks.  Indeed, it today can reasonably be said the Trump is forging a multi-ethnic coalition against the political establishment, urban liberals, and the woke Left. 

     Donald Trump refers to MAGA as a political movement, and it is.  But we can now say more.  With the electoral triumph of 2024, the MAGA movement possibly establishes itself as a triumphant people’s revolution, inasmuch as it is a movement formed by middle America and the lower middle and working classes, which has taken political power on the basis of a declared agenda in opposition to the policies of the past forty-five years implemented by the power elite and its upper-middle-class allies. 

     As a result of the gains in the 2024 elections, and the judicial appointments of the first Trump administration, the MAGA movement now has control of the executive, legislative, and judicial branches of the federal government.  It does not, however, control the agencies of the federal government bureaucracy, nor does it control the major media of communication and the universities.  If the second Trump administration and the evolving MAGA movement are true to their mission, the control of these institutions will be the next terrain of struggle, concerning which I will comment further below. 

     When a revolution takes power, it enters a new stage.  It now must struggle to maintain itself in power against powerful enemies, by increasing its support among the people through the implementation of its promises and through successful results.  This would be possible for the MAGA movement, if it acts with political intelligence. 

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What should the Trump administration do?

     Thirdly, in accordance with its promise to avoid endless wars, prevent World War III, and restore the policy of peace through strength, the Trump administration ought to seek peace with China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea, if not on a basis of cooperation, at least peaceful coexistence.  This will not be hard to do, as Trump intuits, because these nations are committed to mutually beneficial trade with the nations of the West, including the United States.  A foreign policy of peace and cooperation would significantly increase the prospects for success for the Trump plan to develop the national economy, because it would make possible commercial agreements that would benefit the American economy.

     In the case of China, tariffs can be imposed on Chinese products, not as an economic war, but on the basis of sustained negotiations with China, seeking agreements that are beneficial to the economic development of both. 

     With respect to Israel, taking into consideration its historic special relation with the Jewish people and Israel, the United States ought to continue to provide military support and protection for Israel, but it should do so with commitment to the internationally recognized two-state solution, which recognizes Palestinian state control over its territory, defined by its pre-1967 borders, and including East Jerusalem as its capital.

     Fourthly, the United States must make peace with Cuba and Venezuela.  Up to now, Trump and the MAGA movement have not shown any disposition toward cooperation with the nations of Latin America that have declared for the construction of socialism.  But peace with these nations would be consistent with the MAGA orientation of not involving the USA in the political dynamics of the nations of the world, and focusing instead on the development of a strong military that is capable of defending the national territory of the United States, and on the development of a productive economy capable of ensuring the prosperity of the nation.  Cuba and Venezuela are not a threat to the national security of the USA.   A policy of economic sanctions against these nations damages the American economy and American prestige.  The USA should be confident in its ability to develop its productive capacities and to trade profitably with all the nations of Latin America and the Caribbean, without the need for coercive measures.  Peace with Cuba and Venezuela would represent a logical evolution from the positions that the MAGA movement already has taken.  And it could be an important gesture in the consolidation of the MAGA revolution.

     The reported selection of Marco Rubio as Secretary of State is not a good sign with respect to the hope that the Trump administration will seek peace and cooperation with China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, and Cuba.  But we must wait and see.  The triumph of the MAGA revolution establishes a new political context.  Should the administration revitalize a neoconservative agenda, it would seriously jeopardize the prospects for the consolidation of the MAGA revolution.

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The battles on the horizon

     The Trump administration must seek to control the federal government bureaucracy.  I like what former independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is now part of the Trump team and MAGA movement, has to say on the matter.  RFK Jr. maintains that the great majority of the employees of the federal government are patriotic Americans.  The problem is that the officials at the top levels of the regulatory agencies have permitted them to be captured by the industries that they are supposed to regulate.  Kennedy calls for executive appointments to the highest levels of the agencies of persons who are dedicated to the true mission of regulatory agencies, and who are morally and intellectually capable of holding back the corrupting influence of the corporations.  A battle on this front will likely be waged in the first year of the Trump administration, but in light of its control of the three branches of the federal government, the administration ought to be able to advance in this area, seeking to return the agencies to appropriate administrative control by the President and legislative supervision by the Congress.  It has been reported in recent days that Kennedy has prepared a list of more than 600 persons as possible appointments to the high levels of the government bureaucracy.

     In recent days, a Trump video appeared on X, in which the President-elect declares that the administration will transform the system of higher education through the redirection of the accreditation system, dismissing current accreditors and replacing them with new accreditors, selected through an application process.  The new system will impose real standards, including defending the American tradition and Western civilization, protecting free speech, and eliminating wasteful administrative positions, including diversity, equity, and inclusion bureaucrats.  The new accreditors will be oriented to supporting programs of accelerated low-cost degrees and effective job placement and career services.  The new accrediting system will expect entrance and exit exams, so that colleges can show that students have learned.  In addition, Trump announced that he will direct the Department of Justice to pursue federal civil rights cases against schools that continue to practice racial discrimination under the guise of equity. 

     It has been reported in recent days that Trump plans to eliminate the Department of Education, turning the direction and support of education over to the states, where it constitutionally belongs.  If true, this would be consistent with the principle of federalism.  However, it seems to me that this could have chaotic consequences, and thus it would be an example of overreach, which is a common error in revolutionary processes.  Perhaps it would be better to reduce the Department of Education and redefine its mission.

     The bias of the “legacy media” is evident to the majority of the people.  At the same time, the development of an alternative media has been underway for some time, financed by wealthy individuals with a conservative perspective.  In addition, podcasts have gained influence, because they enable public figures and intellectuals to present in an unedited form their proposals and ideas, without being filtered by the establishment media.  Moreover, it would be possible for the administration to expand support for public television and radio, expecting news reporting that is balanced, objective, and based on standards of truth.  In the future, high quality public media could be a possible means for the conducting of low-cost election campaigns.

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Final considerations

     The evolution of the Left from the 1960s New Left to identity politics to post-modern dismissal of objective truth and to the incivility of the toxic woke Left has rendered it unable to effectively critique the political establishment’s abandonment of the development of the productivity of the American economy, and unable to critique the continued application of imperialist policies in an epoch in which imperialism could no longer promote American national interests.  The Left therefore conceded to right-wing populism the political space for the taking of power, attaining the support of the people through a broad-based critique of the political establishment and through calls for increasing the economic productivity of the nation, managing better the national borders, and opposing imperialist overreach in world affairs.  If the MAGA movement can consolidate its power through politically intelligent policies and economic success, the woke Left might begin irreversible decline, giving rise to a renewal of reasonable leftist currents that recently have been ignored, such as Catholic social thought and other religion-based defenses of social justice.


ABOUT CHARLES McKELVEY
I am a retired professor from the United States, now living mostly in socialist Cuba.  I consider myself a Marxist-Leninist-Fidelist-Chavist revolutionary.  I believe that the project of Marx has evolved in theory and practice through various stages: the Russian Revolution, led by Lenin; the Cuban Revolution, led by Fidel; and the project of “socialism for the twenty-first century,” declared by Chávez.  The phrase Marxist-Leninist-Fidelist-Chavist is a shorthand expression: Marx was accompanied by Engels; Lenin, by Trotsky; in addition to Fidel, there was Ho Chi Minh and a host of leaders of movements of national liberation in Asia, Africa and Latin America during the middle decades of the twentieth century; and with Chávez have been Evo Morales of Bolivia, Rafael Correa of Ecuador, and others.  As an intellectual and revolutionary, I am committed to seeking to make a contribution to the development of the subjective conditions that would make possible a popular revolution in my own country, the United States.  

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR / SOURCE
Billy Bob is a dedicated anti-imperialist activist and blogger. He hosts the Blowback roundatable.  You can reach him at his Facebook page HERE.


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ALL CAPTIONS AND PULL QUOTES BY THE EDITORS NOT THE AUTHORS