DOMINIQUE DELAWARDE—Having worked extensively on the Algerian dossier when I was in office and having continued to do so since retiring, I will try to give you my analysis in the clearest possible way by answering three questions: Why? What? How?Why?The answer to this question is, from my point of view, in a geopolitical context that goes well beyond the borders of Algeria. To simplify to the extreme, the world is today cut in two opposing camps.There is one that fits perfectly with an organization of the international community as conceived and built after World War II: IMF, WTO, World Bank, dollar, and US almost absolute pre-eminence since 1990 The neoconservative ideologues of this camp are now gradually drifting towards a goal of “globalization happy (for them)”, unipolar, under Western dominance (in fact, under US-NATO dominance).
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ANDREW KORYBKO—
Mexico is therefore in a conundrum because it must urgently deal with the cartels yet there’s no perfect solution for doing so, as the existing “hard” policy has evidently failed while the “soft” one could amount to surrendering the state to their clutches. These groups are also much too enticing of a lever of possible influence against the Mexican government for US intelligence agencies to willingly abandon them, especially since they might one day want to exploit them as Hybrid War instruments against AMLO if his foreign policy becomes too multipolar. -
ANDRE KORYBKO—China must avoid being drawn into “mission creep” all across the world in defending its Silk Road interests, to which end it’s likely to avoid having any significant military presence overseas, let alone in actual conflict zones apart from the Hybrid War experiences that its peacekeepers are presently learning from. Thus, China will probably step up its training, advisory, and assistance missions to its many partners as part of its own multipolar version of the US’ “Lead From Behind” strategy, which could for example see future aircraft carrier deployments off the African coast in order to help its in-country allies respond to anti-Silk Road militants.
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Hybrid Wars By Andrew KORYBKO (USA) (Please read ‘Hybrid Wars 1. The Law Of…
