A “Holy War” Against China: Beijing and the Turkic Uyghur Threat

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A “Holy War” Against China

Newsletter 40: Beijing and the Turkic Uyghur Threat

Hello again dear readers,

In this issue of my periodic newsletter I want to go into the deep background to a little-known role of US intelligence, the CIA to be more precise, in infiltrating China’s Uyghur Muslim population over a period of decades. Recent Western mainstream media and US Congress members have made allegations that Beijing has created internment camps in China’s western Xinjiang Province where an estimated 11 million Muslim Uyghurs live. While Beijing vehemently denies interring one million Uyghurs, the charges are serving to increasingly demonize China as an “enemy regime,” along with Russia, in Western media. The recent chorus of attacks on Beijing over treatment of its Muslim minority in Xinjiang conveniently ignores the relevant background to why Beijing is very alarmed about its Muslim Uyghurs. One major reason is that there are an estimated 5-18,000 Uyghurs fighting as Islamic Jihadists in Syria, and reportedly being groomed to return to China to wage Jihad against the government in the region which is the heart of China’s oil and gas pipeline networks and a hub for the New Silk Road. The role of Turkey and the Erdogan government in supporting what he calls “East Turkestan peoples” is at best unclear, at worst, malicious. At this juncture, what is clear is that China’s Uyghur problem has its roots in the decades of Saudi Wahhabite oil money financing CIA projects across Asia on behalf of the Muslim Brotherhood and their terrorist spinoff groups including Al Qaeda, Al Nusra Front in Syria and ISIS.

The following is taken from my recent best-selling book, “The Lost Hegemon: Whom the Gods Would Destroy...” The book is available as are my other titles on Amazon and in Kindle format as well.

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Warm regards,
F. William Engdahl Frankfurt, Germany

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The Lost Hegemon © F. William Engdahl

Chapter Twelve:
A Holy WarAgainst China

“The policy of guiding the evolution of Islam and of helping them against our adversaries worked marvelously well in Afghanistan against the Russians. The same doctrines can still be used to destabilize what remains of Russian power, and especially to counter the Chinese influence in Central Asia.”1

Graham E. Fuller, 1999, key CIA architect of US Islam strategy

Stirring Up Some Uyghur Muslims

[dropcap]I[/dropcap]n early 1979, months before the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan, US National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski drafted a top-secret Presidential Order as noted earlier. It was signed by President Jimmy Carter. The order authorized the CIA to train fundamentalist Saudi and other Muslims to wage a Holy War, or Jihad against the Soviet communist “infidels,” non-believers in the strict Islamic faith of Sunni conservative Islam. The resulting Mujahideen terror war against Soviet soldiers in Afghanistan was the largest covert action in CIA history, lasting almost nine years before the Soviets retreated out of Afghanistan and, soon after, called an end to the Cold War.2

Brzezinski’s strategy, which he called the “Arc of Crisis” strategy, was basically to set aflame the Muslim populations of Soviet Central Asia in order to destabilize the Soviet Union at a time of growing Russian economic crisis internally.

In 1998, almost ten years later and well after the collapse of the Soviet Union, in a triumphant interview in the French magazine Le Nouvel Observateur, Brzezinski defended his deployment of fundamentalist Islamic radical terrorists in Pakistan and Afghanistan. He revealed, for the first time, in that interview (deliberately excluded from US editions of the magazine) that, whereas the Soviet army invaded Afghanistan on December 24, 1979, some six months earlier, on July 3, 1979, President Carter had signed the first top secret directive, code-named Operation Cyclone, for secret US aid to the opponents of the pro-Soviet regime in Kabul. It was done on Brzezinski’s advice, correctly calculating that the secret support of radical political Islamic fighters carrying the Sword of Islam would induce the Soviets to invade. Washington wanted the Soviets to undergo their own “Vietnam” defeat in Afghanistan.

Asked by Le Nouvel Observateur if he had regrets for having armed and trained future Islamic terrorists, he snapped, “What is most important to the history of the world? . . . Some stirred-up Moslems or the liberation of Central Europe . . . ?”3

Since that time, some thirty-five years ago, the US Pentagon and CIA, or definite hawkish factions within, had used radical political Islam—“some stirred up Muslims”—around the world, in order to destabilize countries that stood in the way of the Sole Superpower—the USA—and what President George H.W. Bush in his September 11, 1991, speech called the “New World Order,” an American-run totalitarian global order.

That covert use of political Islam or “Jihad” Islam by Western, especially US, intelligence was largely either overlooked by US allies and other countries or not understood for the danger it posed.

CIA and Xinjiangs Uyghur Islamist Unrest

One of the major architects of Brzezinski’s Islamic Arc of Crisis strategy in 1979 and after was a career senior CIA Middle East specialist, Graham E. Fuller, a specialist in “Islamic extremism,” also known as political Islamic Jihadism. In 1999, Fuller wrote a policy paper for the RAND Corporation, a Pentagon-linked think tank, in which he stated, “The policy of guiding the evolution of Islam and of helping them against our adversaries worked marvelously well in Afghanistan against the Russians. The same doctrines can still be used to destabilize what remains of Russian power, and especially to counter the Chinese influence in Central Asia [author’s emphasis—F.W.E.].”4

Fuller’s proposal had become fundamental US secret strategic policy by the late 1990s. Washington’s policy of “weaponizing” and training radical Islamists and establishing thousands of radical Islamist schools and madrassas across the Middle East, Africa, and Central Asia, complete with CIA-translated radical school books and Koran interpretations that fanned hatred of “infidels” or non-Sunni Muslims, was to be directed at the emerging economic colossus of China and also against a then weaker Russian foe.

With the chaos after the collapse of the Soviet Union in the beginning of the 1990s, the CIA rushed into the newly independent Central Asian republics to immediately establish their presence, using as their proxy the veterans of the Afghan Mujahideen wars. They flew Mujahideen Jihadists into Azerbaijan to get control of the government for US and British oil companies.5 They brought Mujahideen into Chechnya and the former Soviet Caucasus to wreak terror and chaos there to block a Russian-Azeri oil pipeline and weaken a struggling Russia in the Yeltsin era.

Less known, they also brought their Mujahideen Holy War veterans into Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and even inside the borders of China’s largely Muslim Xinjiang Province. Graham Fuller’s proposal was being secretly implemented against China.

The 2009 Urumqi Riots

The effects of Fuller’s plan became bluntly obvious for the Beijing government in 2009, when Uyghur Islamist radicals began a wave of terror and violent attacks against Han Chinese in Xinjiang, supported by CIA and CIA-financed front organizations.

Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region, a strategic province at the heart of China’s energy economy and crossroads for vital energy pipelines from Kazakhstan, was also the world’s fourth largest concentration of ethnic Turkic Muslim peoples with approximately eight million Uyghurs, Kazaks, and Kyrgyz in Xinjiang.

That made Xinjiang a prime target for a carefully planned activation of a pan-Turkic destabilization strategy developed by the CIA’s Graham Fuller and

others in Washington. Their aim was to foster the idea of a “New Ottoman (Turkic) Caliphate,” or pan-Turkic theocracy, recalling the oppressive Ottoman Caliphate that collapsed after the First World War. The CIA’s target Turkic countries or provinces, in addition to Xinjiang and Turkey, were the Azeri populations of Iran and Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Kyrgyzstan.

Riots and unrest in Urumqi exploded with deadly violence on July 5, 2009. The propaganda voice of Uyghur Muslims behind the riots was the World Uyghur Congress (WUC), a strange exile group in Washington, DC, headed by wealthy Xinjiang political operative Rebiya Kadeer, whose husband, Sidiq Rouzi, left China for the United States to work for the US Government radio stations Radio Free Asia and Voice of America, both known CIA front organizations.

Working together with the WUC was another exiled Uyghur, Erkin Alptekin. Alptekin was founder and Honorary President of another strange group, the Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organization (UNPO). Just seven weeks before the riots were triggered by the World Uyghur Congress call to protest, a US NGO financed by the US government and a reported front for the CIA, namely the National Endowment for Democracy (NED), held a conference in Washington titled East Turkestan: 60 Years under Communist Chinese Rule. The conference was cosponsored by Alptekin’s Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organization. In brief, the Uyghur exile movement had become a CIA asset.6

Erkin Alptekin founded UNPO while working for the US Information Agency’s official propaganda organization, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, as Director of their Uygur Division and Assistant Director of the Nationalities Services. Radio Liberty had been a propaganda instrument of the CIA and the US State Department since the beginning of the Cold War.

The World Uyghur Congress played a key role to “trigger” the July 2009 riots. Their website wrote about an alleged violent attack on June 26 in China’s southern Guangdong Province at a toy factory, where the WUC alleged that Han Chinese workers attacked and beat to death two Uyghur workers for allegedly raping or sexually molesting two Han Chinese women workers in the factory. On July 1, the Munich office of the WUC issued a worldwide call for protest demonstrations against Chinese embassies and consulates for the alleged Guangdong attack, despite the fact they admitted the details of the incident were unsubstantiated and filled with allegations and dubious reports.7

According to a press release they issued, it was that June 26 alleged attack that gave the WUC the grounds to issue their worldwide call to action.

On July 5, a Sunday in Xinjiang, the WUC in Washington claimed that Han Chinese armed soldiers seized any Uyghur they found on the streets, and, according to official Chinese news reports, widespread riots and burning of cars along the streets of Urumqi broke out, resulting over the following three days in over 140 deaths.8

China’s official Xinhua News Agency said that protesters from the Uyghur Muslim ethnic minority group began attacking ethnic Han pedestrians, burning vehicles, and attacking buses with batons and rocks. “They took to the street . . . carrying knives, wooden batons, bricks and stones,” they cited an eyewitness as saying. The French AFP news agency quoted Alim Seytoff, general secretary of the Uyghur American Association in Washington, as saying that, according to his information, police had begun shooting “indiscriminately” at protesting crowds.9

There are two different versions of the same events: The Chinese government and pictures of the riots indicated it was Uyghur riots and attacks on Han Chinese residents that resulted in deaths and destruction. French official reports put the blame on Chinese police “shooting indiscriminately.” Significantly, the French AFP report relied on the NED-funded Uyghur American Association of Rebiya Kadeer for its information.

The riots in Xinjiang, triggered by Washington-based Uyghur organizations, broke out only days after a meeting took place of the member nations of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, as well as with Iran’s official observer guest, President Ahmadinejad, in Yekaterinburg, Russia. There was a clear connection between the Yekaterinburg meeting and the Uyghur riots. Washington was not at all happy to see the nations of Eurasia cooperate.

A New TurkicEmpire?

The CIA’s main tool to spread Islamist ideology in all the key Central Asian regions, including in Xinjiang, after the Cold War was a reclusive Turkish former Imam named Fethullah Gülen.

Fuller

The CIA’s Graham E. Fuller was a main “sponsor” of Gülen. Fuller and former CIA agent and US Ambassador to Turkey Morton Abramowitz enabled Gülen to obtain permanent residence in Pennsylvania in the 1990s, over the objections of the US State Department, FBI, and Department of Homeland Security.10 The lawyers from the State Department at that court hearing even claimed Gülen had ties to and was financed by the CIA as reason for denying him US residency.11 Gülen’s organization, like most of the political Jihadist organizations backed by the CIA since the Mujahideen in the 1980s, was also alleged to finance its vast empire by dealing in the distribution of Afghanistan heroin.12

The CIA’s Gülen Movement has a network covering the entire New Silk Road of China into Xinjiang.

Gülen, a vital asset of the CIA’s neoconservative faction that was out to wreak chaos across China and Central Asia to Russia, Iran, and beyond, reportedly was tied to Turkish heroin mafias smuggling Afghan heroin to the West.13

Sibel Edmonds was a former FBI Turkish-language translator who was silenced by the US Justice Department from going public with her uncovering of a deep network of money laundering, illegal drugs, and weapons dealings, including nuclear weapons. She charged that the network she discovered from translating secret FBI wiretapped conversations involved Gülen-affiliated Turkish police, business networks, criminal rogue CIA agents, the State Department, and US Defense Department neoconservative networks at high levels in Washington. According to Edmonds, who brought a US Ohio Court case to force disclosure of this criminal network, Gülen by 2013 had established more than 300 madrassas in Central Asia and what he calls universities that have a front that is called Moderate Islam, but he is closely involved in training mujahideen-like militia Islam who are brought from Pakistan and Afghanistan into Central Asia where his madrassas operate, and his organization’s network is estimated to be around $25 billion.

It is supported by certain US authorities here because of the operations in Central Asia, but what they have been doing since late 1990s is actually radical Islam and militarizing these very, very young, from the age 14, 15, by commandoes they use, and this is both commandoes from Turkish military, commandoes from Pakistani ISI in Central Asia and Azerbaijan. After that they bring them to Turkey, and from Turkey they send them through Europe, to European theaters of action and elsewhere.14

Fetullah Gülen, head of the Gülen movement, accused by Erdogan of helping with a US-suppoted coup in 2015 against him, lives quietly in Pennsylvania.

The Gülen Movement founded madrassas in the 1990s, mostly in the newly independent Turkic republics of Central Asia and Russia. Gülen’s Central Asian madrassas were used as training schools for al Qaeda and served as a front for undercover CIA and US State Department officials operating in the region.15

One of Gülen’s protégé’s was Anwar Yusuf Turani, the person who took over the East Turkistan Independence Movement from his exile in Washington, DC after 2003. In 2004, Turani set up the “East Turkistan Government in Exile” and was “elected” Prime Minister.16 It was not clear who exactly “elected” Turani. Washington was clearly happy to give him a platform for his anti-Beijing activities in Xinjiang.

Significantly, according to a report in a Turkish investigative magazine, Turk Pulse, Turani’s organization’s “activities for the government in exile are based on a report entitled ‘The Xinjiang Project.’ That was written by former senior CIA officer Graham E. Fuller in 1998 for the Rand Corporation and revised in 2003 under the title ‘The Xinjiang Problem.’” 17

In a 1999 interview, Anwar Yusuf Turani claimed that he received financial support from wealthy patrons in Saudi Arabia, home of the ultraconservative Wahhabite Sunni form of Islam that provided the core of Osama bin Laden’s Jihadist Afghanistan Mujahideen terrorist guerrillas in the 1980s.18 Saudi intelligence cooperated with the CIA in those global Islamist Jihad operations.

ETIM and CIA Jihad in Xinjiang

In the late 1990s, Hasan Mahsum, also known as Abu-Muhammad al- Turkestani, founder of the East Turkestan Islamic Movement, had moved ETIM’s headquarters to Kabul, taking shelter under Taliban-controlled Afghanistan. In Afghanistan, ETIM leaders met with Osama bin Laden and other leaders of the CIA-trained Al Qaeda, the Taliban, and the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan to coordinate actions across Central Asia.19

Turkestan Islamic Party Seal—a Koran surrounded by two Scimitars.

In his own study of Xinjiang, the CIA’s Graham E. Fuller noted that Saudi Arabian groups had disseminated extremist Wahhabi religious literature and possibly small arms through sympathizers in Xinjiang, and that young Turkic Muslims had been recruited to study at madrasas in Pakistan, Afghanistan and Saudi Arabia. He adds that Uyghurs from Xinjiang also fought alongside Osama bin Laden’s Al Qaeda in Afghanistan in the 1980s.

Fuller noted, “Uyghurs are indeed in touch with Muslim groups outside Xinjiang, some of them have been radicalized into broader jihadist politics in the process, a handful were earlier involved in guerrilla or terrorist training in Afghanistan, and some are in touch with international Muslim mujahideen struggling for Muslim causes of independence worldwide.”20

The goal of the various Islamist Jihad groups the CIA covertly backed, beginning the time of the Afghan Mujahideen in the 1980s, was to spread a cancer of radical Islamic terror and fanaticism to displace the tradition of moderate, peaceful Islam across Central Asia and into Xinjiang, as the earlier cited statement from the CIA’s Graham E. Fuller indicated.

ETIM Joins with IMU

The Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU ), allies of the East Turkestan Islamic Movement, were tied with Al Qaeda of Osama bin Laden. They also incorporated

Uyghurs from Xinjiang in their battles, giving them vital combat training to return to Xinjiang to wage Jihad inside China.21

After the chaotic collapse of Soviet rule in the early 1990s, the initial focus of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan was grabbing control of the vital Fergana Valley spread across eastern Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. Returning Afghan war veteran and Uzbek paratrooper Jumaboi Khojayev, radicalized by his contact with Osama bin Laden’s Saudi Jihad Islamist fighters, joined with Tohir Yuldashev to form a radical Salafist Islamist group in Namangan which they called Adolat (“Justice”). They seized control of the civil government in Namangan and quickly imposed Sharia Law, which was ruthlessly enforced by Adolat’s vigilantes.

Adolat was initially tolerated by the newly installed President Karimov. When Adolat demanded that Karimov impose Sharia throughout Uzbekistan in 1992, Karimov moved to outlaw Adolat and reestablish central control over the Fergana Valley region—traditionally one of the most militant Islamic regions in Central Asia. The IMU received large sums of money from patrons in Saudi Arabia, reportedly close to then chief of Saudi Intelligence Prince Turki al-Faisal.22 The triangle of CIA and Saudi intelligence financing Jihadist Islamic groups was to appear again and again.

Fethullah Gülen’s madrassas and Islamist schools were all over Uzbekistan at the same time, many harboring dozens of CIA agents posing as “English teachers.”23 It was Graham Fuller’s strategy being implemented across Central Asia. Both Russia and China were the ultimate targets.

Significantly, there was a large Uyghur exile Muslim population with offices in Istanbul, where Fethullah Gülen’s Hizmat, or movement, at the time was deeply entrenched within the government of Islamist Recep Erdoğan. According to the Turkish journal TurkPulse, “One of the main tools Washington is using in this affair in order to get Turkey involved in the Xinjiang affair are some Turkish Americans, primarily Fetullah Gulen.”24 The Uyghurs in Turkey were actively engaged in promoting East Turkestan autonomy and separatism.25

[dropcap]T[/dropcap]he Uyghur Muslim riots—incited by Rebiya Kadeer’s World Uyghur Congress, Anwar Yusuf Turani’s East Turkistan Independence Movement, and the Turkestan Islamic Party—were all deployed to maximize destabilization and unrest

throughout China’s vital energy hub in Xinjiang. But the focus of Graham Fuller’s friends at the CIA and State Department went far beyond the borders of Xinjiang. Over time, they deployed political Islam cults in Pakistan to disrupt major Chinese- financed infrastructure, in Myanmar to disrupt the vital China-Myanmar energy infrastructure, and across the Middle East and Africa, from Sudan to Libya to Syria, to be in a position to choke off, at will, China’s vital oil and gas lifelines.

New Silk Roadof Eurasia

In September 2013, Chinese President Xi Jinping made a major tour of Central Asian countries to announce Chinese plans to build a New Silk Road across Central Asia.

The plans included more natural gas for Chinese industry from Turkmenistan, requiring construction of a new branch line for the Central Asia- China gas pipeline, which will also include Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. Xi Jinping spoke of building an “economic belt along the Silk Road,” a trans-Eurasian project spanning from the Pacific Ocean to the Baltic Sea. It would, he said in a speech in Astana in Kazakhstan, create an economic belt inhabited by “close to 3 billion people and [would represent] the biggest market in the world with unparalleled potential.”26

In his Turkmenistan visit on the same tour, Xi secured the transnational Turkmenistan-China gas pipeline that would go along the route from Turkmenistan to Uzbekistan–Tajikistan–Kyrgyzstan on to China. Beijing’s only problem was that the Central Asia-China gas pipeline and other pipelines, power lines, and transport networks all ran through the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. Xinjiang was targeted by Washington in an ongoing destabilization campaign using Graham Fuller’s friends and their Islamic Jihadist terror bands as their proxies.

As such strategic economic moves by China, potentially positive moves that could lift the largest part of the world’s population into a more prosperous economic life, went forward, certain powerful interest groups in the West— banking, industrial, military, and political—came to view Beijing, only a decade or so earlier the “great friend” of America, now as the new emerging Great Enemy. An Asia Pivot military shift was announced by President Obama to refocus US military activities on blocking that growing Chinese influence.

A central part of their strategy to derail China and its growing Eurasian presence would be the increased deployment of Islamic fundamentalism of the Gülen, Al Qaeda, and Muslim Brotherhood kind against China, Russia, and all Eurasia, the one space that Zbigniew Brzezinski in his famous book The Grand Chessboard called the only possible challenge to America’s future hegemony and dominance.

To understand how that had evolved to the situation of such a threat today it is important to go into the historical roots of political Islam and its emergence after the First World War and after.

Endnotes:

1 Richard Labeviere, Dollars for Terror: The United States and Islam, Algora Publishing, 2000, p. 6.

2 Zbigniew Brzezinski, Ex-National Security Chief Brzezinski admits: Afghan Islamism Was Made in Washington, interview in Le Nouvel Observateur,Paris, January 1521, 1998, p. 76, translated by Bill Blum, accessed in http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f- news/542984/posts. Notably, according to the American author Bill Blum, There are at least two editions of Le Nouvel Observateur.With apparently the sole exception of the Library of Congress, the version sent to the United States is shorter than the French version. The Brzezinski interview was not included in the shorter version.

3 Ibid.
4 Richard Labeviere, op. cit.

5 Christoph Germann, The New Great Game Roundup No. 12, accessed in http://christophgermann.blogspot.de/2013/07/the-new-great-game-round-up-12.html.

6 F. William Engdahl, Washington is Playing a Deeper Game with China, Global Research.ca, July 11, 2009, accessed in http://www.globalresearch.ca/washington-is-playing-a-deeper- game-with-china/14327.

7 Ibid.

8 Ibid.

9 Ibid.

10 Sibel Edmonds, Boston Terror CIAs Graham Fuller and NATO CIA Operation Gladio B Caucasus and Central Asia, Boiling Frogs Post, April 27, 2013, accessed in http://www.boilingfrogspost.com/2013/04/27/bfp-breaking-news-boston-terror-cias- graham-fuller-nato-cia-operation-gladio-b-caucasus-central-asia/.

11 Mizgîn, Gülen, the CIA and the American Deep State, Rastibini Blogspot, June 29, 2008, accessed in http://rastibini.blogspot.de/2008/06/glen-cia-and-american-deep-state.html.

12 David Livingstone, Uighur Nationalism Turkey and the CIA, July 31, 2009, accessed in http://www.terrorism-illuminati.com/node/176#.UvjvNLQtqZQ.

13 Ibid.

14 Sibel Edmonds, BEFORE THE OHIO ELECTIONS COMMISSION: DEPOSITION IN THE MATTER OF JEAN SCHMIDT, Plaintiff, vs. DAVID KRIKORIAN, Defendant, Case No. 2009E-003, August 8, 2009, accessed in http://christophgermann.blogspot.de/2013/05/chinas-central-asia- problem.html.

15 Gillian Norman-Jilinda, Beijing Olympics False Flag Attack, 8 August 2008, accessed in http://rense.com/general82/bej.htm.

16 Website, The Government-in-Exile of East Turkestan Republic, accessed in http://www.eastturkistangovernmentinexile.us/anwar_biography.html.

17 Gillian Norman-Jilinda, op. cit.

18 Dru C. Gladney, and S. Frederick Starr, Xinjiang: China's Muslim Borderland, Armonk, New York, 2004, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, pp. 388389.

19 Wikipedia, East Turkestan Islamic Movement, accessed in http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_Turkestan_Islamic_Movement.

20 Graham E. Fuller and S. Frederick Starr, The Xinjiang Problem, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute at Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, The Johns Hopkins University, pp. 2937.

21 Wikipedia, Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, accessed in http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_Movement_of_Uzbekistan.

22 Ramtanu Maitra, Drug Infested Ferghana Valley Target of the Axis of Three Devils, 01 August 2010, accessed in http://www.vijayvaani.com/ArticleDisplay.aspx?aid=1341.

The Insider,Boiling Frogs Post, January 11, 2011, accessed in http://www.boilingfrogspost.com/2011/01/11/additional-omitted-points-in-cia-gulen- coverage-a-note-from-%E2%80%98the-insider%E2%80%99/.

24 David Livingstone, op. cit.
25 Graham E. Fuller, op. cit., p. 46.

26 Wu Jiao and Zhang Yunbi, Xi proposes a new Silk Road with Central Asia, China Daily, September 8, 2013, accessed in http://usa.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2013- 09/08/content_16952304.htm.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
  Born in Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States, Engdahl is the son of F. William Engdahl, Sr., and Ruth Aalund (b. Rishoff). Engdahl grew up in Texas and after earning a degree in engineering and jurisprudence from Princeton University in 1966 (BA) and graduate study in comparative economics at the University of Stockholm from 1969 to 1970, he worked as an economist and freelance journalist in New York and in Europe. Engdahl began writing about oil politics with the first oil shock in the early 1970s. His first book was called A Century of War: Anglo-American Oil Politics and the New World Order and discusses the alleged roles of Zbigniew Brzezinski and George Ball and of the USA in the 1979 overthrow of the Shah of Iran, which was meant to manipulate oil prices and to stop Soviet expansion. Engdahl claims that Brzezinski and Ball used the Islamic Balkanization model proposed by Bernard Lewis. In 2007, he completed Seeds of Destruction: The Hidden Agenda of Genetic Manipulation. Engdahl is also a contributor to the website of the anti-globalization Centre for Research on Globalization, the Russian website New Eastern Outlook,[2] and the Voltaire Network,[3] and a freelancer for varied newsmagazines such as the Asia Times. William Engdahl has been married since 1987 and has been living for more than two decades near Frankfurt am Main, Germany.


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From the Shores of the Caspian Sea to Central Asia – Kazakhstan and Russia Reunited

pale blue horizDispatches from
G a i t h e r
Stewart

European Correspondent • Rome



KAZAKHSTAN photo

Photo by dr_sweet_al CC ND 2.0 -Attribution-NoDerivs License

black-horizontal Again, in the early morning, we had driven through the rugged Elburz Mountains from Tehran to the Caspian Sea, then west-northwest up the Caspian coast as far as Ramsar, and then doubled back east along the shore. I, the official interpreter, had wanted to head westwards for Tabriz and Azerbaijan, but the Italian businessmen were most eager to find a good fish restaurant. They entered the first place we saw. The Iranian-Armenian broker and I stood in silence at water’s edge. I was dreaming Caspian … and wondering about the distance to the northwest corner where the Volga River flows into this, the world’s largest enclosed body of water lined in the south by the Elburz and in the west by the great Caucasian mountains just out of our sight but whose presence we felt, range after range, peak after peak, crags and hidden streams. An impregnable fortress. The northern exposure here on the Iranian shores of the Caspian at the small town of Sulaleh is an enlightening geographical experience. We speak in the Armenian’s nearly native Russian as a result of his university studies in Yerevan, Armenia before his emigration to Iran. He points to the west to indicate his present home in Tabriz, Iran. Involuntarily, I mutter the names of cities on the western coast of the Caspian: oil-rich Baku in Azerbaijan (that today the U.S. so wants to get its hands on as it does on Armenia and occupy as it has their southern neighbor Georgia with all is wines and champagne.)

The land of the Kazakhs is the world’s ninth largest country, larger than all of Western Europe together. Hard to imagine from the banks of the Caspian, much more so from the deep West.

I think of the North Caucasian Makhachkala, the capital of Russia’s Dagestan, occupied by the British during the Western intervention in the Russian civil war in 1919 before the city was occupied by the new Red Army in 1920.  We speak of the genocide of the Armenians on Mt. Ararat perpetrated by the Turks. I tell him of my private Turkish language teachers, the first a Karachay from the confusing mix of peoples of the North Caucasus on the northen slopes of those great mountains; the second a real Kazakh from Kazakhstan. Both of their native languages are Turkic, transformed and consolidated in university studies in Turkey before their immigration to Germany. The engineer says I would like Tabriz where the street language is Azerbaijani Turkish, nearly Anatolian.  My eyes shift to the eastern shores in search of the country of Turkmenistan before roaming northwards toward Kazakhstan. The huge Caspian Sea does look like a full-fledged sea. Yet only puny waves are rolling in, even though the southern part of the sea is said to reach over one thousand meters depth.  Located between Europe and Asia the Caspian retains waters from the great Volga and Ural Rivers, the latter considered the dividing line between Europe and Asia. Hard to believe that it has no outflows. All its waters converge into surrounding lakes and swamps that nature equilibrates through evaporation. There was no chance to get to Kazakhstan over one thousand kilometers to the north and its flanks spread along the sea’s northeastern shores … but I felt it there. I do not tell the Iranian of my sensation of being very near the top of the world. I felt it was there, north of the Caspian, the top of the world, the center, where time perhaps stands still in which vacuum you perceive lies enormous power. The thing about this location on the Caspian is that you sense the presence of another world up there and that it has a core, the existence of which will one day surprise the world.

Kazakhstan photo

Photo by Irene 2005 … CC

Up there to the north, Kazakhstan! A country of water, magnificent canyons and rolling steppes, located in northern Central Asia, a small part of which extends west of the Ural River into Eastern Europe. The land of the Kazakhs is the world’s ninth largest country, larger than all of Western Europe together. Hard to imagine from the banks of the Caspian, much more so from the deep West. In all its manifestations nature in these parts is immense—its seemingly bottomless seas, soaring mountains, endless grasslands, limitless borders and Kazakhstan’s sparse population of only eighteen million people combine to create a feeling of boundlessness, even though, at the same time, it has the distinction of being the world’s largest land-locked country. Both land-locked, the Caspian waters and the Kazakhs themselves.

Though land-locked, Kazakhstan today has aspirations for emergence into the contemporary world. Above all—as my Iranian-Armenian friend could never have imagined—it is a key link in the chain of countries constituting the Eurasian Economic Community founded in the year 2000 by an ambitious Russia conscious of the necessity to reassemble key parts of its lost empire—a dissolution which in my opinion should never have happened—in order to counter U.S. aggressiveness in these distant lands Washington will never understand. Today it seems a geographical blessing that Kazakhstan shares borders with both Russia and China. Its geographical place in Central Asia, its position in Eurasia and its great part of the huge Caspian Sea make the land very much part of the world at large.

The sprawling country became independent in 1991 following the dissolution of the USSR of which it was part. By 2006 it had become the dominant economy in Central Asia (which includes also Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tadjikistan and on which world powers today have their eyes cast), an economy based primarily on its oil/gas industry, in addition to vast mineral resources. The current President of Kazakhstan, Nursultan Nazarbayev, has led the country since 1991 and is known as authoritarian with a less than clean record of human rights abuses and suppression of political opposition. Though difficult to control the rise of dictators in such areas, this is home territory for Russia and my hunch is that the nearer Kazakhstan draws to Russia, the weaker Nazarbayev’s position will become.

The name Kazakh derives from an ancient Turkic word meaning “to wander”, reflecting the people’s nomadic culture, the same as the name “Cossack”. The “stan” suffix is Persian, meaning land or place. Kazakhstan, “the land of nomads”. Though traditionally referring only to ethnic Kazakhs, today the term ”Kazakh” tends to refer to all inhabitants of Kazakhstan, including many ethnic Russians.

THE ARRIVAL OF THE RUSSIANS

After the Mongolian occupation of the territory in the 13th century, the Kazakhs emerged as a distinct people. As Russia recovered from that same occupation, it felt a natural attraction to the limitless East. In the 18th century Russian empire builders advanced into the Kazakh steppe and by the mid-19th century ruled the land as part of the former imperialistic Russian Empire. After the Russian Revolution, the land of the Kazakhs became the Kazakh Soviet Socialist Republic in 1936, an integral part of the Soviet Union.

Why direct our attention today to this sprawling nomadic land of 18 million people that is Kazakhstan? Geopolitics! Geopolitical strategy! Kazakhstan in a key member of Russia’s  Eurasian Economic Community, EEC—an idea actually first proposed by Kazakhstan in year 2000—linked to the maturing Sino-Russian alliance and China’s new-era, forward-looking Silk Road planning. Active members of the EEC at this point are: Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan, the goal of which is the creation a free trade zone among member nations under a common customs union.

EEC map

Map of EEC nations courtesy Photius

The Eurasian Economic Community (EEC) is an economic union of states primarily in the northern part of Eurasia. The first treaty which came into force on January 1, 2015 was signed by leaders of Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan. Then were added the Central Asian countries of Kyrgyzstan and Tadjikistan. Treaties concerning adhesion to the customs union soon came into force also in Armenia in the Caucasus—despite Armenian temptations to join the European Union—now apparently destined for membership in the Russian-led EEC. Uzbekistan with its 30 million population is still hesitant but can hardly not join its neighbors. The nations of the EEC begin at the eastern end of Europe, bounded by the Arctic in the north, the Pacific Ocean to the east, and to the south, East Asia and the Middle East. The area of the union extends across much of northern Eurasia, its member states covering an area of twenty million square kilometers, approximately 15% of the earth’s land surface.

Many of their politicians and political scientists have since called for further integration towards a political, cultural and military union (as is happening also in the European Union today). However, Kazakhstan has insisted the union remain primarily economic, preferring to retain its full sovereignty. Nonetheless, two member states, Belarus and Russia, already form a political union.

Eurasec emblem

Emblem of Eurasec

The Eurasian Economic Community already has an integrated single market of 183 million people and a GDP of over 4 trillion U.S. dollars The EEC means the free movement of goods, capital, services and people and provides for common transport, agricultural and energy policies, with provisions for a single currency and greater integration in the future. The union operates through supranational and intergovernmental institutions. The Supreme Eurasian Economic Council is the “Supreme Body” of the Union, consisting of the Heads of member states and other supranational institutions, the Eurasian Commission (the executive body), the Eurasian Intergovernmental Council (consisting of the Prime Ministers of member states) and the Court of the EEU, the judicial body.

The EEC has thus quickly become a powerful politico-economic alliance. Today again, at home in Rome, just as that day on the banks of the Caspian Sea, I lost myself and my sense of time, feeling myself practically inside this same vast expanse as depicted in my huge world atlas. Again, I feel the almost ungraspable immensity of Eurasia and everything in it. To think only of the old Silk Road from China through these parts on its winding way to tiny Venice on its tiny lagoon is mind-boggling. A trip length measured in those early times not in weeks or months but in entire seasons: departure in Spring and hopeful arrival in the Fall. Of exotic caravanserai in the great deserts of Central Asia, of deep seas, meandering lakes, and rivers to navigate, of rugged mountains to be negotiated. And today China’s precise project of high-speed railways to connect China and Europe. An expanse so vast that the high-speed rail voyage will still require weeks.

Linked to a traditional nomadic people and perhaps genetically to the memory of the original Silk Road from China to the West, Central Asia has always been a crossroads for the movement of peoples, goods and ideas between East and West.  Geopolitical strategists too consider Central Asia the core region of the continent of Asia itself, stretching eastwards from the Caspian Sea and Kazakhstan in the west to China in the east and from Afghanistan in the south to Russia in the north. Though more a geographical concept Central Asia includes five former republics of the USSR: Kazakhstan (18 million people), Kyrgyzstan (6 million), Tadjikistan (8 million), Turkmenistan 5.2 million), and Uzbekistan 31 million, a total population of  over 65 million, plus, again geographically, Afghanistan’s over 30 million. So we are speaking of nearly 100 million people occupying a sparsely populated key oil and mineral rich area at the top of the world. Therefore, the expectation that Washington will ever give up voluntarily its hold on Afghanistan seems like wishful thinking.

In pre-Islamic times, Central Asia was an Iranian region including Iranian-speaking peoples, both sedentary and nomadic like the Scythians and Parthians. But with the expansion of Turkic peoples Central Asia became the home of those Turkic-speaking peoples of the above former Soviet republics. But something of the former Iranian connection must have remained: the Tadjiks and some peoples of Uzbekistan speak a variety of Iranian. When years ago I spent time in Iran the Russian presence was strong and its embassy a landmark of the city of Tehran. Today’s close Russo-Iranian relations are no surprise; their relationship is not only geographical but also historical and genetic, a factor about which U.S. strategic planners do not seem to have a clue.

In 2014, Kazakhstan gave Ukraine humanitarian aid during the conflict of the U.S./NATO- backed Kiev government with Russian-backed Novorossiya. In October 2014, Kazakhstan donated $30,000 to the International Committee of the Red Cross’s humanitarian effort in Ukraine. Then in January 2015, Kazakhstan sent $400,000 of aid to the anti-Kiev southeastern regions of Novorossiya. Of the war in Ukraine, Kazakh President Nazarbayev said: “The fratricidal war has brought true devastation to eastern Ukraine, and it is a common task to stop the war there, strengthen Ukraine’s independence and secure the territorial integrity of Ukraine.” Apparently, no matter how the Ukraine crisis develops, Kazakhstan’s relations with the European Union are likely to remain normal. According to Kazakhstan’s Astana Times newspaper Nazarbayev’s mediation is positively received by both Russia and Ukraine. Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs released a statement on 26 January 2015:  “We are firmly convinced that there is no alternative to peace negotiations as a way to resolve the crisis in the southeastern Ukraine.” Such statements by Kazakh leadership reflect that country’s harmony with Russia’s present policy regarding Ukraine.Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

ROAD SILK ECONOMIC BELT

When Chinese leader Xi Jinping visited Central and Southeast Asia in September and October 2013, he raised the initiative of jointly building the Silk Road Economic Belt and simultaneously the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road. Essentially, the ‘belt’ includes countries situated on the original Silk Road leading through Central Asia, West Asia, and the Middle East to Europe. The initiative calls for the integration of the entire region into a cohesive economic area through building infrastructure, increasing cultural exchanges, and broadening trade. Many of the countries that are part of this belt are also members of the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB). North, central and south belts are proposed. The North belt is to pass through Central Asia and Russia and reach Europe. The Central belt is to pass through Central Asia, West Asia to the Persian Gulf and the Mediterranean. The South belt is to start from China to Southeast Asia, South Asia, to the Indian Ocean.

 

RUSSIA AND THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN

The country called Kazakhstan will ring strange and distant to the ears of some readers. To those with good knowledge of Russia and its neighbors in surrounding areas the name will ring at least familiar. I suggest you take a look at your world atlas as I continue to do as I note these words. See those huge areas labeled “Russia” to the north and to the south the other labeled “China”. In the middle huge Kazakhstan.

Kazakhstan is a country in northern Central Asia, a small part of which extends west of the Ural River into Eastern Europe. It also has the added distinction of being the world’s largest land-locked country. Yet much of the country lies along the shores of the Caspian Sea and its great oil deposits, making the country oil and gas rich, in addition to its vast mineral resources.

The kernel of the Russo-Kazakh alliance is not fictive, Not an alliance with a foreign, distant phantomatic economy.The construct is real. For Kazakhstan too is part of “greater Russia.” And has been for a long time. You have to keep in mind the continuity of Russia I wrote about in another article. Some of my Russian FB friends write that actually all Lenin did was take over a failed capitalist Russia and create an anti-capitalist state in its place.  Eventually the new state again changed. But it has  remained Russia. Though separate, Kazakhstan too remained part or close to Mother Russia.

To many readers an academic subject, and perhaps unbelievable to others,  Kazakhstan has the largest and strongest performing economy in Central Asia. Not in the wilds! Supported by oil output, according to the IMF, Kazakhstan’s economy grew at an average of 8% per year until 2013 recalling that of China, before a slowdown in 2014 and 2015.. Kazakhstan was the first former Soviet Republic to repay all of its debt to the International Monetary Fund, seven years ahead of schedule. Buoyed by high world crude oil prices, GDP growth figures were between 8.9% and 13.5% from 2000 to 2007 and again from 2010. But not only oil. Other major exports of Kazakhstan include wheat, textiles, livestock and … uranium. The country experienced a slowdown in economic growth from 2014 due to falling oil prices and the effects of the Ukrainian crisis. Kazakhstan’s fiscal situation is today stable. The government follows a conservative fiscal policy by controlling budget spending and accumulating oil revenue savings in its Oil Fund. In March 2002, the U.S. Department of Commerce granted Kazakhstan market economy status. This change in status recognized substantive market economy reforms in the areas of currency convertibility, wage rate determination, openness to foreign investment, and government control over the means of production and allocation of resources. Kazakhstan weathered the global financial crisis well.

Energy is the leading economic sector. Kazakhstan holds about 4 billion tons of proven recoverable oil reserves and 2,000 cubic kilometers (480 cu mi) of gas. According to industry analysts, expansion of oil production and the development of new fields will make of Kazakhstan one of the top ten oil-producing nations in the world.

Kazakhstan also shares those borders with both Russia and China, the rest of Central Asia and the huge Caspian Sea which separates it from Iran to its south.  In 1991, it became independent following the dissolution of the USSR of which it was part. By 2006, Kazakhstan had become the dominant economy in Central Asia.

After the Mongolian occupation of the territory, the Kazakhs emerged as a distinct people, at which point in the 18th century Russians advanced into the Kazakh steppe and by the mid-19th century ruled the land as part of the Russian Empire. After the Russian Revolution, the land of the Kazakhs became the Kazakh Soviet Socialist Republic in 1936, an integral part of the Soviet Union.

However, readers unfamiliar with this area should not be misled into thinking, perhaps because of the strange sounding name the country and the people, perhaps because of its location far from the western world, that these are wild parts. The people speak differently, have a vastly different heritage, but they too have become ever more sophisticated, with a universal and mandatory educational system and 99.6% literary, booming universities, high-speed trains (still missing in the USA), modern cities and a rapidly growing economy competitive with western economies and attractive to foreign investors. If its political system is still not up to par with hypocritical western standards, it is more progressive than, for example, U,S. “allies” in the Middle East.

Meanwhile, Russia and the Russian people look on developments in the former republics of the USSR with great interest. For, wishful thinking or not, 56% of Russians regret the collapse of the Soviet Union, according to a recent Levada poll among 1600 adults in 137 cities throughout Russia, the results of which were published in the Moscow Times on April 20, 2016.

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Gaither Stewart
gaither-new GAITHER photoOur Senior Editor based in Rome, serves—inter alia—as our European correspondent. A veteran journalist and essayist on a broad palette of topics from culture to history and politics, he is also the author of the Europe Trilogy, celebrated spy thrillers whose latest volume, Time of Exile, was recently published by Punto Press.

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Securing East Asia via Silk Road for science, technology and innovation

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=By= Mathew Maavak

Chinarch380a at Changzho

[dropcap]W[/dropcap]hile various Silk Roads have been highlighted by China for a “Greater Eurasia” economic integration, it is time to look beyond infrastructure, trade and economics. A lasting foundation can buttress the building blocks of tomorrow, especially in science, technology and innovation (STI).

With the world likely entering a prolonged period of economic slowdown, as well as increasing volatilities and uncertainties, Greater Eurasia –particularly its East Asian pivot –still remains a zone of relative stability. But such stability is contingent upon maintaining a level of economic autarchy, a robust and credible medium of transaction (i.e. Global Yuan) and qualitative leaps in hi-tech innovation and exports to offset the fallouts of a shrinking global market.

East Asia can no longer depend on extra-regional exports to fund its future engines of growth. The region must leverage on its internal strengths to maintain sustainable growth; to focus more on the regional rather than the global.

Increasing regional interconnectedness therefore necessitates information and R&D collaborations at an unprecedented pace in order to “colonize” the future.

China can lead the STI Silk Road

While China-initiated Silk Routes create and merge trading, financial and infrastructural nodes, there remains a critical need to build and synergize regional STI capacity. Trade without concomitant improvements in national STI capabilities may lead to rentier-yoked economies in relatively less developed regions of East Asia (e.g..in Bangladesh, Laos, Cambodia, Myanmar etc). An STI Silk Road levels the playing field by combining expertise, exchanging critical knowledge and exploring solutions to fill national developmental gaps.

Incredibly, such regional undertaking may not entail costly additional investments. Apart from already extant infrastructure, newly-laid fibre optic cables and transponders along many silk routes can be used to facilitate a regional, internet-facilitated STI superhighway.

The central nodes in each nation would ideally be its universities, science and technology parks, government agencies and indigenous NGOs which should generally be open to participation from all strata of society. An Open Source approach can be employed to gauge what the people want, need and aspire in terms of their immediate development. The central nodes in each nation may act as gatekeepers in this regard while a pan-regional cluster of nodal institutions may accelerate and amplify solutions for myriad developmental needs.

Through a process of give and take, citizen-level aspirations can be aligned to national and regional strategic needs. This way, citizens will not only take credit but will share due blame for consensus decisions made.

Unlike the developmental plans of the West to date, the people of East Asia will be the co-stakeholders and engineers of their future development. The sheer magnitude of contradictions and chaos roiling the West right now shows what happens when the “people factor” is reduced to a “paper tiger.” This elitist trap, marked by myriad fundamental and fractionating inequalities, is to be avoided at all costs.

Insulating the Future of the East

The STI Silk Road would arguably be the ultimate regional insulator and stabilizer.The China-led Belt and Road (B&R) initiatives can be aligned to synergize with national STI clusters. This knowledge-centric approach helps ensure that no particular East Asian nation will predominate at the deleterious expense of another. The STI Silk Road will leverage the particular strengths of constituent nations and institutions. The idea here is to ensure a sustainable regional equilibrium, with societies, nations and regions doing what they traditionally did best.

In terms of holistic development, it is ultimately the sciences that can bridge the rural-urban divide, the core and periphery, and the haves and have nots within the region. The ideas of children will be just as important as those of expert adults. This is an emerging axiom of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT), Open Innovation and Open Government paradigms.

Where high-speed broadband cables are missing, portable and rechargeable solar packs and satellite dishes may ensure adequate connectivity, bringing the region into a single knowledge matrix. The English language – once an artificial transplantation into the region – would now smooth over linguistic divides. Asia has always had the capacity to absorb the blows of colonial outsiders, learn from the bitter experience, and turn the tables to its advantage.

Securitizing Asia’s Future

Asian media leaders are already working on an “information Silk Road” in tandem with the main Silk Road initiatives to promote Asia as “a community of shared destiny.” Why not fortify that shared Asian destiny via an Open Source matrix for science-based development?

Such an interlinked cluster can be used for transboundary crisis management as well. For example, a plant pathologist may need inputs from lecturers or experts in various sub-domains to map out the impacts of a detected rice fungus half the world away. Since rice is the primary diet of East Asia, such a threat needs to be detected and prioritized through an OSINT-based early warning system. Experts from within the STI Silk Road may consult each other to draw up a contingency management plan i.e. what action plans need be formulated, and which Silk Road university or institution should lead this rapid response project. An emerging threat can be effectively neutralized this way.

An STI Silk Road therefore not only focuses on opportunities and development, it “securitizes” our future. Apart from hi-tech innovation, citizens in an economically depressed world can be empowered to exchange forms of regional jugaad (frugal) innovation via Open Source tools.

Inaction is not an option if the region is to avoid a repeat of the East Asian financial and currency crises of 1997.The coming set of crises are slated to be far worse than preceding ones in recent memory.

China can therefore help secure the future of East Asia by adding yet another golden strand into the Silk Road tapestry. It is time to create an STI Silk Road.

 


 

 Mathew Maavak is a doctoral researcher in Security Foresight at University Teknologi Malays
Article: Republished with author’s permission from CCTV.
Featured Image: Chinarch380a at Changshou Station. (wodhks123 – open source)


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